Very, very wrong. This year the Arctic has seen the quickest refreeze ever recorded. Satellite images show far more ice now than in 2012.
7 Oct 2016 – “Scientists such as Professor Peter Wadhams, of Cambridge University and Prof Wieslaw Maslowski, of the Naval Postgraduate School in Moderey, California, have regularly forecast the loss of ice by 2016,” according to The Telegraph.
In his book A Farewell To Ice, Prof Wadhams, a (supposed) leading expert on Arctic sea ice loss, repeats his assertion that the Arctic would free of ice in the middle of this decade.
In fact, as late as this summer he was still predicting an ice-free September.
Yet on September 10 there were still 1.6 million square miles (4.14 sq km) of sea ice, 21 percent more than the lowest point in 2012.
For the month of September overall, there was 31 percent more ice than in 2012, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Centre. This amounts to an extra 421,000 square miles (1.09 million sq km) of sea ice.
Read that again. An extra 421,000 sq miles. That’s enough extra ice to cover 17 states.
That’s enough extra ice to cover the states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Ohio, Kentucky, Virginia, Indiana, South Carolina, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Hampshire and Vermont.
He kept on moving the target
In 2007 Prof Wadhams predicted that sea ice would be lost by 2013. However, 2013 ice levels were actually 25 per cent higher than in 2007. And in 2012, following another record low, Prof Wadhams changed his prediction to 2016.
As to Prof Maslowski, his 2013 paper in the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences also claimed that the Arctic would be ice-free by 2016, plus or minus three years.
However, far from record lows, this year the Arctic has seen the quickest refreeze ever recorded.
Fastest refreezing rate on record
Sea ice extent grew 405,000 square miles (1.05 million sq km) in just three weeks (since September 10). The Danish Meteorological Institute said this is the fastest refreezing rate since its daily records began in 1987.
Again, that’s enough ice to entirely cover 17 states – In just three weeks.
Thanks to Vance, Heidi and Stephen Bird for this link