25 simple bullet points proving CO2 does not cause global warming: by a geologist for a change

‘Bullet points’ proving CO2’s innocence.

Geologists know climate change unrelated to atmospheric CO2 occurred throughout Earth’s 4.5-billion-year history. Yet the IPCC has no geologists among the hundreds of appointed authors of its Fifth Assessment Report of 2014 and its Sixth Report due in 2022. Thus IPCC incredibly lacks both geological input and long-term perspective.
– Geologist Dr. Roger Higgs
___________________

25 simple bullet points proving CO2 does not cause global warming: by a geologist for a change

Dr Roger Higgs,
Geoclastica Ltd, Technical Note 2019-11,
6th April 2019, on ResearchGate

We urgently need to expose the ‘CO2 = pollutant’ fallacy being forced upon your children, grandchildren, nephews and nieces by schools, universities, governments and mainstream media worldwide, and to denounce it in scrupulously truthful terms easily understood by the public, including those youngsters themselves.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332245803_25_bullet_points_proving_CO2_does_not_cause_global_warming_by_a_GEOLOGIST_for_a_change

Here are the 25 bullet points proving CO2’s innocence:

1) Geologists know climate change unrelated to atmospheric CO2 occurred throughout Earth’s 4.5-billion-year history. Yet the IPCC (United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) has no geologists among the hundreds of appointed authors of its Fifth Assessment Report of 2014 and its Sixth Report due in 2022 (see my Technical Note 2019-10). Thus IPCC incredibly lacks both geological input and long-term perspective.

2) IPCC’s very existence relies on public belief in manmade or ‘anthropogenic’ global warming (AGW) by CO2 emissions. Moreover its appointed authors, mostly government and university researchers, are nearly all biased by strong vested interests in AGW, i.e. reputations (publications, lectures) & continuance of salaries & research grants. Similarly, major universities have abandoned their scientific impartiality & integrity by hosting research institutes mandated to confirm & act on AGW, e.g. Grantham Institute (Imperial College), Tyndall Centre.

3) The often-repeated ‘97% consensus among scientists that global warming is man’s fault’ (CO2 emissions) is untrue. It refers in fact to surveys of just a relatively small group of ‘climate scientists’ (a fairly new type of scientist, with strong incentives for bias; see Bullets 2 & 15), moreover only those who are ‘actively publishing’.

4) ‘Climate change denier’ & ‘global warming denier’ are despicable & dishonest terms for ‘AGW doubters’. No educated person disputes global warming, as thermometers measured 1°C rise from 1850 to 2016 (with pauses).

5) The ‘Greenhouse Hypothesis’, on which IPCC’s belief in AGW is based, is that atmospheric gases trap heat. But this old (19th century) notion is merely an idea, not a hypothesis, because it is untestable, impossible to prove in a laboratory as no experimental container can imitate Earth’s uncontained, well-mixed atmosphere.

6) IPCC computer models are so full of assumptions as to be extremely unreliable, e.g. forecast warming for 1995 to 2015 turned out to be 2-3 times too high ! A likely reason is that the greenhouse idea is nonsense, as explained in recent publications by several scientists. See Bullet 19 for an equally drastic failure of IPCC models. See also https://www.wnd.com/2017/07/study-blows-greenhouse-theory-out-of-the-water/ https://principia-scientific.org/r-i-p-greenhouse-gas-theory-1980-2018/

7) For about 75% of the last 550 million years, CO2 was 2 to 15 times higher than now. Evolution flourished, CO2 enabling plant photosynthesis, the basis of all life. Extinction events due to overheating by CO2 are unknown.

8) Through the last 12,000 years (our current Holocene interglacial period), CO2 was a mere 250 to 290 ppm (parts per million), near plant-starvation level, until about 1850 when industrial CO2 emissions began, making CO2 climb steeply. Nevertheless CO2 today it is still only 412ppm, i.e. under half of one-tenth of 1% of our atmosphere

9) Until man began adding CO2 about 1850, warming (determined from ‘proxies’ like tree rings) since the 1600AD Little Ice Age peak was accompanied by slowly rising CO2 (measured in ice cores). A simple explanation is CO2 release by ocean water, whose CO2-holding capacity decreases upon warming.

