We could experience a dramatic drop in temperature of the type not seen since the late 1600s.
“Forget global warming,” says this article in the Daily Mail. New figures show that planet has not warmed for the last 15 years. Even worse, we could be heading for a mini ice age “to rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the Thames in the 17th Century.”
The sun is now heading towards a ‘grand minimum,’ the article continues, which threatens to bring cold summers, freezing winters and shorter growing seasons.
According to new data released last week by the Met Office and the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit (of Climategate fame), there’s a 92 per cent chance that sunspot cycles in the coming decades will be as weak as, or weaker than the ‘Dalton minimum’ (1790 to 1830), when average temperatures in parts of Europe fell by 2C.
“However,” the article warns, “it is also possible that the new solar energy slump could be as deep as the ‘Maunder minimum’ (after astronomer Edward Maunder), between 1645 and 1715 in the coldest part of the ‘Little Ice Age.’”
Even though we’re now at the peak of solar Cycle 24, sunspot numbers are running at less than half of those during cycle peaks in the 20th century, and, say experts at NASA, Cycle 25 will likely be considerably weaker.
Incredibly, in the face of its own findings, the Met Office goes on to say that the consequences of the lower sunspot numbers will be negligible because the sun’s impact on climate is far less than man-made carbon dioxide.
‘Our findings suggest a reduction of solar activity to levels not seen in hundreds of years would be insufficient to offset the dominant influence of greenhouse gases,’ says Peter Stott of the Met Office.
How blind can the Met Office be?
One of America’s most eminent climate experts, Professor Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology, said she found the Met Office’s confident prediction of a ‘negligible’ impact difficult to understand.
“We’re now well into the second decade of the pause,” said Benny Peiser, director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation. “If we don’t see convincing evidence of global warming by 2015, it will start to become clear whether the models are bunk. And, if they are, the implications for some scientists could be very serious.”
‘World temperatures may end up a lot cooler than now for 50 years or more,’ said Henrik Svensmark, director of the Center for Sun-Climate Research at Denmark’s National Space Institute.
In just the last year, world temperatures have fallen by more than half a degree, as the cold ‘La Nina’ effect has re-emerged in the South Pacific.
See entire article, including graphs:
Thanks to Greg Mantle, Wanda, Martin, Bradley Haythornthwaite, Binks, Robert Brilz, Brian Payne, Lyn Jenkins, Miguel Barroso, Steven Woodcock,Ed Perkins, Joseph Rubenstein in Beijing, David Williams, Nicola Jowsey, Sonya Porter, Alan Caruba, Emma Corry, James Stoffaire, Ed Harrison, Peter Lamb, Peter Philpott, John Calvert, and many, many others for this link.
Solar Cycle 25 Estimate graph found here:
Here’s a link to a University of Reading press release concerning this (the Maunder Minimum part):
The press release includes a link to the Journal of Geophysical Research paper: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/pip/2011JD017013.shtml
“NASA must have been reading IceAgeNow. Trying to gain some credibility by reporting something real after their new fake clouds pages and moon landing hoaxes,” says Binks.
“This is not surprising to the people who follow your site,” says Terry.