Eminent geophysicist says world on verge of ‘mini ice age’

Thinks it has already begun

“An eminent Mexican geophysicist says that the world may be on the verge of an eighty-year cold period similar to the ‘little ice age’ experienced by Europe from 1300 to 1800 A.D.,” says this article by Matthew Hoffman.

Sunspot Activity Since 1990 - NASA

“Víctor Manuel Velasco, of the University of Mexico’s Institute of Geophysics, says that recent winter conditions are similar to those of the ‘little ice age’, and in particular the ‘Maunder Minimum,’ a period during which sunspot activity dropped significantly,” says Hoffman.

“The geophysicist believes that a “mini ice age” began in 2010 which will last between 60 and 80 years,” according to a University of Mexico press release describing his views.

“We are talking about the period between 1645 and 1715, which is known as the Maunder Minimum, a period in which the sunspots practically disappeared from the surface of the sun, and in which our planet occupied a position similar to which it has today, with respect to the center of gravity of our [solar] system.” Velasco said in an interview published by the university.

The fact that the Earth is in a similar position today in relation to the rest of the solar system as it was during the Maunder Minimum is significant for climate, says Velasco.

Velasco is one of many scientists who question the conclusions of the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

“It will be nature that demonstrates which theory is the correct one,” says Velasco. “However, the Earth is getting colder.”

See entire article:

Thanks to Wanda and David Bronzich for this link

(Although I posted this article in June on the “old” website, readers suggested that I post it again.)

Last year, at the Fourth International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, I had the good fortune to sit just 10 feet away from Dr. Velasco as he presented his views on the coming little ice age.

“Our preliminary studies of the last 2000 years show close connection between the variation of the global maxima and minima periods of secular solar activity and warming and mini ice age occurred during this period,” said Dr. Velasco. “Global warming is associated to ‘high’ solar secular activity and global cooling is associated to ‘low’ solar activity.”

“Such a modulation of the terrestrial temperature may bring unexpected results and consequences to the climatic change in the 21st century that may result in a mini-Ice Age caused by the decrease in solar activity that would begin in 2010 and last about 60 – 80 years,” Velasco added.

I think Dr. Velasco is spot on.

Mountainous regions in the western United States are experiencing epic snowpacks right now. By “epic,” I mean double, triple, sometimes even quadruple normal snowpacks. And many areas have endured the coldest April and May on record.

These record snowpacks and record low temperatures are not surprising when you consider that, according to NASA, the year 2009 marked the deepest solar minimum in nearly a century.

You can link to Dr. Velasco’s PowerPoint presentation at the Chicago Climate Conference here:

Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera is a theoretical physicist and researcher at the Institute of Geophysics of the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM).

“The models and forecasts of the U.N. IPCC “are incorrect because they only are based on mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity,” says Velasco.

Here are four bulletins concerning Dr. Velasco:





11 thoughts on “Eminent geophysicist says world on verge of ‘mini ice age’”

  1. Well Duh..! “Global warming is associated to ‘high’ solar secular activity and global cooling is associated to ‘low’ solar activity.” I couldn’t agree more. In fact, this obvious assertion is proven every year in June, and December. The people who built Stonehenge certainly understood this phenomenon.

    Whether the Sun’s output is diminished and the Earth receives less energy , or the Earth is further from the Sun at perihelion and receives less of the Sun’s energy, the [common sense] conclusion is that less of the Sun’s energy reaching the Earth means cooler temperatures on the Earth, and vise-verse.

    My generation learned this sort of thing as a basic fact in primary school. It boggles the mind that we are having to prove this sort of basic, common sense understanding, of how things work.

    May we be saved from the ‘collective’ stupidity.


  3. HELLO …. “We have to wait until June-July of 2012” for “confirming activity?” You can confirm this the next time you have a cloudy day. Less Sun, Less hot… Works on the Global Scale too..!

    I agree Dr. Valesco is correct about the Sun being the driving force behind climate change. But gosh, you don’t have to be a genius to know that the Sun is the driving force behind everything in the Solar System. To paraphrase; without the Sun, “there won’t be a Shire Pippin.”

    May we be saved from the ‘collective’ stupidity.

  4. Anyone who needs further confirmation that the Sun is the driving force behind climate change and that “Global warming is associated to ‘high’ solar secular activity and global cooling is associated to ‘low’ solar activity,” need only to check out this link to see just what a “Sun” can do to a planet.

    Scientists find star’s radiation frying planet 880 light years from solar system


    May we be saved from the ‘collective’ stupidity.

  5. Tell that to mother nature making the USA have like the 2nd hottest summer on record! The only summers to compete were in the 30s dust bowl era and yes it’s possible to have another one because the protection trees around farms have been mostly knocked down for housing.

    There used to be special trees planted in a certain way to reduce dust if we were to have a 1930s style drought but most of those trees are now long gone.

    • I know what trees you’re talking about, I watched a program on the Dust Bowl, and they talked about how at the end of it, they planted rows of trees thru out the grain belt and Ag areas, to prevent it from happening again. Those trees are gone? That’s scary enough. We just did not learn our lesson from the Dust Bowl, it happened because of bad farming practices, and we use those practices now.

  6. I wish the Midwest would stop having the *beeping* hot summers that seem so Global Warming like.

    I often wonder what summers were like up there during the last mini ice age and if there was occasional freak heat during the summers then like this year.

  7. I agree, but I also think the level of solar activity has to stay at a solar flux reading of 90 or less on average, in order to accomplish a phase in of the items that control earth’s climate, to phase into a definitive cold mode. Spurts of activity can occur, as is now ,but the general solar activity has to stay at a solar flux reading of 90 or less,in my opinion.

  8. While the influence of the sun is a major factor in the way the climate acts, one must consider also the effects of La Nina, the PDO, and volcanic activity that is shooting so much ash into the atmosphere, all of this, seeming to be choreographed like a well tuned instrument. And why? There are reasons we have no knowledge of and obviously, an Intelligence behind it that is far superior to our own.

  9. With over 6 Billion people on the planet, this is going to hurt. It seems that although our limbic brain tells us cold kills, modernity has caused a great lie to be accepted, that the opposite situation is true. Hard lessons are coming.

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