10) Supporting this sign that CO2 is a consequence, not cause, of global warming, a published study of 1980-2011 measurements showed that changes in warming rate precede changes in CO2’s growth rate, by about a year.

11) Since the 1850 start of man’s additions, CO2’s rise has generally accelerated, without reversals. In stark contrast, the post-1850 to present-day continuance of warming out of the Little Ice Age was interrupted by frequent small coolings of 1-3 years (some relatable to ‘volcanic winters’), plus two 30-year coolings (1878 to 1910, 1944 to 1976), and the famous 1998 to 2013 ‘global-warming pause’ or ‘hiatus’ (Wiki).

12) This unsteady modern warming instead resembles the unsteady rise of the sun’s magnetic output from 1901 toward a rare solar ‘Grand Maximum’ peaking in 1991, the first in 1700 years !

13) Modern warming reached a peak in February 2016. Since then, Earth has cooled for 3 years (now April 2019).

14) The ‘Svensmark Theory’ says increased solar magnetic flux warms Earth by deflecting cosmic rays, thus reducing cloudiness, allowing more of the sun’s warmth to heat the land and ocean instead of being reflected. In support, a NASA study of satellite data spanning 32 years (1979-2011) showed decreasing cloud cover.

15) Vociferous IPCC-involved climate scientist Dr Stefan Rahmstorf (Wiki) of the German government’s Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, recipient of a US$1 million personal research grant from a private foundation, wrongly said in his 2008 article ‘Anthropogenic Climate Change’: “there is no viable alternative … [to CO2 as driver of modern warming from 1940 to 2005 because] … different authors agree that solar activity did not significantly increase” during that period. Yet nine years earlier, in 1999, famous physicist Dr Michael Lockwood (Wiki; FRS) wrote, in ‘A Doubling of the Sun’s Coronal Magnetic Field During the Past 100 Years’, published in prestigious Nature journal: “the total magnetic flux leaving the Sun has risen by a factor of 1.4 since 1964” and 2.3 since 1901 !! See for yourselves the striking overall 1964-91 climb in solar-magnetic output, recorded by the strong overall fall in detected neutrons (proportional to cosmic rays), in graph 3 here … https://cosmicrays.oulu.fi

16) Lockwood showed averaged solar magnetic flux increased 230% from 1901 to 1995, i.e. more than doubled ! The final peak value was 5 times the starting minimum value ! Bullets 17 & 18 likewise back Svensmark’s theory…

17) … after the previous solar Grand Maximum (4th century, long before industrial CO2), in the next decades Earth warmed to near or above today’s temperature. Then ‘sawtooth’ cooling proceeded, through the Dark Ages and ‘Medieval Warm Period’, into the Little Ice Age, paralleling a 1,000-year unsteady solar decline; and …

18) … before that, between 8000 and 2000BC, Earth was occasionally warmer than today for hundreds if not thousands of years, as shown by tree rings, shrunken glaciers, etc.. Then unsteady cooling from 3000BC into the Little Ice Age paralleled unsteady solar decline following the Holocene’s ‘super-Grand’ Maximum near 3000BC.

19) This 4,500-year cooling contradicts IPCC computer models that instead predict warming by the simultaneous (slow) rise in CO2. This is the ‘The Holocene Temperature Conundrum’ of Liu et al. (2014). See also Bullet 6.

20) Embarrassingly for AGW promoters, the 8000-2000BC warm interval (Bullet 18) was already, ironically, named the ‘Holocene Climatic Optimum’, before today’s CO2/AGW hysteria began. The warmth probably benefitted human social development. Indeed, it was cold episodes, bringing drought and famine, that ended civilisations.

21) Cross-correlating post-1880 graphs of solar-magnetic flux versus Earth’s temperature suggests a 25-year timelag, such that the 2016 peak temperature corresponds to the 1991 solar peak. The lag is probably due to the ocean’s high thermal inertia due to its enormous volume and high heat capacity, hence slow response to warming.

