Comparing our latest cold outbreak to the ice-age map

Shoot! I may not have moved far enough south into Texas. (I’m up near Dallas/Fort Worth, which has been damned cold.) Oh well, at least I won’t be covered by ice.


Comparing our latest cold outbreak to the ice-age map

Robert W Felix

Take a look at these graphs. The thick black line shows how far south the ice advanced during the last ice age. The dark dotted line shows how far south the ice advanced during a previous ice age.

Now look at the map below. It shows how far south the freezing temperatures, record low temperatures, extended during this las cold outbreak.

Do you see any similarities?

In my book Not by Fire but by Ice I warned that during an ice age, the climate of Chicago would move to Georgia.

Unfortunately, I fear that such a scenario may be unfolding before our very eyes.

Also unfortunately, I see our leaders vainly gearing up their attempts to fight the imagined – imagined! – ill effects of rising CO2 levels.

They are apparently ignorant of the fact that CO2 levels in the past have been far, far, far higher than today.

Now look at this graph, “Global Temperature and Atmospheric CO2 over Geologic Time.”

See where CO2 levels stand today (at the far right side of the graph)?

And do you see what happened the last time CO2 levels dropped that far in the past? An ice age!

Forget this global warming crap. We should be preparing for the colder weather that we must inevitably face.

Continuing our misguided attempts to fight global warming, I maintain, would border on criminal. An ice age, even a little ice age, would be far, far more dangerous than any purported warming.

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50 thoughts on “Comparing our latest cold outbreak to the ice-age map”

  1. facebook won’t let me post this link, it says you are from austrailia and they are blocking news from austrailia to avoid paying up. i didn’t realize texas was in austrailia

  2. “Continuing our misguided attempts to fight global warming, I maintain, would border on criminal. An ice age, even a little ice age, would be far, far more dangerous than any purported warming.” – Robert W Felix

    Yes, true. But it’s never been about ‘the science’ (as they love to call it) and it’s anything but misguided. In fact, it’s the opposite of that. It’s carefully directed and deliberate.
    In order to establish a new order, you have to weaken and dismantle the old order. The world runs on cheap readily-available energy. Control the world’s supply of energy and you control the world’s economy. Control the world’s economy and you control the world’s people.
    And totalitarian control is the name of the game. Simple.

    It’s not an accident.
    It’s not even just profiteering by unscrupulous politicians and business moguls (although it IS that too).
    It’s an orchestrated top-down program by sinister international forces to crush individual freedom once and for all.
    And the COVID-19 scare campaign is just more of the same.
    Apply this knowledge to every climate and COVID directive and the apparent madness of it all makes perfect sense. We’re being taken for a ride … and it’s a one-way trip.

    • Ingroup-outgroup morality is a strong survival trait. Our lords and masters need things that provide a universal outgroup threat to most everyone.

      Currently they are using global warming and the cornholeya virus – universal threats. Throw in a world-wide depression and people will be begging for a World Government.

      First our ancestors were domesticated by alpha-male social hierarchies, then were domesticated by government/nations, and soon they will be domesticated by World Government.

      Then the eradication of the Unnecessaries will happen.

      • This cold interisting enough got sort of block from hitting the Eastern seaboard.Febuary has been the month for ice events more then snow in the middle Alantic .La ninas can have alot of mix ice change over events where as el ninos you get the really big east coast snow storms.

      • Robert, I just moved to NE Dallas in November 2020. I just assumed it was normal winter weather here. I continued providing shuttle service in 12 hour shifts from 8 pm Feb 10th through 8 am Feb 18th, averaging 350 miles and 20 trips per night.
        I will say there were very few vehicles on the road and virtually no snow removal equipment of any type. The coldest temp I experienced was pulling into DFW on the morning of the 16th and it was -1.

  3. Heck yes Dallas does get cold in winter. They’re far from the ocean and no mountains to their north to modify the arctic air heading straight south into that state. The best place to escape the cold might be south Florida.

    • The best place to escape the cold might be south Florida.


      Perhaps, except that last week the temperatures in Cape Coral, Florida were in the 40’s. Pretty well below normal. People in Mexico died from the cold.

      I think the global warming bull is criminal. When when we are unable to grow enough food because of the cold to easily feed the world what will we do.

      Texans who often get cool temperatures in the winter were hit with record lows, below freezing temperatures last week. Those record lows led to a surge of electricity usage. The windmills and snow covered frozen solar cells could not produce electricity so the utilities had to rely on their coal fired generators but that shouldn’t be a problem. The coal fired generators worked well and came online but were unable to supply the needed energy because the federal government has limited their use to well below capacity. The government would not issue a waiver to the limits of production unless the utilities charged $1500.00 per megawatt (about 15 times normal), usual prices for a megawatt are between $90 and $130 retail in most of Texas.

