“It will be as if we skipped past the rest of fall and jumped into winter”

Washington – “WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK”
– National Weather Service

“Saturday night through Monday: This will be the coldest part of the next seven days. It`s possible that the cold will set new temperature records. The NBM guidance indicates high spread, which is not surprising, but single digit low temperatures are not out of the question for Sunday and Monday mornings if there is snow on the ground. High temperatures look to be in the 30s! If these temperatures verify, it will be as if we skipped past the rest of fall and jumped into winter. /SVH”

Thursday to Friday morning: Decent cold advection behind the front ushers in temperatures 8 to 14 degrees below normal for much of the region. This will be just the beginning of the cold as temperatures will just continue to drop heading into next weekend.

As the next system approaches on Friday, cloud cover and precipitation chances move in from the northwest corner of our forecast area Friday morning. RC

…WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK…

Friday to Monday: A robust system is projected to drop in from the north this period, bringing with it the potential for winter precipitation and very cold temperatures for this time of year.

NOAA forecast discussion for Washington State: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OTX&issuedby=OTX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Thanks to Josh for this link


4 thoughts on ““It will be as if we skipped past the rest of fall and jumped into winter””

  1. This is undoubtedly happening in NW USA, but it is assuredly not happening in Europe.

    We have had a cool start to October, but now temperatures in NW London are back up at 16-18C max by day and nowhere near frosts at night. All utterly normal.

    Temperatures across Europe show no hint of an unusual onset of winter in October.

    So I think this should be seen as a localised event indicative of the 30 year period of cooling we are now in.

  2. Lets hope it’s not too early. Because if it comes too early, often you can get a flatter pattern in December and January after an unusually cold October in the Central US and a cold November in the Eastern US. That happened last year and it wasted a cold pattern too early. It was not an exciting winter afterwards.
    Not saying that’s the case every year but that can happen about 50 percent of the time.
    Still, we can expect a much colder winter this year in the Eastern US than last year, as long as November isn’t -10 below normal.

  3. “Decent cold advection behind the front ushers in temperatures 8 to 14 degrees below normal for much of the region. This will be just the beginning of the cold as temperatures will just continue to drop heading into next weekend.” – article
    Well, that’s what we’re getting where I am, in the upper Midwest. I use the National Weather Service for my area, because it gives a projection about 7 days ahead, and is usually on the money. And we’re having really chilly weather now, earlier than usual. Some rain, but if the projection is accurate for my area (usually is), it may just turn to early snow. The only thing keeping snow north of me is a push of air from the southwest, but that can go elsewhere and I know it.
    Just stock your shelves well, plan ahead on household needs, and do not take the weather for granted. I think the real erratic trend started in March of 1967, when a blizzard buried Chicago, IL, and hit the center of Illinois like a sledgehammer with high winds and heavy sleet, and that was the southern edge of it.

    • Add to my prior remark: I checked the weather forecast for the week ahead this morning. There is now a prediction for snow overnight on Tuesday, Oct. 27, a full seven days ahead of what has happened for the past five (5) years.
      I may stay up to get photos of it, just for the record.

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