22) IPCC, ignoring the possibility of such a time-lag, claims that simultaneous global warming (until 2016) and solar weakening (since 1991) must mean that warming is driven by CO2 !

23) The last interglacial period about 100,000 years ago was warmer than our Holocene interglacial. Humans and polar bears survived ! CO2 was then about 275ppm, i.e. lower than now (Bullet 8).

24) The simultaneous rise of temperature & CO2 is a ‘spurious correlation’. Warming’s real cause was a solar build-up to a rare Grand Maximum, which man’s industrialisation accompanied by chance. So IPCC demonising CO2 as a ‘pollutant’ is a colossal blunder, costing trillions of dollars in needless & ineffectual efforts to reduce it.

25) Global cooling now in progress since February 2016 can be predicted to last at least 28 years (i.e. to 2044), matching the sun’s 28-year decline from 1991 to today, and allowing for the 25-year time-lag (Bullet 21). Inescapable conclusion: IPCC is wrong − the sun, not CO2, drove modern global warming.

Here’s some information about Dr. Higgs
http://www.geoclastica.com/BudeGeoWalks.htm

Thanks to Dr Roger Higgs for this link

Contact rogerhiggs@hotmail.com for literature sources for any of the aforementioned ‘Inconvenient Facts’


32 thoughts on “25 simple bullet points proving CO2 does not cause global warming: by a geologist for a change”

  1. good list. amazing how geologists who really ARE the people who have a better grasp of mans brief time and natures eons of creating/ upheavals and ongoing developments dont get a look in when the warmists ‘say” they study the planet..PROF< Ian Plimers had the same problems in Aus, before the agw hoax he won awards and was frequently on the media, now? unseen or heard by the same media, controlling the sheeple majority.

  2. This is all well and good how ever one must recognize that we are not dealing merely with science fraud but with a very popular, government and media approved of religious faith. Against this the truth is a hard sell.

  3. We have heard these truths before.

    The problem is not that the truth is undiscovered, but that it is not being as widely disseminated as the lies.

    What we need here are not more scientists, but more public relations and media experts .

  4. Thank you very much for this perspective. As a thermodynamisist, I have to agree with the geologists on this one!

  5. Well said.

    A few more points:

    1. Fewer air pollutants since 1970 as air pollution laws went into effect. More of the Sun’s energy reached the Earth. Also, the switch from coal to natural gas as home heating fuel put far less particulate matter into the air.

    2. Fewer hurricanes caused warmer sea surface temperatures. Not increased CO2.

    3. Warmer urban nights are due to increased building density, increased energy use per capita, and increased relative humidity due to water use.

    4.

  6. Just to add a note: while we had good weather with temperatures up to 25C over the Easter period, here in southern England, 30 miles south west of London, today the afternoon temperature is down to 10C which was certainly not forecast last evening!

    Sonya

  7. One also wonders how many paleoclimatologists are part of the IPCC. I would suspect that there aren’t any.

  8. He left out fact #26
    The Earth’s Temperature has not increased since 1934, it has gone down and then back up again but it has not increased over 1934. CO2 has climbed from 300 ppm to 410 ppm since 1934.

  9. I disagree with item 5. It would be an extremely hard if not impossible to create a thermodynamic model of the atmosphere because of the hundreds of factors involved. However it is possible to experimentally demonstrate that Increasing the CO2 concentration in the atmospheric has almost no effect on temperature. You do not have to completely model the atmosphere to do this.

  10. I wish the general public would be exposed to this history of Earth’s climate rather than the hysteria they hear in the mainstream media.

    Larry E. Matthews
    Professional Geologist

    • There are only 2 ways the “general public” will be exposed to the history of the Earth’s climate –
      1. The temperature drops so far no one can claim CO2 is in control
      2. The Main Stream Media does their JOB and starts questioning the validly of CO2 being the cause of climate change.

      Number 1 will happen before Number 2. Thinking people have been questioning and have been pinned with derogatory names. Proof that those questioning are correct.

