5 Sep 11 – Heavy snowfalls likely by late October and early November for many parts of UK and Ireland, says long-range weather forecaster James Madden of Exacta Weather.
“Coupled with other in depth factors such as recent volcanic activity and changes to the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic drift that we consider, this does not bode well for the severity of the UK and Northern European winter of winter 2011-12,” says Madden. “Frequent and prolonged cold spells with heavy dumps of snow from blizzard like conditions is likely across many parts of the UK.”
“The areas we expect to be worse hit throughout include the vast majority of Scotland and the Scottish Highlands, Northern England, and Northern Ireland. We have particular concerns as to the huge implications that this may pose to the infrastructure of the UK and Ireland transportation systems/economy.”
Last week, UK-based Positive Weather Solutions also predicted that the winter months will be colder than average everywhere and that some regions will experience significantly colder than average temperatures between December and March.
The agency, which has a relatively high success rate in its long range weather predictions, has also given a 36% chance of the Ireland and Britain experiencing a White Christmas.
Is this indicative of a continued cycle of severe wintry weather?
December 2010 was the coldest December across the UK since the national series began in 1910, according to the UK Met Office.
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Thanks to Thomas McHart for this link