Russian scientists “refute the thesis of a global warming and denote it as a marketing ploy.”
Many parts of the world are still relatively warm because 2014-2015 is a new El Niño period, says Professor Fritz Vahrenholt, author of the German book “Kalte Sonn.” But by the end of the present solar cycle (around 2020) the cooling will increase.
Rarely has the sun been as strong as during the past five decades, says Professor Vahrenholt.
However, a few years ago the tide turned and the sun ended its hyperactive phase. Hardly anyone had expected the sudden turn-around. Solar physicist Leif Svalgaard of the Stanford University expressed his surprise in 2013 at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union meeting thusly:
“None of us alive have ever seen seeking a weak cycle. So we will learn something.”
Is it just a coincidence that the largest warming thrust of the last 500 years occurred during the sun’s hyperactive phase? asks Vahrenholt. And will the solar lull in the coming decades lead to cooling ?
Several studies make it increasingly clear that this is only the beginning! says Vahrenholt. The sun will lose in the coming decades in strength. In fact, this is now almost consensus among solar physicists.
Here are some of those studies:
- Roth & Joos 2013: Solar activity in the 21st century will decrease to normal values.
- Salvador 2013: The forecast is for a solar minimum and quiet Sun for the next 30 to 100 yr.
- Wladimir Baschkin and Rauf Galiullin: We are heading for a new Ice Age.
- Professor Cliff Ollier: Solar Cycle 24 has started and we can expect serious cooling.
- H.S. Ahluwalia expects a new Dalton Minimum.
- Goelzer et al., in the Journal of Geophysical Research, Dec 2013, also predicts a further drop in solar activity.
Not just cooling, we’re headed into an ice age
Russian researchers see the situation even more dramatically, predicting that a new little ice age will begin in 2014. They refute the thesis of a global warming and denote it as a marketing ploy.
The Russian scientists Vladimir Bashkin and Rauf Galiullin from the Institute of Fundamental Problems of Biology, Russian Academy of Sciences, think our entry into an ice age, geologically speaking, is “imminent in the near future.”
Other scientists share this view , including Professor Cliff Ollier of the School of Earth Sciences at the University of Western Australia.
Ollier recently presented a paper in Poznan, Poland, in which he described the sun as the major controller of climate, but not through greenhouse gases. There is a very good correlation of sunspots and climate, says Ollier. Solar cycles provide a basis for prediction. Solar Cycle 24 has started and we can expect serious cooling .
Meanwhile, H.S. Ahluwalia, Department of Physics & Astronomy at the University of New Mexico calls for solar minimum of Dalton- type and recalls that the last minimum of this kind in 1810 resulted in a cold spell. (Journal Advances in Space Research , Feb 2014.)
Other recent works pointing to a cooling sun include:
- Qian et al. 2014 ( ” Secular changes in the thermosphere and ionosphere Between Two quiet Sun periods” )
- Zhao et al. 2014 ( ” modulation of galactic cosmic rays falling on the unusual solar minimum in between cycles 23 and 24″)
- McCracken & Beer 2014 (“Comparison of the extended solar minimum of 2006-2009 with the Spoerer, Maunder, and Dalton minima in solar activity Grand in the past”) .
Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link