      We have to get Trump elected for another 4 years.

    • Colorado’s 2018-19 winter was at or near record breaking. Huge amounts of snow caused avalanches that changed landscape in some mountain areas…two ski resorts (Aspen mountain and A Basin) are still accommodating skiers and snow boarders well into June. I haven’t seen a winter like this since the year of the record breaking blizzard of 1982 and the early 70s. I see no mention of most of this in national news but just read an article on near record breaking heat in Vegas, which Google puts front and center on my phones “news just for you”

  11. For the record, Australian researcher Robert Holmes’ peer-reviewed Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law (pub. December 2017) definitively refutes any possible CO2 connection to climate variations: Where Temperature T = PM/Rp, any planet’s near-surface global Temperature T equates to its Atmospheric Pressure P times Mean Molar Mass M over its Gas Constant R times Atmospheric Density p.

    Applying Holmes’ relation to all planets in Earth’s solar system, zero error-margins attest that there is no empirical or mathematical basis for any “forced” carbon-accumulation factor (CO2) affecting Planet Earth. To say that commentators of all stripes have studiously neglected this definitive insight is an extreme understatement: When facts don’t matter, myths sow Cadmus’ dragons-teeth that spring up as armed men.

    Knowing where climate deviants’ antinomian crusade must lead, best arm yourselves with blades that cut through more than words.

  12. In point 4, it is said that temperatures have increased 1 deg C since 1850. I want to know how they measured global temperatures in the 1850’s. After all, there was no electricity, most ships were still powered by sail, and so where were all the ocean measuring ships; how many settlements in the 2 polar regions; what form of records did they keep (likely paper journals if any); how did this data all get digitized etc.

    So, for 100 years from 1850 there were no computers, and the first use of Hollerith cards for the census was in 1890. How much can we really say about global temps way back then?

    • Also, the first weather stations were in the northern hemisphere on the colder N.-America and Europe. Subsequently the number of weather stations increased, particularly in the warmer southern hemisphere continents. Apples are compared with bananas! Can someone please inform me, since when were thermometers calibrated to one or two decimals of a degree? Then there is also the increasing effect of urban heating, and badly located weather stations. Large parts of the earth, e.g. the Sahara have only widely distributed weather stations and temperatures in between are computer-generated. I am a ‘retired’ geologist.

    • Eric, the same way they claim they know now. Very little of the earth has temperature measurements so everything is extrapolated from US and EU city data. UHI makes most of this false. And then they go back and change the data to try and make the dat fit the theory. This is not science! But it is insanity.

    • Analog measuring was no doubt better than we generally would expect today. Digital measures of any temperature today are only analog to digital conversions. Overconfidence in computer modeling in fact is certainly a major factor in why so many models have been loudly broadcast only to fail miserably and hidden from view.

      Computer models (not just climate models of course) are a function of inputs and algorithms, as decided by flawed humans. Models of climate, economics, social science phenomena: a wise man said once, Question everything.

    • As I understand it, there was one outfit that kept really comprehensive temperature records in the 19th century. That was the Hudson Bay Fur Trading Company in Canada. I think Dr Tim Ball could tell you more about it, since he was involved in the conversion of a warehouse full of paper records to other media.

  13. Timely factual information needed and much appreciated. Hope it will bring a return to sanity, rationality and balance. The ‘Crisis’ tidal wave has engulfed Politics, Press, ‘Media’, some Industries, and Advertising. It DOES have the characteristics of a sweeping New Religious Faith (including, sad to say – demonizing deniers). Well, it ain’t over ’til the (ample) lady sings! …..

