Headed for a food crisis? – Important video

What does a reduction in sunspots mean for crop yield?

15 Mar 2018 –  “What you are about to witness is mind-blowing,” says Diamond of the Oppenheimer Ranch Project. “Yesterday on AgDay two analysts discuss the coming Grand Solar Minimum and associated crop losses and global famine as if it were a passing fad.”

 

 

“Things are happening (weather-wise) that haven’t happened in a long time,” says Shawn Hackett, president and CEO of Hackett Financial Advisors. “It’s just the beginning.”

“We have data that goes back to the 1600s and 1800s from ice core samples, tree rings, and from actually written testimony of the kind of problems that they had,” said Hackett.

“(Over the next five years, we’re looking at) a world with food scarcity. It’s a world with localized famines.”

“It’s not going to be pleasant. It’s going to be a very difficult time.”

Hacket Financia Advisors is located in Wimberley, Texas.

YouTube video posted by Diamond of the Oppenheimer Ranch Project
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CRKXlF2dqlg&feature=youtu.be

Thanks also to Larry for this link


18 thoughts on “Headed for a food crisis? – Important video

  1. I had a feeling back in 2001 that this was going to occur sooner than later when I first found this site iceagenow.com.
    It was actually a hot summer in Minnesota that year, but I knew the heat was not important. I checked this site once a week in those days and now on a daily basis. The cold and snow has intensified greatly since that time, overall.

  2. Several in my area that have been watching closely are converting old chicken houses into greenhouses. One of the neighbors that is the son of my old High School running buddy has installed retractable veneers for shading and protection from the elements. Stated that it only cost him pennies a day to maintain an 80 – 90 deg f inside temperature.
    Nice set up!

  3. My wife has given me permission to turn our entire suburban back yard into a vegetable garden. I’m starting the change over this weekend. I’m turning all the land into a vegetable/fruit growing area.

    Luckily, we already have a nice fence that blocks views and offers some security. It won’t help in a famine event, when everybody and anybody will be foraging, but it will with price increases that should begin this very year.

    Since I live well in the South (US), I am already sitting well, weather wise, for most plants. We have already stocked up canned/dried foods for each family member (for 6 months) each. Water is not a problem. We have also accounted for “self defense”, Medical Rx, etc. We take very little Rxs and our family doc thinks like us and has enabled us to buy up to 1 years supply of what we need.

    I really don’t like having to do all this, think this way, but NOT doing this is worse. If it’s a false alarm then I just have food & guns I don’t need.

    • Good idea but start small if you do not have gardening experience.
      This way you learn as you go with minimal expenses. You can try also a few chickens. They will eat all scrap foods and unwanted weeds and garden mishap. I live in a subdivision and I’m not permitted to have chicks, but I claim them as pets. Surf the net for quiet/docile ones.

  4. Quote:
    “(Over the next five years, we’re looking at) a world with food scarcity. It’s a world with localized famines.”

    “It’s not going to be pleasant. It’s going to be a very difficult time.”
    Comment:
    SC24 the first AMP affected cycle of thius modern Grand solar minimum has another 3 years yet to run. SC25 is expected to be even worse with a Solar Max of no more than 55 full sized sun spot.
    Following SC25 will be a Gleissberg period of mulptile cycles it might start to warm up after 2056. Check out the period 1890 to 1945 for the winter contained during that period.

  5. late season bushfires in Vic n NSW Aus
    at the same time Tasmania got snow! on highlands and has sheep grazier alerts out for cold wet windy weather that kills lambs.
    medias trying the blame climate change for fires stunt today..
    late rains ie naff all for most of us..with massive 5 to 6ft high grass growth all over the place roadside verges etc of course wouldnt be a HUGE factor along with falling down powerlines in massive windstorms and lightning..
    hmm
    nah
    its co2 what dun it…sheesh

  6. ps optimistic farmers are ploughing up and fetilising paddocks. ive followed suit and thrown cow poop n mushroom compost on soil n dug the dust over it and hope for rain soon. the one thing that WILL grow in low sun times is root veg crops and cabbages etc guess we will have to develop interesting cabbage n turnip n spud recipes;-)

    • There are many cold crops. Just to pick a couple: Peas, Fava beans, radishes (especially the hot Spanish), mustard greens, oats, barley, and more.

      Oats sprout at roughly freezing. My biggest problem (coastal California) with peas is too much heat, they like cool. I grow Fava Beans only in winter here.

      There’s lots of cold season crops you can grow IF summer gets cold enough to need it.

      The problem is going to be getting enough seeds and enough folks willing to do it sooner rather than too later…

      FWIW, seed packets placed in a “Mason Jar” (or even an old jam jar) and put in the freezer will keep for years. I’ve planted some after a decade with very good germination.

      This means you can make your own Seed Ark now just by purchasing a few packets of cool season seeds and putting them in a jar in your freezer. When the day comes that your maze and pinto beans are cold shocked, you can plant a “catch crop’ of cool tolerant things like buckwheat, oats, and fava beans and able to recover nicely.

      FWIW, I like the small pea sized Persian fava beans better than the big lima bean sized ones.

