Cattle farmers in Southern Texas Facing a Disaster


“Who could’ve imagined 40 to 44 inches of rainfall?” (More than four feet in some areas.)
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Cattle farmers in Southern Texas Facing a Disaster

By Caroline Snyder

Regarding Texas, due to the “extreme” climate back in the 16th Century (floods and drought that affected that area during the last Little Ice Age) many settled tribes saw crop failures, death and starvation, and reverted back to a hunter-gatherer existence, joining (and warring with) the bison-hunting tribes on the Great Plains to the North.

Cattle farmers in Southern Texas Face a Disaster right now.

HURRICANE HARVEY WREAKS HAVOC ON TEXAS CATTLE AS RANCHERS HOPE FLOOD WATERS RECEDE

A lot of these guys have dealt with high water but nothing like this. Who could’ve imagined 40 to 44 inches of rainfall?”

About 1.2 million beef cows are in the 54 counties that have been declared disaster areas due to Hurricane Harvey, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The total is a “conservative estimate” and encompasses 27% of the state’s herd, according to Texas A&M University livestock economist David Anderson.

Early on, the storm was expected to be a so-called 100-year flood, then became a 500-year flood and is now what some officials consider an 800-year flood.

http://www.agriculture.com/news/livestock/hurricane-harvey-wreaks-havoc-on-texas-cattle-as-ranchers-hope-flood-waters-recede

Note from Robert:
In chapter 17 of Not by Fire but by Ice, I warn of massive floods as we head into the coming ice age.  I’m therefore not overly surprised that an 800-year flood could occur.

In fact, I fear this is just the beginning. I fear we’ll be seeing more such floods – cattle-destroying and crop destroying floods – around the world.
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24 thoughts on “Cattle farmers in Southern Texas Facing a Disaster

  1. Russia, 30.08.2017: In Sochi, after 15 tornadoes, the first snow fell.
    Over a day and a half dozen tornadoes formed over the Black Sea in the water area of ​​Sochi. And in the mountains snow fell.
    Meteorologists counted about 15 tornadoes, which were born in the last day in the Black Sea and in it also were extinguished. None of the eddies on land came out, told RIA Novosti, deputy head of the Department of Civil Defense and Population Protection Administration of Sochi, Vladimir Kondratenko.
    On Krasnaya Polyana, heavy rainfall took place, about 3-6 millimeters of precipitation fell, in Imeretinka – up to 18 millimeters, Kondratenko said. And in the mountains at an altitude of more than 2 thousand meters the day before the first snow fell.
    In connection with the deterioration of the weather, all city services in Sochi are transferred to an enhanced mode of operation. Previously, the Ministry of Emergency warned tourists and residents of the city that in the next few hours in the area of ​​the resort may form tornadoes. Rescuers recommend vacationers on the beach, noticing the sea is a dangerous phenomenon, immediately take refuge in a safe place. However, eyewitnesses continue to shoot on video and publish in the social network impressive shots, for example, landing the aircraft in the storm zone.
    http://www.ntv.ru/novosti/1921661/
    http://img2.ntv.ru/home/news/20170830/sochi_vs.jpg

  2. In Phoenix AZ, there are ruins archaeologists have unearthed of a civilization from about 1000 AD and earlier. They even had basketball courts like the Mayans had. Then a series of enormous floods wiped them out. Only a few hunter gatherers were around when the Spanish arrived.

  3. Imagine if temperatures had been cold at the time in winter. 44 inches of precip equals 440 inches of snow. (Over 36 feet!)
    This is how ice ages begin. Right Bob?

  4. I fully agree with Robert concerning his analysis. Preceding the Ice Age winter that we are going to suffer this season there will be autumn flooding like as in Texas on a scale that most think to be not possible. Then will come the winter as a sudden “flash freeze” fall in temperatures with rivers freezing solid and blizzard conditions dumping heavy amounts of snow all across the continent of North America. If the USA start a war in Korea then it will be a mistake akin to the mistake Napoleon made when he invaded Russia. The Germans made the same blunder during WW2. Instead of investing in warfare it would be better to invest in winter survival equipment. I hope that Texas will be able to transport the affected herds of cattle to dry land.

