The first of many harsh winters in Europe

Now thirty-one spotless days in a row.

The first of many harsh winters in Europe

By J.H. Walker

Tthirty-one consecutive spotless days are recorded at landscheidt.info, with the overall area staying the same and the pipeline still looking empty.

Documented peer review climate reports state that the changeover between a benign Solar Warm Period takes ten years before the climate effect are locked into the shellfish fossil records showing the abrupt change over from warm to cold, very windy and wet, during a periodic Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) on a par with the Dalton Minimum.

During the Dalton and Maunder, coupled with an North Atlantic Osscilation winter, Lake Constance froze from bank to bank to a depth of ice that a man could drag a Christmas tree from one side to another.

The first of many

The climate is cooling over land; this winter will be the first of many harsh winters in Europe over the next 20 years.

Ice caps are already expanding in depth. It will be interesting to see what happens in the European Alpine regions with glacial expansion over the next 4 to 20 years as this cycle finally winds down to start the next very low cycle.

Documented empirical climate evidence which shows cooling, ice cap advance, glacial advance, early starts and late finishes to snow seasons, reduced crop yields, all will be used to counter the propaganda based on falsified data sets which shows increasing statisical warming temperatures, which are NOT experienced on the ground by the guy or gal in the street.

We have been subjected to 40 years of Warmist alarmism to the extent that trillions of dollars have been diverted to prove the unprovable; that man is to blame for worldwide warming, when in fact the cause for both warming and cooling is the Nuclear fusion reactor at the centre of our solar system and its interaction with the moving Solar System Gravity Well called the BarryCentre.


17 thoughts on “The first of many harsh winters in Europe”

  1. Last 2 winters in UK dominated by warm south/southwest winds with mild winds, though wet and stormy at times. Joe Public hasn’t got a clue about what’s going own and not helped by repeated warnings in the Express and other ‘toilet’ papers about record cold and deadly freezes that don’t happen as predicted. Crying wolf too often causes selective deafness.

    • Hi Ron,
      I agree with you that the UK press is a fickle creature, after all their purpose is to sell bad news, that’s how they make their money and stay in business. Headlines sell print, electronically it’s now called breaking news and its lasts as long as late spring snow in the middle of Oxford Street.
      That said, the Blog entry above isn’t alarmist, it’s a statement of fact that Europe has a whole is about to get its turn for the harsh winters that both North America and Central Europe/Western Asia have experienced over 4 of the last 5 Northern Hemispheres winters with the last Western European winter fortunately warmly affected by the El Nino which ended in the spring of 2016.
      The British Isles and the regions of coastal Europe from Northern Spain to South West Norway benefit from the same South Westerly air stream from a warm region of the Atlantic, however this year it is become far more meridional in direction and is pushing warm wet air northwards into the Iceland-Norway gap, and into the Arctic. This same weather pattern is repeat for 1947, 53, 63 and less so for later winters until 2010.
      Empirical historical climate evidence shows that these events happen, are cyclic, and occur at the same time the Sun has cool periods.
      http://www.webarchive.org.uk/wayback/archive/20150720184546/http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/1800_1849.htm
      The above site is the reference for the late Dalton period
      The Booty weather site is no longer maintained. However, this site will have a permanent archive ‘home’ with the British Library HERE: enter ‘Booty Meteorological’ in the search box.

      • There’s also the Gulf Stream to factor in to any readings of the climate in the British Isles, our winters are usually milder than those experienced across Continental Europe.

  2. Has anyone actually looked at the paleoclimate records of past 2 or3 ice age/interglacial cycles; correlating to planet tilt, orbital shape, sunspots, snow and ice cover, etc. and put together a likely future climate scenario for today. One that can then be studied by rational observers and confirmed (adjusted) over time (years, decades, centuries, and millenniums) by our descendants.

    What about the Antarctic which according to Vostok recorded climate variation similar to Greenland?

    What about our expectations for the new GEOS Satellite that is supposed to take much more accurate reading?

  3. This author regards the Sun as a Thermo-Nuclear reaction whereas many now regard it as an ‘electric’ Sun, responding to energy fields meshed into Space.

    • Whose energy production waxes and wanes over a 172 year cycle, and has done since the Jovian Gas Giants migrated outwards to their current orbital positions during the late heavy bombardment period, some 3.85 billion years ago.
      Current thinking is suggesting in one scenario Planet nine was also flung into its current 10K-20K year orbit during the same period.
      Whatever the type of energy source at the centre of our Solar System, it and only it, has full control over the energy budget for this planet.
      The fact of the matter is the insects have far more impact over the climate than man will ever have.

