FAIL: 30-year-old climate prediction a load of bunkum

“In 1988 there was this prediction via an article in the Canberra Times,” writes meteorologist Anthony Watts (who gave a hat tip to Tony Heller, links to both sites below:

“Sea level is threatening to completely cover’ Maldives’ 1,196 islands within 30 years.”

“Well, it’s 30 years later, and the Maldives is still there,” says Watts. ‘All 1196 islands.” Here’s the article:

17 thoughts on “FAIL: 30-year-old climate prediction a load of bunkum”

  1. I served in the RAF on Gan in the Addu Atoll Maldives in 1960-62. Looking at Google Earth today
    the marine craft unit hanger and jetty and their relationship to the tideline don’t seem to have changed in 57 years. It is much greener though.

  2. ‘Adaptation and resilience in the next Little Ice Age’
    “‘This Cooling can reach 12°C below the North Atlantic standard and reduce average temp over 4°C in Northern Siberia and 2°C in Europe.’
    Robert, this is in Portuguese, it has a lot of sources cited.
    I found this set of info very “scary” that another Scientist or Researcher is saying the same thing as I see on this site.

  3. Interesting. a “hat tip” to Tony Heller, when you use his work in your post? Shouldn’t that have been credit to Tony Heller, and at least a mention of his website,, also known as the deplorable climate science blog?

      • Sorry, Robert, I wasn’t referring to you, but to WUWT since all Anthony did was the hat tip. You’re referencing Watts’ article, not Tony’s. Glad to see you give Tony his dues, though.

        With the way he leaves the “No big oil check this month” and the two videos at the top of the page, a person could mistakenly think there is nothing new there. There is always at least one daily article showing that as you hear “hottest day evah” or whatever, he generally shows a wealth of articles that prove it wrong.

  4. Thought I read somewhere that these places have become major tourist destinations, and population has been increasing significantly. Hardly a great strategy for land that is doomed to disappear?

    • Just spent multi millions of dollars putting in a brand new international airport as well. Another sign of a nation about to go underwater with Atlantis.

    • yeah massive developments
      and some of their reefs were used to make lime to build
      of course removing the reef barrier wouldnt affect seatides washing sand around would it?
      and all those tourists drink water n bathe
      so theyre not outta fresh water either.
      im soooo sick of us proving them to be bullshitting and the utter silence msm wise on that exposure.

  5. A 2014 University of Auckland study (HERE) examined changes in the geography of Tuvalu’s nine atolls and 101 reef islands between 1971 and 2014, using aerial photographs and satellite imagery.
    It found eight of the atolls and almost three-quarters of the islands grew during the study period, lifting Tuvalu’s total land area by 2.9 percent, even though sea levels in the country rose at twice the global average.
    Co-author Paul Kench said this challenged the assumption that low-lying island nations would be swamped as the sea rose.

    “We tend to think of Pacific atolls as static landforms that will simply be inundated as sea levels rise, but there is growing evidence these islands are geologically dynamic and are constantly changing,” he said.

    The study showed showed that monsoon winds and storms that break up coral and deposit sand on the atolls can help the islands grow naturally.

    Whether this works for coral atolls elsewhere in the world is unknown, but the study’s author, Paul Kench at the University of Auckland, New Zealand, and his colleagues, say that the Maldives seem to be showing a similar effect.

  6. Have you noticed how fast sea levels rise in both the Pacific & Indian oceans rise when there is $$$$ millions of taxpayer’s money on offer to prevent the sea levels rising???
    That’s obviously why the sea levels never rise then! All that money keeps them afloat in more ways than simple sea levels being held back by tsunamis of our money.

  7. Making predictions in biblical times was a risky business as the standard for being a true prophet was 100% accuracy. The penalty for making errors was death. If Mr. Gore and his friends had to be subject to such a standard would they put it to the touch to win or lose it all or would they shut up and drop the subject?

  8. By about year 2000 I recall all our news media telling us “Children are not going to know what snow is any longer.” Then all of a sudden it snowed in 2008. I took that as a sign that the climate models need reviewing but no, we were told that the snow is a direct result of global warming. Well if warmth causes snow then how do you account for the fact that the UK went 18 full years without any snow at all?
    Put it this way do smoking and drinking lead to good health? Would you advise a sick man to start smoking? Should alcohol be served to children because it is that good? I am telling you quite categorically that snow is a sign of cooling never warming.

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