      I’ve had very good germination rates in tests of bulk grains from “Organic” stores like Whole Foods, so it isn’t like you must search to find seeds. Just buy a pint each of buckwheat, oats, etc. at Whole Foods and stick the jars in your freezer.

  7. My understanding is a lot of European fairy tales originated in an era where there was a lot of starvation or near-starvation, especially in France. Might be interesting to check if there is a correlation. A way of explaining things – for example when the theme of the fairy tale included witches causes bad harvests, children being turned out of their home because the parents did not have enough food, etc.

    Think things like that can’t happen? My family history (at least what was handed down as stories), is that my father’s father was kicked out of the house (in Poland) at age 6 because he was “ugly” and they had “too many mouths to feed”. He ended up begging in the streets, then worked in the mines at 8, later (still a child) moved to Germany to work on a farm. finally Immigrated to the US when he was 19.

  8. And the big point is that for food and fuels, the Western world lives by the ‘just in time’ delivery method with very little actually in storage (a couple of months maximum). This method relies on very predictable crops and transportation. What will happen socially when this methods starts to fail as the growing seasons shorten, when major crop providers fail to supply enough, and/or are late to market. Price shocks and shortages will be the order of the day!
    What can anyone do when the current modern ‘just in time’ delivery method fails to a ‘just too late’ reality?
    Maintain your own stores and protect yourself.

    • Something our leaders and the media don’t talk about: Take wheat, as an example. Prices are depressed, and we are told there is a glut in the World. Yet the reality is that at the end of the crop year, there is just a 4-month supply remaining. With 7-billion+ to feed, what happens if there is a crop failure in a couple of major growing regions?

      What if there is a July frost in central North America? Couldn’t happen, you say? Why not?

      Technology has produced wonders in terms of food productivity. However, we are still subject to what mother nature gives us.

  9. My grandmother told me a story about how a group of people knocked on the door and politely asked to take some food from her family’s cellar. She was a little girl then, but she was wise enough to know she was in danger. She said yes, but take only a little bit: they didn’t have much. Those people cleared everything out. They had no qualms with leaving a child with nothing to eat.

    If you have a cellar, put a lock on it and don’t leave your kids alone.

  10. 1.3 billion tons of food wasted annually world wide.30% of production.Maybe we could trim that number just a bit if we really tried.Born and raised on a farm,I was taught you never waste any food, period.Dont like it? Eat it and shut up.

  11. The big question is really just how fast can farmers react to changed conditions?

    I was not worried about this when farming was largely driven by family farms. You had generational knowledge then. Now we have corporate run farms with Suits in charge where a ‘crop failure’ just means cashing in on the crop insurance. Not good when everyone is cashing in at the same time.

    There are many cold season crops ( I listed a few above. Things like Rye and Oats and Rutabaga (where both the leaves and roots are edible). The problem is they are not widely grown so only enough seed is produced for the current growers. It takes a couple of years to increase seed stocks. A sudden conversion just isn’t possible.

    During that conversion, the ones that will lose are the farm animals. We grow many times more grain than is needed to feed people. Most of it is fed to animals. There’s a “feed conversion ratio” that varies by animal. Cows are about 10 to 1. It takes 10 lbs of dry grain to make one pound of wet meat. Pigs and Chickens are about 3:1 (and that’s why they are cheaper to buy). It takes about one dry pound to feed a human for a day. That means a 1 lb beef steak used about 10 days worth of grain to make it.

    So in a sudden famine, folks would eat the cows, then eat the grain they would have fed to the cows. We’d need much more than a 50% to 75% drop i grain production before folks would need to starve, since we could just eat the grains directly instead of after made into animals.

    Unfortunately, that swap will not happen fast, so you need to make it through the recognition time lag…

    FWIW, there are LOTS of things folks CAN eat, but don’t. The local hills are just covered in wild mustard right now. Bright yellow flowers all over. A bit “spicy”, but a tasty green pot-herb. We used to gather it when I was a kid in the country. The leaves of “green bean” plants are bland, but nutritious. I read about folks in Africa using them, so tried it. For a whole lot more, read:
    https://www.purdue.edu/hla/sites/famine-foods/

    If really worried, save a copy of it….

    • Just one caution about mustard. They also uptake lead in their roots, so if you live in an area with lead contaminated soils (such as many older urban areas)… you can get lead poisoning from them. The City of Boston has used mustard as a way of getting lead out of lead contaminated inner-city soils… they plant it, then at harvest treat the mustard as hazardous waste.

      The moral of the story – not only we are what we eat… but plants and animals are what they eat as well. Take care of your soil and your crops and animals will be much better off for it.

  12. I laugh at folks that claim they will be able to survive a food shortage with a backyard garden.
    First off if you aren’t gardening now, when the time comes it will be too late.
    The learning curve is a steep one and there is no room for error if you are depending on those veggies to survive.
    You need to start now and learn what grows well in your area, what you need to do to keep your soil producing and develop methods to control pests, both insect and rodent. I started 8 years ago and I am still learning.
    Horticulture is a lot harder than just sticking some seeds in the ground and then harvesting what comes up.

    • John:

      Folks will also need to learn how to preserve their harvest, through canning, drying, freezing, etc. The old fashioned root cellar is a real boon for winter food supplies.

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