Dueling Almanacs

Will it be cold this winter? Longtime rival Almanacs issue far different forecasts.

One – the Farmers’ Almanac – calls for “teeth-shattering cold,” “biting cold” and “stinging cold” in many locations.

The other – the Old Farmer’s Almanac – calls for “warm, dry,” “warm wet” and “mild snowy” in many of the same locations.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-winter-be-nasty-or-nice-depends-which-farmers-almanac-you-read-11545929300


18 thoughts on “Dueling Almanacs”

  1. The ‘Old Farmers Almanac’ is well named as it will be remembered as such when it shuts down next year.

  2. I would love to see a comparison chart in April, 2019. so we can see who was closest to reality. Add in some comparisons for years past and you would have a very interesting article. Thanks.

  3. Does anyone know what Piers Corbyn of Weather Action says about this winter. His website says he is an astrophysicist, theoretical physicist and weather & climate physicist & forecaster. His method is known as The Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT) of Long-Range forecasting. I cannot afford $160 to buy his 5 month forecast for the USA. Does anyone know someone who uses his forecasts? Maybe they could add to the information.

    I have gone with “Farmers Almanac” for years and it always seems much more accurate. Only one year in the last 10 years or so have they missed it.

  4. Waal, I’ll jes’ swan to guinea! If Abe Weatherwise can’t get deadend sunspot cycles right, where are we to turn?

    Keep them jugs a-fillin’, in the pale moonlight.

  5. Death Toll from Cold Doubles & Its Not Over Yet
    28DEC2018
    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/climate/death-toll-from-cold-doubles-its-not-over-yet/

    As the fake academics keep pushing the Global Warming scenarios because that justifies more taxes and they are rewarded with endless grants, I have warned that it is Global Cooling we should be concerned about. Particularly the elderly should really try to relocate to warmer territory. The death rate caused by the extreme cold that has been taking place since 2015 is now officially twice that of the year before. In Britain, they call it winter deaths and in Wales, the death toll has DOUBLED during 2017-18 – rising from 1,850 the year before to 3,400 and winter is not finished yet. We are on track for doubling the 2017-2018 season this round.

    I cannot stress enough, if we see next year (2019-2020) colder than this year’s winter season, get out before it is too late. This is already the sharpest decline in three years on record. If I did not move, perhaps our computers would have figured out a way to call a mover to come to get them on their own. If you have a source of trees and an ax, and the youth required, then good on ya.

  6. India, December 29, 2018. Over 3,000 Tourists Stuck In Sikkim Due To Heavy Snowfall Rescued By Army
    The stranded tourists in Sikkim have been provided food, shelter and warm clothes by the Army.
    GANGTOK: The Indian Army has rescued over 3,000 tourists who were stuck near the India-China border in Sikkim’s Nathula Pass due to heavy snowfall. The jawans have vacated their barracks to accommodate the stranded tourists.
    The stranded tourists include women and children and have been provided food, shelter and warm clothes by the Army, a Defence Ministry official said.
    “300 to 400 civil vehicles were stranded near 17 Mile carrying tourists who were returning after visiting Nathu La Pass along the Indo-China border. The Indian Army immediately swung into action to provide rescue and relief to the stranded tourists including food, shelter, warm clothing and medicines,” the official told news agency ANI.
    Around 1,500 tourists have been accommodated at 17 Mile, while the remaining tourists were shifted to 13 Mile, the official said.
    The Army has also provided heavy machines and dozers of the Border Roads Organisation for snow clearance and restoration of road connectivity.
    Due to heavy snow cover on roads and freezing temperature, the Army is unable to move the tourists ahead, but say that the evacuation operation will continue till all stranded tourists are safely moved out towards Gangtok.
    https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/army-rescues-over-3000-tourists-stuck-in-sikkim-due-to-heavy-snowfall-1969660
    https://c.ndtvimg.com/2018-12/fp92v56o_army-rescue-sikkim_625x300_29_December_18.jpg?output-quality=70&output-format=webp
    https://c.ndtvimg.com/2018-12/5mg5nvao_army-rescue-sikkim_625x300_29_December_18.jpg
    https://c.ndtvimg.com/2018-12/g8fhi7g4_army-rescue-sikkim_625x300_29_December_18.jpg

  7. Heavy snowfall affecting holidaymakers in northern, central Japan
    December 29, 2018 TOKYO — Heavy snowfall hit extensive areas in northern and central Japan along the Sea of Japan coast on Dec. 29, affecting holidaymakers going back to their hometowns to spend the year-end and New Year’s vacation.
    The Japan Meteorological Agency has warned of heavy snowfalls and blizzards in Hokkaido as well as areas along the Sea of Japan coast in northeastern and central Japan among other areas.
    According to Central Japan Railway Co., bullet trains were being forced to travel at reduced speeds on the Nagoya-Kyoto section of the Tokaido Shinkansen Line because of snowfall in central and western Japan. As a result, bullet trains on the line have been delayed by up to 65 minutes.
    Many bullet trains are full of holidaymakers as the year-end and New Year’s holiday period began on Dec. 29.
    Services were completely suspended on Dec. 29 on the JR Ou Line between Niwasaka and Yonezawa, the Kitakami Line between Kitakami and Yokote and the Hanawa Line between Koma and Odate, all in northeastern Japan due to the snow. Trains were also delayed on some lines affected by the snow.
    Many flights mainly to and from the northern island of Hokkaido and the Tohoku region in northeastern Japan have been cancelled, airline companies said.
    A winter atmospheric pressure pattern that has brought the heavy snow is expected to last until around Dec. 30.
    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20181229/p2a/00m/0na/009000c

  8. Found this that made me lost for words

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gc16H3uHKOA

    He wants co2 to zero

    but

    listen to what he says later

    Bill Gates:

    “If we do a really great job on

    *new vaccines
    *health care
    *reproductive health services (abortion)

    we could lower that by perhaps 10 to 15 percent”.

    Go ahead, watch the clip.

    • woo… now THAT was weird! Possibly proves just because you’re rich doesn’t mean you can’t get dementia??

  9. Anything from th WSJ has to be taken with a pinch of salt… its a subversive editorial good at blurring the lines.

  10. There doesn’t seem to be any extreme cold events but tons of rain! I’m sick of it! I’d rather see some snow for a change in Georgia!

  11. In reality it depends on where the Jet streams lie after being blocked by SAW event high pressure systems.

    In some respects they are both right, on the tropical side of the Jet stream its a lot warmer and wetter than the polar side.

    Tip, look at Roberts original ice age now chart for Glacial Advance. the most southerly advance of the ice looks to be at the Jet Stream track for North America duing an Ice adavance.

    The other point is the North Atlantic is now overdue for an NAO winter, with a blocking beast from the East high pressure system stuck in place over the Baltic states for three months.

  12. So far I think this winter stinks here in the SE. I was told by some enthusiastic forecasters in October that this winter was going to be -5F below normal here in the SE. Doesn’t look like it anymore with this mild krap here thru Jan.5th. It would be very hard now for us to be -5F for the winter. Doubt it.

  13. People will remember one was right, and one was wrong, forget which was which due to the similarity of their names, then go out and buy both again next year.

  14. I never buy ANY of these Almanacs. I believe it when I see it.
    Unfortunately I don’t think the cold solution is the right one this year in the East. Most of the model runs look very poor for any sustained cold thru Jan 17th.

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