Geo-engineering: Ignoring the consequences

Most people do not understand that both warming and cooling are part of the natural cycle of climate variability, or that changes are often huge and sudden.
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“Thanks to excitable and irrational claims by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we are starting to see a revival of ‘geo-engineering’ proposals, attempts to modify the Earth’s climate on a global scale,” says Paul Driessen. “These ‘solutions’ to the supposed global warming crisis include potentially catastrophic plans like trying to mimic the cooling effects of volcanic eruptions by seeding the upper atmosphere with sun-light blocking particulates.”

“In this article Tom Harris and historical climatologist Dr. Tim Ball note that equally extreme solutions were proposed during the 1970s, when the world was worried about global cooling. Had these plans actually been carried out, the warming trend that followed would have been amplified.

“This raises the question: What if we artificially cool the Earth just before it heads into another natural global cooling period, which many experts say has already started?”
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Geo-engineering: Ignoring the consequences

Governments charge ahead on engineering Earth’s climate, ignoring possible harmful effects

Tim Ball and Tom Harris

The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report said we have only 12 years left to save the planet. It triggered the usual frantic and ridiculous reactions.

NBC News offered this gem: “A last-ditch global warming fix? A man-made ‘volcanic’ eruption” to cool the planet.” Its article proclaimed, “Scientists and some environmentalists believe nations might have to mimic volcanic gases as a last-ditch effort to protect Earth from extreme warming.”

Proposal like this are defined as geo-engineering – trying to artificially modify Earth’s climate to offset what are presented as unnatural events. The problem is, the events they are trying to offset are actually natural events. Any scientist or politician who doesn’t understand that will undoubtedly create worse problems than those they are trying to “fix.”

From 1940 to almost 1980, the average global temperature went down. Political concerns and the alleged scientific consensus focused on global cooling. Alarmists said it could be the end of agriculture and civilization. Journalist Lowell Ponte wrote in his 1976 book, The Cooling:

“It is cold fact: the global cooling presents humankind with the most important social, political and adaptive challenge we have had to deal with for ten thousand years. Your stake in the decisions we make concerning it is of ultimate importance; the survival of ourselves, our children, our species.”

Change the word “cooling” to warming and it applies to the alarmist threats today.

The problem then was – and still is now – that people are educated in the false philosophy of uniformitarianism: the misguided belief that conditions always were and always will be as they are now, and any natural changes will occur over long periods of time.

Consequently, most people did not understand that the cooling was part of the natural cycle of climate variability, or that changes are often huge and sudden. Just 18,000 years ago we were at the peak of an Ice Age. Then, most of the ice melted and sea levels rose 150 meters (490 feet), because it was warmer for almost all of the last 10,000 years than it is today.


Perfectly ordinary changes must be manmade

This misunderstanding, combined with the new paradigm of environmentalism (it is illogical and wrong to soil your own nest) created the belief that perfectly ordinary changes must be manmade, and thus had to be corrected by us as well.

During the cooling “danger,” geo-engineering proposals included:

* building a dam across the Bering Straits to block cold Arctic water, to warm the North Pacific and the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere;

* dumping black soot on the Arctic ice cap to promote melting;

* adding carbon dioxide (CO2) to the atmosphere to raise global temperatures.

All these actions would impact global climate in unpredictable ways. Now we know they would have exacerbated the predominantly natural warming trend that followed.

The recent “volcano” proposal involves adding particulates (microscopic particles) to the high atmosphere to block sunlight, to lessen the supposed manmade global warming. The NBC News article references the cooling effect of the Pinatubo volcanic eruption of June 15, 1991, which ejected more particulates into the stratosphere than any eruption since Krakatoa in 1883. The resulting sulfuric acid haze caused average planetary temperatures to fall by about 0.9 degrees C (1.6 F) between 1991-93.

The Tambora eruption was followed by the “year with no summer

What NBC News neglected to mention was that this occurred during a warming period. Had the eruption happened during a cooling phase, the results could have been catastrophic. That’s what happened with the volcano Tambora in 1815. It was followed by the “year with no summer” that caused multiple extreme weather events and crop failures because it occurred during a cooling trend.

In the early 1800s, the world was already colder than today, and was in the process of cooling still further as a result of low, and decreasing, solar activity. This was during the period of the low sunspot activity of the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830). The billions of tons volcanic dust injected by the Tambora eruption, the largest in force of ejection for over 10,000 years, reduced sunlight dramatically.