      Had the utility companies been able to use their plants at capacity there would have been no outages except for the possibility of some storm downed lines.

      The public will never be made aware of these facts because the Corporate mainstream media is complicit in trying to spread the global cooling/carbon disaster lie.

      Americans need to look for the truth and stop acting like frogs swiming in the pot on the hot stove.

      Electric cost:
      .09 per Killowatt (1000 watts)
      An incandescent 100 watt light bulb burning for 10 hours would consume 1000 watts or one killowatt. That equals $.09.

      Burning a 100W incandescant bulb for 100 hours or 10000W then should cost 90 cents. Burning the same bulb for 1000 hours or 100000 watts or 100kw should cost $9. That represents one tenth of a megawatt. Multiply that again by 10 and you get a megawatt which should cost $90.00. This is what Biden wants the utility to charge a minimum of $1500.00 for.

  4. I am here In DFW with you I am mid 50s and my mother mid 70s. Never seen anything close to this in our lifetimes.

  5. Ancient Trees Show When The Earth’s Magnetic Field Last Flipped Out


    Robert: I thought you would find this article interesting.

    However, I disagree with the idea that humans were driven into caves to protect from the Solar radiation. 42,000 years ago, the Earth was in the middle of an Ice Age. I would expect to see temperatures like those that middle America and Texas endured recently would be a typical winter day.

    A cave would be much warmer than some stick hut in the forest thanks to Mother Earth maintaining about 50F temperature underground. I believe humans used caves for both warmth and security during the Ice Age. Unfortunately, humans have poor night vision, therefore humans would have to venture out in daylight to search for food, and not hide in a cave to evade Solar radiation.

    *** The article:

    An ancient, well-preserved tree that was alive the last time the Earth’s magnetic poles flipped has helped scientists pin down more precise timing of that event, which occurred about 42,000 years ago.

    This new information has led them to link the flipping of the poles to key moments in the prehistoric record, like the sudden appearance of cave art and the mysterious extinction of large mammals and the Neanderthals. They argue that the weakening of the Earth’s magnetic field would have briefly transformed the world by altering its climate and allowing far more ultraviolet light to pour in.

    Their provocative analysis, in the journal Science, is sure to get researchers talking. Until now, scientists have mostly assumed that magnetic field reversals didn’t matter much for life on Earth — although some geologists have noted that die-offs of large mammals seemed to occur in periods when the Earth’s magnetic field was weak.

    The Earth is a giant magnet because its core is solid iron, and swirling around it is an ocean of molten metal. This churning creates a huge magnetic field, one that wraps around the planet and protects it from charged cosmic rays coming in from outer space.

    Sometimes, for reasons scientists do not fully understand, the magnetic field becomes unstable and its north and south poles can flip. The last major reversal, though it was short-lived, happened around 42,000 years ago.

    This reversal is called the Laschamp excursion, after lava flows in France that contain bits of iron that are basically pointed the wrong way. Volcanic activity back then, during the flip, produced this distinctive iron signature as the molten lava cooled and locked the iron into place. Iron molecules embedded in sediments around the world also captured a record of this magnetic wobble, which unfolded over about a thousand years.

    “Even though it was short, the North Pole did wander across North America, right out towards New York, actually, and then back again across to Oregon,” says Alan Cooper, an evolutionary biologist with Blue Sky Genetics and the South Australian Museum. He explains that it “then zoomed down through the Pacific really fast to Antarctica and hung out there for about 400 years and then shot back up through the Indian Ocean to the North Pole again.”

    These changes were accompanied by a weakening in the magnetic field, he says, to as low as about 6% of its strength today.

    He and colleague Chris Turney, an earth scientist at the University of New South Wales, found a new way to study the exact timing of all this, using unusual trees in New Zealand.

    Giant kauri trees can live for thousands of years and can end up well preserved in bogs. “The trees themselves are quite unique,” says Cooper. “They’re a time capsule in a way that you don’t really get anywhere else in the world.”

    Inside trees that lived during the last magnetic flip, the researchers and their colleagues looked for a form of carbon created when cosmic rays hit the upper atmosphere. More of these rays come in when the magnetic field is weak, so levels of this carbon go up.

    The trees, with their calendar-like set of rings, took in this kind of carbon and laid it down as wood. That let the researchers see exactly when levels rose and peaked and then fell again. One tree in particular had a 1,700-year record that spanned the period of the greatest changes.

