Whatever happened to that warning about summer Arctic Sea ice disappearing by 2012?

Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?”shouted the National Geographic headline just five years ago.

“An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer—a sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point,” wrote Seth Borenstein on December 12, 2007.

“One scientist even speculated that summer sea ice could be gone in five years,” warned Borenstein.

“At this rate,” said NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally, “the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”

“The Arctic is often cited as the canary in the coal mine for climate warming,” said Zwally. “Now as a sign of climate warming, the canary has died. It is time to start getting out of the coal mines.”

It will be interesting so see how Mr Borenstein spins the latest news out of the Arctic, that “the heaviest polar ice in more than a decade could postpone the start of offshore oil drilling in the Arctic Ocean until the beginning of August.”

“The heaviest polar ice in more than a decade.”

So much for Mr Zwally’s ice-free Arctic summer. I hope his canary didn’t freeze to death.

Thanks to Byron Dawes for pointing out the National Geographic article.


18 thoughts on “Whatever happened to that warning about summer Arctic Sea ice disappearing by 2012?”

  1. Nothing but liars with an agenda to destroy America – that’s all they ever were and ever will be. I’ve known about their sick agenda since 1992.
    They’re looking like total idiots by now with all the record polar ice we’re seeing this winter.
    I would never look at National Geographic again unless they become totally conservative. I had a copy of the National Geographic in Dec 1977 with an article “The Year the Weather went Wild.”
    They wrote at that time that the arctic had been cooling since 1940. They had it right back then.

  2. We need people to continue to point out the failure of these absurd, fear-mongering predictions. This was just one of many.

    I started studying so-called “global warming” because it had been predicted in the early ’90s that my favorite sport, skiing, would be dead by 2004. That didn’t happen, nor have any of the other dire forecasts.

    This whole thing has been nothing but a scam from start to finish.

  3. I am not a vindictive person and I believe in freedom of speech, but you are not allowed to yell fire in a movie theater and cause a panic. The same standard needs to be applied to these self serving fear mongers.

  4. Yeah in the meantime we have two contradictions on Greenland’s ice
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2152004/Lost-photos-prove-Greenlands-ice-melting-FASTER-80-years-ago-today.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

    Daily Mail stating land ice was melting faster 80 years ago but sea ice is melting faster today.

    http://www.theatlanticwire.com/technology/2012/05/greenlands-losing-ice-faster-ever-your-eyebrows-may-be-evil/52924/

    Meanwhile this one just says that Greenland is just plain melting the fastest ever, but that a cooling in the mid 1900’s stabilized the ice and now it’s melting again so there “is hope for Greenland”.

    There is no hope for them though, with the ice packs getting bigger and stronger lets hope their lively hood goes the way of their thoughts that we would only be seeing ice in our freezer.

  5. I think it was easy to think the worst back in the 80’s and 90’s because the was a nice coincidence between the increase in CO2 and the increase in temps at that time.

    However, any scientist knows that you change the theory to fit the data rather than the other way around. When the 2 curves started to diverge in the early 2000’s – the theory should have evolved as well. We all know it hasn’t and that’s a crime against science. Follow the money…

    • I couldn’t agree more with you, Mr. Dean Chance, FOLLOW THE MONEY!!! This is the biggest Ponzi scheme/scam (actually the name should be changed to the Madoff scheme)ever foisted on this world with the sole purpose of removing people’s hard earned money from them for the select few. Carbon emmission credits??? Talk about a corrupt scam just waiting to blow up like the .com blowout at the turn of the century, and the real estate meltdown… It is for this very reason that I don’t trust “science” any more. Before sattelite technology, how was ice cover over the arctic measured??? And how was the depth of the ice measured???

      • You can follow the money, but I prefer to follow the motive. It’s not about money since money really has no special value. It’s all about population reduction, and that has the special value of giving more resources to fewer people to enjoy. “Follow the money” is just a side show to keep your eyes OFF the prize – a world populated only by the elite and those willing to directly serve them.

  6. How short our memories can be.

    These enviro types were predicting the end of the Arctic Ice Cap back in the 1970’s.

    Incredibly, this fragile piece of ice, with the proportions of a piece of paper having an area of four football fields has endured for 50 years.

  7. Warmistas badly oversimplified the mechanisms of sea ice. They failed to comprehend what happens to the ice when under compressive force. Thin sea ice when subjected to compressive force can become a much thicker mass. So even “first year ice” can come to have the characteristics of “multiyear ice” within a single season. In general, greatly thickened ice, be it due to compression or be it due to innate growth in place, forms a nearly indestructible core of sea ice which prevents a complete opening.

  8. Like jbird, I also started researching “global warming” in the late 90s when the headlines bellowed that ski resorts would soon be going out of business due to rising snow levels. Complete hogwash. I’ve skied so much deep powder in the last seven years that I can’t keep track of all my powder days, and NO ski resort anywhere has closed due to rising snow levels. In fact, new snowfall records are set every season. We know the truth.

  9. too much ice……It’s the winds….remember

    too little ice….It’s globa….I mean climate change!

    Don’t you people know anything? 😉

  10. @ Josh says:
    May 31, 2012 at 6:40 am

    I realize what I’m about to relate is possibly due to the PDO – in any case:

    When I was a teen (late 70s early 80s), we had maybe one low elevation snow event here in the SF Bay Area, then nothing for years. Something changed in ’98. That year we had a low elevation event on the last day of Fall. Since then low elevation events have been more common. Anecdotal and regional? To an extent. And again, PDO went negative. Still, this is not supportive of the “children will not know snow” notion.

  11. I said it before and I’ll keep saying it, when the cold really sets in hard, all these con artists like Gore and Hanson should be brought up on charges of crimes against humanity. We the people should demand it.

    • yes I agree! or they should show us useless eaters how much they love the planet by jumping off a cliff!

    • By the time the cold really sets in, like thirty years or so, Gore, Hanson and all those other con artists won’t even be around.

  12. I need help to understand this warming thing. During WWII planes emergency landed on land now they are 20-30 feet under ice. During warming we have less sickness, grow more food and prosper more. What is the problem here? We use less energy during warming, less bad weather, more trade.

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