Many more months of a spotless sun are yet upon us

The Royal Observatory in Belgium is now admitting that this current solar minimum could be longer and deeper than they previously thought.

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Many more months of a spotless sun are yet upon us

Elizabeth H.

This was one of the coldest winters on record here in Southern California. Our pineapples and avocado trees have died.

Have you seen the recent analysis done by the Royal Observatory in Belgium for April 3, 2019? http://www.sidc.be/silso/spotless

Belgium is now admitting that this current solar minimum could be longer and deeper than they previously thought. Spaceweather.com has been saying this for a long time now.

We are having more volcanic activity, an increased wobble of the earth, a continual polar shift, almost continual solar winds. and solar prominences which could lead to hyder flares.

We are not seeing increasing numbers of sunspots with the reversed magnetic polarity of the upcoming solar cycle 25. This means that many more months of a spotless sun are yet upon us.

My dad who was an astrophysicist told me that our sun is unstable and to expect the unusual.

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Here are excerpts from the SILSO page that Elizabeth refers to:

“Since mid-2016, the Sun has occasionally been devoid of sunspots. These spotless disks will gradually become a familiar feature as the solar cycle is heading for its next minimum, currently expected by the end of this decade.

“…during the previous minimum (around 2008), no less than 817 spotless days were recorded, whereas the minimum period leading into solar cycle 23 (around 1996) counted only 309 such blemishless days.

“As the current solar cycle 24 will gradually give way to the new solar cycle 25, several consecutive days and even weeks without sunspots will become the norm.

“The previous minimum surprised scientists and solar observers by being the deepest in nearly 90 years.

“In order to have an idea on the number of spotless days, and how these numbers compare to past solar cycles, the SILSO folks have created a “Spotless Days page”.

http://www.sidc.be/silso/spotless


7 thoughts on “Many more months of a spotless sun are yet upon us”

  1. This will be a very long cold period. And by the time the new Grand Solar Minimum ends in 300 years, the next major ice age will already be here.

    Don’t look for much warmth anytime soon in our lifetime or beyond.

  2. This is rather more than just a solar minimum between normal cycles such as those between SC21 and SC22 and SC22 and SC23.
    Solar Cycle 24 is the first active cycle of this Modern Grand Solar minimum, deeper in output than the first cycle of the Dalton GSM SC5.
    This GSM was predicted by Landscheidt.
    That prediction was then enhanced by Geoff Sharp:
    http://www.landscheidt.info/images/200predsm.jpg
    http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?paperID=36513&#reference
    This cycle 24 may bounce on the bottom for many more months to come, possibly ending towards the end of 2020, with SC25 no higher in output than SC24, and possibly much lower,
    http://www.landscheidt.info/images/sunssbam1620to2180gs.jpg

  3. snowing (!) in west coast of sweden yesterday night. never happened before. really weird weather.

  4. another run of 11 days no spots but now we have that large one returning today last time it spat cme C grade and its let another go as it comes around now . not earth directed at least

  5. I would like to add about unusual spring over Europe. Winter is coming back in May! It’s almost summer, but vast areas of Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Northen Italy ae going to experience real winter conditions for the next few days (May 4th – 7th). Frost is going to destroy large crops over Central Europe during the next days. I really feel for them as it is quite extreme. I’m not sure if this is record breaking cold, but it might be.

    http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/update-on-the-historic-arctic-front-moving-across-europe-this-weekend-may-3-6th/

  6. did anyone see NASA predicted solar cycle for 25?
    its funny in its twisted way
    theyve just used 24 and faded the pic and added pale pixels to “guesstimate” (they said)
    hardly a guess but i bet they got paid well for their “expertise”

    • The problem with NASA Laurel, is they do not treat sun spot counting in a historically consistent manner – in fact they hide the existence of this Modern Grand Solar Minimum in support of CAGW and the fact this GSM was predicted by a mathematician not connected with solar science, a real case of the not invented here syndrome.
      NASA which can now see a pimple on a fly’s bottom at two miles now count many more fragments of spots than they did in the time of Wolf and others who only had a 40MM optic to record Sun spot though the last document GSM Dalton they also recorded the spot counts for cycles 11 to 14 where most of our weather records for both Hot and Cold originate from.
      Fortunately consistent Sun Spot Counting started some 50 years earlier with the calculated start of 24 cycle with SC1in 1755 by Wolf DURING 1855. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rudolf_Wolf
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_1
      https://www.solen.info/solar/cycl1.html
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_5
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_6
      Yet if NASA could have observed SC5 and SC6 they would have added probably 80 or 90 fragment spots to the count.

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