    • To play Devil’s Advocate many also claim that gases have never been shown to emit a continuous spectrum whilst the Sun certainly does.

      Of course no-one has been able to reproduce controlled fusion and measure the spectral output so this idea that a hydrogen powered Sun couldn’t emit a continuous spectrum is just another theory.

      Same with the magnetic field argument.

      Shows how little we really know and how absurdly arrogant the proponents of the notion that there is ever such a thing as “settled science” are.

    • If the idea of solar minimum is hard for people to see, convincing them the sun is powered by plasma will be too much for them.

      So many paradigms presented as fact are wrong

      • Does this go some way to meeting the need for empirical evidence of a plasma/electric base to the Universe. This is a video hypothesising the creation of Mars’ Valles Marineris through a plasma strike. I found it compelling personally.

        https://youtu.be/tRV1e5_tB6Y

  4. What is predicted about the weather can be verified. Finally it was told overhere that the winter is severe in east-europe, russia and farther away but not that it was too cold to stay outside for a long time, not that it happened that two meters of snow was fallen.

  5. Amen! The ice age has just only begun. We are also heading for the moderate and major ice ages – due immediately at the same time.

  6. So it’s only Europe that will be going into an ice age?
    Not North America and more specifically,Canada?

    • Mini as per the 7 named Grand Solar Minimums since the 12th Century. Not major like the end of an Interglacial and into a major glaciation advance. The Earths 40K year orbit change and tilt progress isn’t ready just yet to support it, nor have we had a major geological event to turn of the supply of warm water into the Atlantic ocean, Come back in 1000 years it might just be ready.
      Two regions of the Northern Hemisphere have only just started with their Mini Ice Age (MIA) these are North West America and Western Europe, both of these regions benefit from a South Westerly air stream from a much warmer ocean, even these areas get pasted with cold winters from time to time during an MIA period. The other regions of the Northern Hemisphere are several years into the cooling process.

  7. Peer-reviewed papers and an overview of where we are in relation to glaciation. (Ammo to use against CAGW snowflakes.)

    The REAL climate debate, as we all know, is about when to expect the next glacial inception.

    —-You really didn’t expect the Elite to clue in the Great Unwashed now did you? Instead you see them, including the US Universities, buying up farmland in non-glaciated areas like Africa, South America and Australia all the while yammering about a Population Bomb and de-industrializing the USA….
    The switch from full bore industrial manufacturing to killing off Western Civilization came in the early 1970s right around the time Shackleton provided evidence that Milancovitch was correct. Coincidence?? I think not—-

    The Berger and Loutre’s 2002 modeling is what NASA/NOAA uses to say the current Ice Age has ended and the earth will not go back into glaciation.

    Lisiecki and Raymo, (2005) essentially quashed the Berger and Loutre’s 2002 modeling and no one has come forward with anything supporting an extended Holocene since then.

    A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic D18O records
    Lisiecki & Raymo

    RESULTS
    Recent research has focused on MIS 11 as a possible analog for the present interglacial [e.g., Loutre and Berger, 2003; EPICA Community Members, 2004] because both occur during times of low eccentricity. The LR04 age model establishes that MIS 11 spans two precession cycles, with d18O values below 3.6% for 20 kyr, from 398 – 418 ka. In comparison, stages 9 and 5 remained below 3.6% for 13 and 12 kyr, respectively, and the Holocene interglacial has lasted 11 kyr so far. In the LR04 age model, the average LSR of 29 sites is the same from 398– 418 ka as from 250–650 ka; consequently, stage 11 is unlikely to be artificially stretched. However, the 21 June insolation minimum at 65°N during MIS 11 is only 489 W/m2, much less pronounced than the present minimum of 474 W/m2. In addition, current insolation values are not predicted to return to the high values of late MIS 11 for another 65 kyr. We propose that this effectively precludes a ‘‘double precession cycle’’ interglacial [e.g., Raymo, 1997] in the Holocene without human influence.

    Or there is this paper a couple years later.
    “Because the intensities of the 397kaBP and present insolation minima are very similar, we conclude that under natural boundary conditions the present insolation minimum holds the potential to terminate the Holocene interglacial.” http://folk.uib.no/abo007/share/papers/eemian_and_lgi/mueller_pross07.qsr.pdf

    What we do know is that the past 6 interglacials, dating back to the Mid Pleistocene Transition, have lasted roughly half of a precessional cycle, or 11,500 years. The present age of the Holocene is 11,720 years or about two hundred years past the due date. Therefore the Little Ice Age should have been glacial inception.