  5. “Who could’ve imagined 40 to 44 inches of rainfall?”

    You don’t need to imagine it –

    Statistics for cyclone rainfalls in Queensland – note the Brisbane floods of 1974 – 51.89 inches of rain.

    Precipitation Storm Location
    Rank mm inches
    1 1,947 76.65 Peter 1979 Mount Bellenden Ker

    2 1,870 73.62 Rona–Frank 1999 Mount Bellenden Ker

    3 1,318 51.89 Wanda 1974 Mount Glorious

    4 1,256.8 49.48 Fletcher 2014 Kowanyama

    5 1,082 42.60 Aivu 1989 Dalrymple Heights

    6 1,065 41.93 May 1998 Burketown

    7 1,000 39.37 Justin 1997 Willis Island

    7 1,000 39.37 Ellie 2009

    7 1,000 39.37 Oswald 2013 Tully

    8 986 38.82 Debbie 2017 Clarke Range

    In the 2011 Brisbane flood ” Three-day totals exceeded 200 mm over most of the area bounded by Brisbane, Gympie and Toowoomba, including the majority of the Brisbane River Catchment. ” lending credence to the claim that mismanagement of the flood control dam at Wivenhoe which had been held at perilously high levels due to climate alarm was the major cause.

    In 2013 Oswald turned into a tropical low and continued to dump copious amounts of rain over inland Queensland over an area about 100 km wide and 1300 km or more in length.

    I think Oswald is the weirdest event I have ever seen – a moderately weak cyclone crosses the coast near Tully in north Queensland and just rains and rains for a fortnight as it slowly travels south.

    Gladstone is located some 860 km from where Oswald crossed the coast – 860 km !

    “Among major population centres, Gladstone appears to have copped the heaviest falls. The coastal Queensland city registered 819.8 millimetres of rain in the four days to Sunday, not far shy of its annual average rainfall of 883 millimetres.

    Gladstone collected more rain over the four days than it did during the whole of 2011 or 2012.”

    Oswald was not a cyclone by this stage.

    Now that’s drought breaking !

  6. Some weird weather in the US this past week. Redding, in Shasta County in the north of California, to hit 46C on Saturday. What next? Blizzards in International Falls by Halloween?

    • The US Drought Monitor reported this week (Aug 29 2017) that “parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan experienced their first freeze of the season, 3-6 weeks earlier than normal.

      It was in 2013 that the October 4th blizzard which hit the upper Plains states wiped out up to 100,000 cattle; this comes on the heels of another major early season storm to hit North Dakota in October 2008.

      You can call it weird, but mother nature doesn’t play by our rule book—she plays by hers.

    • God I hope not I live in International Falls, however November 1st is the opening of deer season for rifle hunters so a fresh snowpack will make easier to track and get a kill

    • Haloween Blizzard 1991 16″ of snow in southern MN.Finished my fall tillage that night in whiteout conditions. Chritsmas Eve Day 55 degrees no snow left.Minnesota:If you dont like the weather,wait 24 hrs!

  7. Conditions just happened to be perfect – the perfect storm – whereby normal landfall speeds and direction of travel would have weakened the storm centre and produce far less rain, but this baby was dragged back to the coast by the airflow over the ocean, where it sat for ages. I’ve not studied the bigger picture but what effects did the jet-stream have on the storm becoming stuck over the coastal areas? Nice to see the news stating that several different factors played a part instead of blaming CO2 as they usually do.

  8. the worst part is the poor CAFO cattle that cant move to high ground as usually theyre on plains for ease of humans access and roads etc. free ranging ones at least have some better chances to find high ground and wait it out. the pig and chicken farms arent mentioned
    they didnt stand a snowballs chance in hell.
    and then theres all the manure storage dams/pits etc that will be inundated and adding to the risk of diseases in waters.
    yeah free range ones poop too
    but the manure is demolished by dung beetles and flies etc pretty fast in warmer weather
    and its also drier and less likely to be such a toxic mess.

    i saw some heartwarming rescues in houston of pets stranded on cars and clinging to homes, i wondered how the private zoos went with larger beasts like lions tigers etc are coping?
    i know one alligator farm was at near breakout stage as the water rose allowing the gators to float over the tops of the cages.
    some places will benefit from the silt enriched with minerals ending up on their soils
    of course the poor homeowners wont see that as a bonus;-(
    having been in a flood and having my entire yard mulch n animals poop land IN my home, i can sympathize, its pretty heartbreaking and damned hard to remove wet stinking carpet etc.