    By creating a precise timeline, the research team was able to compare the magnetic field’s weakening to other well-established timelines in the archaeological and climate records.

    “We really think actually there’s quite considerable impacts going on here,” says Cooper.

    They also turned to advanced climate modeling to try to understand how the magnetic changes would have affected conditions on the planet. The ozone layer, in particular, would have taken a beating.

    “If you damage the ozone layer, as we’ve found out, you change the way in which the sun’s heat actually impacts the Earth,” says Cooper. “And as soon as you start doing that, you change weather patterns because wind directions and heating goes AWOL, goes all over the place.”

    If the sun went through one of its periodic conniptions when the strength of the Earth’s magnetic field was turned way down, he says, a solar flare or storm would have sent a burst of radiation that could have had massive consequences for people living back then.

    “This is what we think actually drove them into caves,” says Cooper. “You would not want to be outside during daylight hours.”

    He admits that it’s difficult to draw clear links among all these various events “at this stage. But I think that’s always true when you’re putting forward such a radical new theory.” He notes that the idea of an asteroid killing off the dinosaurs once seemed far-fetched as well.

    Other researchers say they’re really struck by the fact that the scientists were able to construct such a detailed record of the timing of magnetic changes by looking at these trees.

    “That high-resolution temporal record is, I think, pretty impressive,” says Brad Singer, a geologist at the University of Wisconsin-Madison who studies the history of the Earth’s magnetic field but was not part of the research team. “This is only a small number of specimens that they measured, but the results look fairly reproducible in the different trees, and I think that’s a pretty impressive set of data.”

    He thinks this report will steer people’s attention to do work that could test this proposal that reversals of the Earth’s magnetic field could disturb its life.

    James Channell, a geologist at the University of Florida, questioned whether other kinds of historical records, like ice cores, support the idea of a global climate crisis around 42,000 years ago. He works mostly on the North Atlantic, he says, and isn’t aware of anything very dramatic going on there at that time.

    Still, he has previously written about the possibility that magnetic field weakening was linked to die-offs of large mammals, so he was “thrilled” to see someone else connecting those two things. Large mammals, he notes, are long-lived and susceptible to damage from prolonged exposure to the ultraviolet radiation that would increase during periods when the magnetic field was weak.

    “From what we know about field strength through time, over the last hundred thousand years,” says Channell, “there does appear to be a linkage between extinctions and low geomagnetic field strength.”

    • You had me until the quote of the name Chris Turney !

      Remember this ?

      “A Russian research vessel stuck in thick Antarctic ice for a fortnight has finally managed to break free, bringing to an end a long-running rescue mission.”

      Turney was going to Antarctica in SUMMER to study the devastating effects of climate change on the ice there when they were trapped in a build up of sea ice LOL !

      Anything that hack puts his name to is therefore extremely suspect !

    • “The Earth is a giant magnet because its core is solid iron, and swirling around it is an ocean of molten metal. This churning creates a huge magnetic field, one that wraps around the planet and protects it from charged cosmic rays coming in from outer space.”

      The Earth is a giant magnet — True.

      …protects it from charged cosmic rays coming in from outer space — Plausible (we’ll take their word for it).

      The rest is unsubstantiated nonsense that is taught religiously as scientific dogma.

      Beyond scratching around the surface, no-one has any clue what is contained inside our planet. Anyone who says otherwise is just making stuff up.

      Just like the dogma of fluffy snowballs in space sprouting comet tails, the lore of swirling molten metal creating magnetic fields is demonstrably false. Try swirling a bowl of mercury and see how much magnetism is created.

      Never mind that no-one can substantiate the claim of an ocean of swirling molten metal being down there in the first place.

      So let’s just go with what we know – the Earth has a magnetic field, and apparently it occasionally flips.

      I’ll keep my compass handy so I know when it happens.

      • Yeah, makes no sense to me either, How could the center of the earth be solid Iron if Iron melts at 950 degrees and this solid iron core is surrounded by molten metal? Maybe if the core was made of Diamond, it wouldn’t melt.

  6. Fancy a court case against Bill Gates’ proposal to ‘block out sunlight’ to ‘control global warming’?

    In my opinion, it is firstly illegal for any human being, corporation or bunch of investors to remove the right of all living species to benefit from the warming rays of the sun.

    Secondly, if we were going to be doing such a radical thing, then it should only be done with the consent of the whole of an informed population. It is impossible to inform a population with propaganda, you can only do it with the truth….informed consent is never achieved using propaganda, all you have then is UNINFORMED consent.