    So what happened?

    The Grand Solar Maximum, highest in 3,000 years that has just ended. See: A History of Solar Activity over Millennia Usoskin et al. This is a very good paper using multiple methods to validate their results.

    Ice cores from the Freemont Glacier show it went from Little Ice Age cold to Modern Warming warm in the ten years between 1845 and 1855. Naturally.

    ABSTRACT
    An ice core removed from the Upper Fremont Glacier in Wyoming provides evidence for abrupt climate change during the mid-1800s….

    At this depth, the age-depth profile predicts an age of 1845 A.D. Results indicate the termination of the LIA was abrupt with a major climatic shift to warmer temperatures around 1845 A.D. and continuing to present day. Prediction limits (error bars) calculated for the profile ages are ±10 years (90% confidence level). Thus a conservative estimate for the time taken to complete the LIA climatic shift to present-day climate is about 10 years, suggesting the LIA termination in alpine regions of central North America may have occurred on a relatively short (decadal) timescale.
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/1999JD901095/full

    If you look at the Sunspot graphs and apply Dr Evan’s ~11 year Notch-Delay Solar Theory the match is spot on.

    Next question is how long is the Transition?

    “This record also reveals that the transitions at the beginning and end of the interglacial spanned only ~100 and 150 years, respectively.” http://www.pnas.org/content/104/2/450.full

    Actually Alley showed the flip from Wisconsin Ice Age to Holocene happened in THREE YEARS!

    In his book, The Two-Mile Time Machine: Ice Cores, Abrupt Climate Change, and Our Future Richard Alley, one of the world’s leading climate researchers, tells the fascinating history of global climate changes as revealed by reading the annual rings of ice from cores drilled in Greenland. In the 1990s he and his colleagues made headlines with the discovery that the last ice age came to an abrupt end over a period of only three years….
    http://www.amazon.com/Two-Mile-Time-Machine-Abrupt-Climate/dp/0691102961

    Richard B. Alley was chair of the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences that produced:
    Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises ( 2002 )
    http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=10136&page=1

    From the opening paragraph in the executive summary:

    Recent scientific evidence shows that major and widespread climate changes have occurred with startling speed. For example, roughly half the north Atlantic warming since the last ice age was achieved in only a decade, and it was accompanied by significant climatic changes across most of the globe. Similar events, including local warmings as large as 16°C, occurred repeatedly during the slide into and climb out of the last ice age.

    The last interglacial ended with a warm spike called LEAP
    “The onset of the LEAP occurred within less than two decades, demonstrating the existence of a sharp threshold, which must be near 416 Wm2…” http://folk.uib.no/abo007/share/papers/eemian_and_lgi/sirocko_seelos05.nat.pdf

    It gets worse. Even if the Holocene does not end in glaciation but goes long like MIS11 the earth’s climate enters a very unstable area because the climate currently is bi-stable.

    Rapid sea-level changes at the close of the last interglacial (substage 5e) recorded in Bahamian island geology

    Abstract

    Rapid and abrupt relative sea-level changes within the last interglacial (substage 5e) are recorded in the island geology of the tectonically stable Bahamas. From 132 to 118 ka, reef growth reached a maximum elevation near +2 m, as indicated by fossil reef elevation across the platform, whereas bioeroded notches are incised in coastal cliffs as high as +6 m. The end of the interval is characterized by voluminous eolianites exhibiting palm tree and frond impressions. It is inferred that sea level for most of the interval remained near +2 m, restraining reef growth, and that the notch at +6 m represents a rapid and brief excursion just before the close of the substage. The subsequent fall must have been rapid in order to leave the notch profile intact and mobilize windward lagoon ooids into dunes before cementation could anchor them. In order to explain the rapid rise to +6 m, glacial surging is invoked. The subsequent fall, also rapid, may be a consequence of the surge flooding high latitudes and providing enough moisture to initiate reglaciation and drawdown.

    As the Authors, Neuman and Hearty, of the above paper said:
    <"Rapid changes in sea level and associated destabilization of climate at the turbulent close of the last interglacial maximum appear to be recorded directly in the geomorphology, stratigraphy, and sedimentary structures of carbonate platform islands in the Bahamas. Considered together, the observations presented here suggest a rapid rise, short crest, and rapid fall of sea level at the close of 5e.

    The lesson from the last interglacial “greenhouse” in the Bahamas is that the closing of that interval brought sea-level changes that were rapid and extreme. This has prompted the remark that between the greenhouse and the icehouse lies a climatic “madhouse”!

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