  14. I wonder if the chemtrails have had any effect? People theorize that they are to block the sun and thus go against warming. But perhaps they cancel this out by holding in heat? I wonder if they are not insignificant in the overall scheme

  15. To me the climate is a big natural orchestra playing a never ending concert.
    The Sun is the conductor setting the place, the tempo, moving the orchestra to the extremes with crescendos and diminuendos as the planetary alignments dictate.
    The oceans are the big Basses, the cellos and double basses, the tubas, contrabass trombones, contrabassoons — all providing a powerful under-pinning for the rest of the orchestra play variations to, all tuned and detuned by lunar cycles.
    Then comes all those natural effects of seasonal and the daily changes, the natural growth and die-back cycles of life, and of the Earth’s seismic changes. These are strings, brass section, woodwind, percussion, harps, keyboards, xylophone, guitars, and all the rest of the instruments that chorus, modulate, harmonize, and syncopate many themes and variations. They provide the melodies and tunes of this climate concerto.

    And where are humans, with their CO2?
    Why they are there, as one rosined hair on the bow of the 3rd viola.

  16. An absolutely great article, but you don’t understand the real factors driving this climate change hoax. HC, CO, and NOx emissions have been driven so low in current production cars, the government and the EPA needed a new boogeyman to go after to keep themselves in control and in business. Current emissions are so small that the exhaust gas analyses of the 1970’s would probably register zero. The real plan here is to eventually eliminate the ICE (internal combustion engine) and put the chumps (us) into electric vehicles that will greatly limit our ability to travel quickly over long distances, thus greater control over the general public. Since gasoline taxes will no longer be adequate for revenue generation, a tracking device will be required to monitor distance traveled and a tax bill will be sent to the registered owner of each and every vehicle, Big Brothers ultimate dream scenario. Europe has already declared the end of ICE engines by 2030, and the 55MPG regulation is still in place for 2025 in the US unless Trump can get this changed. It does not seem to be on his agenda so far. Even most hybrids will not be able to make this number especially in the vehicle of choice SUV’s. What’s left? EV’s of course.
    The plan is in motion, the truth be damned.

  17. Where does Trump fit into this subject matter if he were to be elected for four more years? This president has not one clue about this. I would love to see intelligent people discuss this without one person spoiling it with political nonsence!

    • I agree with you Barbara, I had hopes that a decent human being would take the highest office and redirect the train with intelligence and knowledge. he’s making matters worse.

      • A decent human being has taken the highest office, a human being who is trying to prevent the invasion of America, who has destroyed ISIS, and who has brought about the lowest unemployment ever recorded for blacks and for Hispanics. It is a shame that these accomplishments pain you.

        In contrast, the previous president, whom you presumably admire, donated $150 billion to an open enemy of America that has sworn to destroy one of America’s allies.

        I’ll stick with Trump.

  18. It’s ABSOLUTELY clear that even if the warming aficionados are correct — not likely — things simply aren’t going to be “fixed” in the time allotted – – – so either way, eat, drink and be merry!!

  19. Half a century from Malthusian Paul Ehrlich’s stupefyingly inane “Population Bomb” in 1968, going on ten years from the anonymous “Climategate” publication of chiliastic deviants’ back-story propaganda in November 2009, our 4.5 billion-year old Earth is (once again) due to deliquesce by AD 2030. Indeed, since late Pliocene times about 3.5 million YBP cyclical plate tectonic-driven Ice Ages lasting an average 102 kiloyears have regularly interspersed with median 12,250-year Interglacial Epochs such as the recent Holocene (which ended in AD 1350 with a 500-year Little Ice Age now rebounding over 140 years to c. 2030).

    For the record, Australian researcher Robert Holmes’ peer-reviewed Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law (pub. December 2017) definitively refutes any possible CO2 connection to climate variations: Where Temperature T = PM/Rp, any planet’s near-surface global Temperature T equates to its Atmospheric Pressure P times Mean Molar Mass M over its Gas Constant R times Atmospheric Density p.

    Applying Holmes’ relation to all planets in Earth’s solar system, zero error-margins attest that there is no empirical or mathematical basis for any “forced” carbon-accumulation factor (CO2) affecting Planet Earth. To say that commentators of all stripes have studiously neglected this definitive insight is an extreme understatement: When facts don’t matter, myths sow Cadmus’ dragons-teeth that spring up as armed men. Knowing where climate deviants’ antinomian crusade must lead, best arm yourselves with blades that cut through more than words.

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