    Thirdly, if you ARE going to ‘block out sunlight’, in no way should you be making profits by doing so. That is something affecting everyone, sunlight is not something we can opt out of, so it is entirely inappropriate for any capitalist system to take a position in.

    I don’t know why the USA and the whole world hasn’t already regulated ‘controlling solar incoming radiation’, outlawing private initiatives to control it.

    It’s part of the global commons and should be managed using the rules of the commons.

    • “I don’t know why the USA and the whole world hasn’t already regulated ‘controlling solar incoming radiation’, outlawing private initiatives to control it.”

      You have good intentions, but the answer to your rhetorical question is right there in the question.

      It’s the USA that regularly engages in high seas piracy, routinely invades and pillages defenceless nations and is in the process of militarising space, all with contempt for international law and conventions.

      If we desire to manage the global commons using the rules of the global commons, perhaps we first need certain indispensable nations to understand and accept those rules.

  7. I was amused to see the earlier long range f/casts for usa had well above/above avg for the areas that just got frozen.
    boy did they get that wrong!!
    hope you werent under the flight path of the plane that dropped bits today Robert?

    • Right! The weather channel put out a Feb long range forecast map about Jan 28th for Feb, showing much above temps for Feb. Then, quickly took it down about 2 days later. The revised map was also a failure, just not as bad.

  8. What turned out to be a winter storm and record frosts for the US

    This winter for the United States ended up being extreme. Meteorologists recorded an update of more than two thousand absolute temperature minima, which were observed almost daily. Heavy snowfalls were noted, and the south and east of the country were dominated by tornadoes. There were some casualties.

    The “Siberian climate” and its consequences have become the reason for the death of people, from hypothermia, carbon monoxide poisoning, fires, tornadoes, road accidents, falls on the ice and other accidents.

    The worst hit is the state of Texas, where serious problems with electricity and water supply are compounded by weather disasters.
    The climate standards will be revised.
    Will the abnormal become normal now?

    We often refer to the concept of “climate norm”.
    What is that? The climatic norm is determined by processing the results of meteorological observations obtained during the “base period”. Now, the base period is from 1961 to 1990.

    But the climate is changing and it’s time to revise the rules too!
    The scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center, Roman Vilfand, said that from 2022 Russian meteorologists plan to introduce new parameters of temperature abnormality.
    The base period will now be from 1991 to 2020.

    Wilfand clarified that, after recalculation, the deviations from the norm will not be as great as they are now. ‘But this only works with positive anomalies’.
    In the event of severe frosts, deviations from the new rules, on the contrary, will be even more frightening.

    In Tatarstan, for example, it is very cold today. The peak of frost will be on February 23. And, if the temperature anomaly now reaches 20 degrees, then after the overhaul the gap will widen even more!

  9. In an ice age, would the polar vortex permanently reorient itself towards the central plains of North America? Is this a foreshadowing of things to come?

  10. We are, unfortunately, not talking about science, but about politics. the body Politic has found a way they feel can increase their control over the peoples of the Earth, and they are hell-bent on doing so, regardless of reality. It will take really severe warnings for this to change as politicians are not noted for their mental abilities.

  11. Robert, if this turns into another LIttle Ice Age, nothing will surprise me less.
    I have one more picture to shoot, then I’ll send what I have to you.

  12. Got wool? When I moved to Texas I kept my wool sweaters and wore a couple layers of them during this freeze. You’re far enough south but be prepared with a wood stove in addition to the usual tornado preps.

  13. Robert, stunning comparison those two maps. The more you look at the evidence, there seems little doubt that a Grand Solar Minimum starting and that may be the beginning of the end for the Holocene as well.

    Read your books Not By Fire and Evolutionary Leaps years ago. Thanks for maintaining this website.

  14. It seems global cooling is chasing you… How many feet of global warming did you shovel from your driveway?
    You should move to the area between Veneto and Friuli regions in the north-east of Italy. Here In the plains snow is scarce and lasts only a few days. At least for now…

  15. One concern I have is what comes after this next ice age. We are in the midst of a glacial period which has lasted for the past million years, with 100ky periodicity for interstadials (~10ky warming). Clearly the normal state for our planet is glacial. What if for some reason we never come out of this next one?

    But in reality none of that matters, at least to us. This return to glacial conditions will last most of the next 100k years. None of us will be around to see it end. Everyone is concerned about cold as a transient phenomenon, like the Little Ice Age. But when we return to glacial conditions, it will look anything but transient.

  16. I suspect that everybody, no matter where you are in the US, is going to have to learn to deal with the cold. After all, Chicago has been livable in the historical past despite the cold — so Georgia turning into Chicago-style weather ought to be survivable too. Just WAY different than it is now.