The eruption occurred in April 1815, but its full impact on temperature wasn’t felt until 1816 because the volcano erupted vertically at the Equator and the dust it ejected into the Stratosphere took several months to impact both Hemispheres.

Harvest failures were widespread, especially in the densely populated areas of the eastern US and western Europe. In 1816 it snowed as far south as the Carolinas in July, and the year was dubbed “Eighteen hundred and froze to death.” The US government pleaded with farmers not to eat their seed stock as they would have nothing for the following year. That’s hard to do when your children are starving.

A gravestone inscription reads: “1771-1847, Reuben Whitten son of a revolutionary soldier a pioneer of this town (Ashland NH), cold season of 1816 raised 40 bushels of wheat on this land which kept his family and neighbours from starvation.”

In Germany, they even produced a medal for 1816-1817 with the inscription, “Great is the distress, Oh Lord, have pity.” In England the price of corn ( “wheat” in the USA) soared, and probably for the first time in history a government introduced legislation (The Corn Laws) to control price increases.

We can expect a gradual cooling over the next few decades

Since the best climate experts say that we can expect a gradual cooling over the next few decades as the Sun weakens, the last thing we should be doing now is artificially cooling the planet still further. Consider that as recently as 1680, in the depths of the Little Ice Age, there was a meter of ice on the Thames River in London, something unimaginable today.

Took half of Scotland out of food production

In approximately 90 years, the height up the side of the glens in Scotland to which you could farm lowered by 200 meters. That doesn’t sound like much, but such a vertical change took half of Scotland out of food production. That’s the real reason for the Highland Clearances, the forced evacuation of Scotland’s Highlands and western islands.

As always, government response was inadequate or inappropriate. It is setting up to be the same this time, because the government not only ignored science but attacked those who tried to practice proper science.

“Taking carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere,” as advocated by the IPCC in its October 8 news conference, is also foolish. Historic records show that, at about 410 parts per million (ppm), the level of CO2 supposedly in the atmosphere now, we are near the lowest in the last 280 million years. As plants evolved over that time, the average level was 1200 ppm. That is why commercial greenhouses boost CO2 to that level to increase plant growth and yields by a factor of four.

The IPCC has been wrong in every prediction it’s made since 1990. It would be a grave error to use its latest forecasts as the excuse to engage in geo-engineering experiments with the only planet we have.

Tim Ball is an environmental consultant and former climatology professor at the University of Winnipeg in Manitoba. Tom Harris is executive director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition.

 

 


16 thoughts on “Geo-engineering: Ignoring the consequences

  1. Hi,

    Every night when the sun goes down, the temperature drops 10-30 degrees. It’s not puny CO2, a trace gas, that causes the temperature to drop 10-30 degrees.

    The sun is the huge ‘space heater’ of our planet, not us.

    Here’s how the UN thinks I control the temperature of the planet. I am just a trace carbon life form on the planet. When the temperature drops at night, I drive my gas guzzler to Walmart. The next day, my traces of extra CO2 emissions raise the temperature of the planet back up 10-30 degrees.

    This winter, I am not driving to Walmart. It’s going to snow this winter to prove I am right. Like trace CO2, I am going to cause an ice age for a hundred years.

    If I am wrong, that means you drove to Walmart at night to counteract my loss of heating.

    This is what people *want* to believe. Humans are bad. Doomsday is coming. It’s our fault the sun spots are gone.

    Send more grant money to study nighttime drivers to Walmart.

    Stefan Boltzmann

  2. Quote:
    This was during the period of the low sunspot activity of the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830). The billions of tons volcanic dust injected by the Tambora eruption, the largest in force of ejection for over 10,000 years, reduced sunlight dramatically.

    Entirely correct, every named GSM where the Sun executes a tight Trefoil orbit around the Solar System BarryCentre is accompanied or followed by large volcanic eruptions, as well as an increase in medium volcanic activity on a world-wide basis.
    Why, because our small rocky planet received are more tugs from the largest mass object in the solar system as it abruptly changes direction to complete its trefoil orbit, such solar tidal tugs are on the tectonic plates of the Earth and directly stimulate volcanic system.

    After all the most viable effects of solar system gravity are the sea tides of the Earth.

    Look at the LALIA the solar energy effects of the GSM where dwarfed by the climate effects of three T6/T7 massive eruptions on a world wide scale. Look at during Dalton, with the Laki eruption.