  9. A slow moving Hurricane always brings heavy rains… .. AS CLIMATE over a large area finally gets much colder, the Tropical Rain Belt shifts Southward… .. Over a long period of time, areas which were once rich in Vegetation because of sufficient rainfall, can become Desert; whereby averaged rainfalls had plummeted… .. .Counter-Intuitively for some, exceptionally cold climate will reduce rainfall: for then, much of the surface water which would have more easily evaporated under normal Solar Radiation will be locked up as ICE, replete with Air Temps below Freezing and all under a Cold Dim Sun.. ..

    Phys Org – The climatic toll of volcanic eruptions
    https://phys.org/news/2016-10-climatic-toll-volcanic-eruptions.html#nRlv

  10. Like many of his neighbors, Robby Reed had high hopes for his cotton fields in 2017.

    “It was going to be my best cotton crop year ever,” said Reed, who raises a variety of crops on some 2,500 acres outside of Bay City, about 80 miles southwest of Houston. “Everybody was making big cotton crops.”

    Then along came Harvey.

    The hurricane-turned-tropical storm devastated a wide swath along Texas’ Coastal Bend. Flooding from the relentless rains sent five feet of water into Reed’s two-story house and swamped his only partially harvested cotton fields.

    The value of the TX cotton harvest statewide in 2013 was $2,000,000,000 — or 2 billion dollars. Cotton is Texas’s largest field crop.

    https://www.texastribune.org/2017/08/30/harveys-winds-and-rain-disrupt-texas-agriculture/

  11. Since August 31 in Moscow, frosts are possible!
    In the climate, the meteorological autumn in Moscow begins in the last decade of August, from the 24th, the average daily temperature becomes less than 15°C. And on August 31 – the date of the first freeze, which was observed in 1885 and amounted to -1.2ºC.
    And this year, the last night of August in the capital’s region got pretty cold. In the suburbs of Moscow, frost on the grass support (at a level of 2 cm from the soil surface) was observed in Mozhaisk sites up to -2°C, in Istra at -1ºC. Such a cold night in the suburbs in the 21st century never happened!
    http://hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=170831114919

  12. According to the British Daily Mail, back in 2009, the last Ice Age didn’t take years to evolve, but arrived in 6 months.

    Just saying…

      • Robert,
        The literature has quite a number of citations regarding the rapidity of abrupt climate change—this link is to one of the “reputable” science organizations and is quoted as saying,

        By the 20th century, scientists had rejected old tales of world catastrophe, and were convinced that global climate could change only gradually over many tens of thousands of years. But in the 1950s, a few scientists found evidence that some changes in the past had taken only a few thousand years. During the 1960s and 1970s other data, supported by new theories and new attitudes about human influences, reduced the time a change might require to hundreds of years. Many doubted that such a rapid shift could have befallen the planet as a whole. The 1980s and 1990s brought proof (chiefly from studies of ancient ice) that the global climate could indeed shift, radically and catastrophically, within a century — perhaps even within a decade.

        https://history.aip.org/climate/rapid.htm

  13. They really need to stop with the hyperbole Tropical Storm Allison happened a little more than a decade ago, the huge drought that Texas was having in 2013 that was being called a permanent drought got busted by what was supposed to be 500 year flooding. Houston is a hurricane prone area these things happen. It’s devastating but they happen and it’s definitely not just every 500 years

  14. I’m very sorry to say that I strongly suspect there will be another such event within the next 18 months.
    Repairing the damage once will cost an estimated 125 billion dollars.
    Do you think they will pay to repair it twice ?

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