    It’ll be a hard, sharp adjustment to those of us who lived during the good, warm times — but our kids and descendants will take the cold as a “given” and find a way to manage.

    That’s what people did during all the previous ice ages. We are the progeny of the survivors, after all.

    The key is, we’ve got to survive the change in order to pass on the wherewithall to carry on. Aye, there’s the rub!

  17. To be frank, the Sun had a massive CME in 2006 that spooked NASA solar scientists, because the sunspot activity did NOT return to normal by 18 months later. It was either very low or non-existent.

    I haven’t checked back on that in months, but NASA does have a long, long series of solar photos going back to that.

    I did wonder then what effect it might have on the weather and the jet stream, and both seem to have become more and more erratic since 2006. There’s much more than just what I’m referring to involved in this, of course, and I’m on solar physicist, but when even the Old Farmers Almanac becomes more accurate with a long-term forecast for this past autumn and winter than the weather guessers, it means that OFA’s methods of forecasting may be more valid than we realize.

    What I find most disturbing is that every politician under the Sun is jumping on the climate bandwagon as a means of getting votes and also with an eye to controlling the populace. One can only hope that whatever follows this winter (which seems about on a par with “close to normal”) will prove them to be so wrong that they can’t take it back.

    And they should NOT be getting more cash out of anyone. Until the cash stops flowing to them, they likely won’t shut up.

  18. Maybe we should all use this as a lesson in considering what the possible weather extremes might be… wherever we are living. It also helps I think to read up about whatever happened in previous ice ages. Here a large part of AZ I understand was a shallow inland sea… tho not specifically where I am. Where I grew up (southern MA)… there were ice sheets 2-3 miles thick in places and I would think the only way to survive that… would be MOVE outta there.

    Having just moved to southern AZ in August 2019 … I’ve been surprised that there are times it gets very cold at night or even more so in early morning. Fortunately I brought my warmest bedding and some warm clothes with me.

    The worst I’ve had here is 28 degrees F, but I was told by a local landscape architect that occasionally we’ll have winters where it gets down to 10 F, which would kill many of the saguaro cactus we have here. This all could happen and still get long hot summers with temps well over 100F. This year we had what they called a “nonsoon” … meaning the summer monsoon rains never came and we are now considered in extreme drought … tho for the time being the water system seems to be hanging in there.

  19. Wouldn’t living anywhere south of the advancing Ice Line in your map be about the same as living in Northern Canada today? Maybe no ice there but still lots of snow and extremely cold!

    • Not necessarily extremely cold. A long, long. l-o-o-o-ng time ago I lived in Juneau, Alaska, just a quarter mile from the Mendenhall Glacier. I was surprised to find that it wasn’t all that cold.

  20. Just remember. Those ice lines didnt mean that the deep cold stopped on those lines. That is where the deepest snows couldn’t warm up enough to melt. You can be assured that the abnormal cold still reached about 200 miles further south but was able to melt off in the summers.

  21. Maybe this was just one unusual Northern Hemisphere winter – no-one has the copyright on the climate rule-book.

    Meanwhile, something is afoot with the urgent moves by the elite class and their willing minions to lock us all down and herd us into the Corona Chan camp.

    Maybe they know something they think we don’t.

    Let’s just see how the next few years turn out.

    If the Ice Age hypothesis pans out, by 2030 the big freeze will just be getting underway, and should be nicely entrenched by around 2050 for the next 100 years or so (if we’re lucky).

  22. I live on the southern county line south of Ft. Worth. We hit -2.* with wind chills at -15*. Electric grid crashed. Only way to get hot water or heat anything was out on the grill. I’ve lived here for 69 years. I’ve seen everything this area can dish out, until this Polar Vortex dive, if this is a preview of the future, we better start preparing and I mean big time.
    Our politicians are asleep at the switch and it seems their intelligence quotient gets worse with every election. I’ve decided I have no one to rely on but myself and my family. Heart breaking.

  23. While ice may have shaped some of America’s topography, the fact that the mid-section of the U.S., is relatively flat, means there are no natural barriers to either arctic or gulf air masses. It might explain why the ice extent roughly follows the U.S./Canada border in the west, and dips much farther south in the eastern 1/2 of the U.S.. Living in the Rocky Mountain west, the effects of the mountains on climate is pretty obvious. Temperature variations are often a matter of which side of the mountains you are on.

  24. Hi Robert
    For now move to El Paso. At least the water has high levels of lithium making the town one of the happiest with very low suicide levels. At least you will be happy when it turns cold.

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