Examining (and destroying) alarmist claims

“Why it is not obvious to all that the climate has been changing (due to natural causes, whatever they are) for hundreds of millions of years … is a mystery.” – Ray Kraft

Even though our planet was warmer than today during the Eemian Period, and even though there were no factories belching anything into the atmosphere at the time, author Conor Purcell, PhD. vainly tries to use the Eemian Period to scare us into submission.

In his commentary below, Ray Kraft demolishes Purcell’s arguments.


Examining (and destroying) alarmist claims

By Ray Kraft

In an article entitled “Climate science looks to the future – And it’s not pretty,” author Conor Purcell, PhD., predicts we are seeing a replay of the Eemian interglacial circa 120,000 years ago when it was a few degrees warmer than now and sea level was 6 – 9 meters higher than now.

He asserts that the warming during the Eemian and today’s warming is / was caused by higher CO2 levels.

However, he fails to account for the cause of the allegedly higher CO2 levels 120,000 years ago (he also does not specify the levels). It could not have been caused by us burning fossil fuels.

He mentions the ice age before the Eemian interglacial as 120,000 to 200,000 years long, but says little more than that about it. He does not say how far sea levels fell during that ice age.

He says nothing about the causes of the end of the Eemian or the onslaught of the most recent ice age, or the causes of the rapid global warming that started circa 12,000 years ago, which obviously could not have been caused by humans burning fossil fuels. I have read that some anthropologists think the last ice age had reduced the global human population to fewer than 10,000 circa 12,000 years ago.

He says nothing about the recurring cycles of global warming and cooling over the last 50,000,000 years, or why the geologically rapid cycles of warming / cooling suddenly began circa 50 million years ago and have continued since, with a long slow cooling trend over 50 million years.

He focuses on the near future – predicting that rising CO2 levels will cause temps 2 to 6 degrees warmer than now by 2100 with much higher sea levels.

But says nothing about accumulating ice in the Arctic and Antarctic now.

Says nothing about the next ice age that will follow, assuming the natural cycles of the last 50,000,000 years continue.

Why it is not obvious to all that the climate has been changing (due to natural causes, whatever they are) for hundreds of millions of years, it didn’t begin with us, it isn’t our fault, we can’t make it stop, our only option is to expect cycles of global warming and global cooling and adapt to climate change as it changes . . . is a mystery.

Of course, if climate change is our fault and we can make it stop, that has ENORMOUS political value.

If climate change is natural and all we can do is adapt, that has ZERO political value.


“The moment a man forms a theory, his imagination sees in every object only the traits that favor his theory.” – Thomas Jefferson, 1787


7 thoughts on “Examining (and destroying) alarmist claims

  1. The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in some places the seals are finding the water too hot, according to a report to the Commerce Department yesterday from Consulate at Bergen Norway

    Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers all point to a radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard-of temperatures in the Arctic zone.

    Exploration expeditions report that scarcely any ice has been met as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes.

    Soundings to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the Gulf Stream still very

    Great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones, the report continued, while at many points well known glaciers have entirely disappeared.

    Very few seals and no white fish are found in the eastern Arctic, while
    vast shoals of herring and smelt which have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the old seal fishing grounds.

    Within a few years it is predicted that due to the ice melt the sea will
    rise and make most coastal cities uninhabitable.

    The above was reported by the AP on Nov 2, 1922.

    • 1922 was in the Gleissberg series of solar cycles with energy output in particular UV and EUV the same as SC20 and the even deeper current cycle SC24.
      All three referenced period have one thing in common – highly meridional Jet Stream Activity which pushes warm wet air and warm sea water Northwards along the Coast of North America, between Greenland and Iceland and into the Arctic Ocean. I would suggest that the Greenland Ice cap had a major Ice increase, and the Water vapour ended up in central Europe as snow as it did last winter.
      A modern example of such an injection of warmish air and for that matter warmish water via the Gulf Stream is contains in this graphic:
      The spikes of still very cold air from the start of the graphic shows the effect of meridional weather systems on the Arctic environment.

  2. FOLLOW THE MONEY TRAIL! .. . UN Paris Ignorant of Climate Scammers Demand upwards of 100 Trillion Dollars in Taxation to Allegedly Cool Planet Earth .. AS IF THEY COULD! . Additionally, already-impoverished Earthians need to be Taxed an additional 100 Trillion like they need holes in their collective heads! .. Shoot, Al Gore will do it for a mere 15 Trillion!


  3. would suspect the earths crust shifting still and deep sea vents mighta been a probable cuase back then
    dismissed of course…same as present day thermal u sea vents etc are

  4. “Of course, if climate change is our fault and we can make it stop…” then Obama and the Democrats who controlled the government should be arrested.

    Their defense would be the same thing they now deny — “the pause.” And they would take credit for that.

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