    Human Induced Climate Change Geo engineering based on the fraudulent climate data created by every Anglo Saxon Met office climate department over the last 40 years would end the human civilisation within 20 years of it commencing, by facilitating the start of the major Glaciation phase of this current Ice age 1500 years early.

  3. this is a great article. thanks for the effort. thing is, there is highly reflective particles in the skies now. so the aim must be to ensure the Grand solar minimum happens. 🙁

    • The GSM, a solar event rather than an earth event commenced in 2008 with the start of SC24 and the Sun entry into a trefoil orbit during SC24. That single 11 year orbit concludes during late 2019.
      SC24 one of the shortest solar cycles on record since 1740 not the electronic seventies.
      One of the deepest two cycle solar minimums on record, and SC25 will be no different in energy output.
      Low output of Solar Wind, reduced numbers of full sized sun spots, and as sun spots generate a significant proportion of the UV and EUV which our climate depends on, and in turn, drive the worlds Jet streams to lateral during the Solar Max to meridional during solar minimum, and during GSMs. The world’s climate is variable, and it is tied to the energy output of the Sun and the earth progression around the Sun.
      CO2 is a lagging indicator of the warmth of our oceans; it is energy at the blue end of the Sun’s spectrum which drives our climate and gives us life.

  4. The globalist socialists have a plan!
    No matter what the consequences of their geo engineering will be they will promote it as a plus!
    If you havent read george orwells 1984 or animal farm you need to do so now!

  5. I remember the 70s and onwards and the wild claims made then..thats why the present warming debacle makes me shake my head n sigh at just how stupid mankind is.
    and worse it its NOT just the young n trusting, its people my own age who really SHOULD know better.

    • Right mate. I keep saying “London knows how to survive a mini age age because it has already done so LOL.” However, it’s population is that big today that we depend on imports. The Thames froze around Putney Bridge 1963 but only a fool tried walking on it. Before my time, I have yet to see a Thames freeze. But part of me strangely wants a frost fair. Take a few selfies, post to Facebook, and just, live for the moment I guess. Merry Xmas!

  6. The cooling from the Pinatubo eruption brought the upper midwest the closest its ever come to a complete crop failure since extreme drought of the 1930s with many thousands of acres of corn plowed under because it never reached maturity.

  7. That sounds nasty the loss of farming land in Scotland due to continued cold and not quite a glacier but a lingering snow patch most unwelcome. Scotland is divided into clans and the clan mentality rules. Forcing thousands to settle in towns like Glasgow must have been harsh. Not everyone gets on well with everyone else and racist thoughts must have led to no end of drunken fights. War is in their soul and in security circles, anywhere from Bognor Regis to Baghdad, you gotta problem? Send in the Scots. They are fearless. Police, Military, Security, Night club doormen, Scots are over-represented and with good reason. They can be relied upon.
    And I must say I am fond of another aspect of Bonny Scotland that I trust will not be too hard hit by snow LOL. Cheers

  8. Its the anthropocentric environmental pollution elephant in the kitchen …. it looks like mother nature will have to roll up her sleeves to deal with the catastrophic human population impact on the planet.

    • Frankly the West cleaned up its real environmental pollution over the last 30 years. Yet the very countries excluded from the Western climate jamborees ending with Paris now pollute with far more real pollution, burn far more coal, despoil far more, than the west has ever done. All at the feet of globalisation, and the regional political grouping espoused by the socialist UN world government.

  9. Chicago Tribune 10/13/1993:”Some 800,0000 acres of corn were plowed under.”I remember agronomists and meteorologists saying the cold wet weather of ’91-’93 was due to aerosols from Pinatubo.

  10. The fact is world governments are already practicing geo-engineering by injecting aluminum oxide “nano” particles into the atmosphere via aircraft spraying operations; it’s the reason a lot of jet contrails don’t dissipate but spread out to form the high “wispy” white clouds that act to reflect incoming sunlight back into space. It’s called Solar Radiation Management (SRM). Please visit www dot geoengineeringwatch dot org for the full story.

  11. Makes total sense to me. If you want solar energy to work more efficiently simply attenuate the Sunlight. This will result in consumers having to buy more panels to maintain the same energy yield that they would have experienced without attenuating the Sunlight. That is certainly Green Energy indeed$…… Why is there always a money angle?

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