Mexico Should Beware the Little-Ice-Age Cycle

“In 1447 in the Valley of Mexico was so much snow that the population died. The next two years were lost because it froze the grain…” – Dr. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera 
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Mexico Should Beware the Little-Ice-Age Cycle

According to research by Dr. Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera of the Institute of Geophysics of the National Autonomous University of Mexico, falling solar radiation indicates that our planet is now entering a mini ice age, a mini ice age that will last between 60 and 80 years.

Dr. Velasco Herrera bases his observation on the fact that many climatic events are cyclical.

“Over the past 400,000 years, there have been extremely cold periods called ice ages, which last on average 100,000 years, as well as hot or interglacial periods lasting about 12,000 years. On our planet the cold periods are extremely long, while the hot periods are very short, “says Dr. Velasco Herrera.

Could be the preamble of the next ice age

“Between one ice age and another we have interglacial phases hot like what we are now but that could be coming to an end because the ice age mini could be the preamble of the next ice age that will last 100,000 years.”

“In this case, we have investigated not only the warm interglacial cycle known as the Holocene and which are 12,000 years old but also the ice ages; we analyzed thousands of years and entered a new stage to examine millions of years to understand more, “said Dr. Velasco Herrera, as reported by a UNAM bulletin.

The researcher created a physical model, called ELSY, which analyzes climate change – both heating and cooling – on a larger scale, including cyclical variations.

Cyclical variations could cause problems in Mexico

For example, Dr. Velasco Herrera found that “in 1447 in the Valley of Mexico was so much snow that the population died. The next two years were lost because it froze the grain and therefore there was a big cost. In 1450 the snow was so excessive that houses collapsed and there was an epidemic of cold that killed many elderly people. In 1451 in Tula, Hidalgo, the snow fell to the knees and in 1454 we had the lake of Tenochtitlan frozen. ” This shows that the great cold of Maunder’s minima was not only in the northern hemisphere but was also felt very much in the southern hemisphere.

These changes have alternated with periods of heat. Between 1618 and 1619 in Puebla the crops and fruits were dry; in 1648 records show the heat “burned” Merida. “There is also documentation of major hurricanes, as occurred in Tlapa, Guerrero, in 1537; The chronicles say that for the winds the trees were uprooted and this only happens in a category four or five of hurricanes,” the researcher said.

“His analysis shows that we are really at the beginning of a mini ice age, which will generally not cause serious problems for countries that have winters with sub-zero temperatures but could be of concern to countries like ours (Mexico) that are very vulnerable to any drop in temperature.”

See: “In six years we will be very cold”
https://sandcarioca.wordpress.com/2017/09/14/em-seis-anos-vamos-ter-muito-frio/

Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link
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21 thoughts on “Mexico Should Beware the Little-Ice-Age Cycle”

  1. Interesting, but how did they know this for 1450

    This is before the Spanish came.

    Did the Aztecs keep records like this???

  2. How would cooling events in Mexico prove that there was cooling in the southern hemisphere? Mexico is in the Northern Hemisphere, which geographicaly, is anything north of the Equator.
    It would seem a likely assumption that the Southern hemisphere would have cooled, but the Mexican events are not scientific proof.

  3. Information is very interesting and quite chilling pardon the pun but the article is in Spanish and it would be nice to find a way to get it totally translated.

  4. This is all very interesting and a bit chilling but I would like to see the article which is linked here translated from Spanish to English.

    • I don’t know if this will work for you, but often when I view a post in another language I can right-click on my computer mouse and the option comes up to translate it.

  5. Many cultures outside the West have historical records which have been carried down by word of mouth or by more perment means.
    Equally the two oldest calendars, one originates in China, the other in South America. Climate records have been kept f0r thousands of years. The Chinese have records detailing Solar Warm Period and Solar Minimums with the latter normally recording a famine,
    Ever heard of the Rosetta stone? That allowed Egyptian history to be translated.
    There is more to the world then when the Catholic faith ethnically cleansed much of South and Central America and enslaved the rest.
    Or when computer climate records where first collated in 1970 and then modified to suit the political climate fraud of the modern era.

    Our major climate event recording goes back to around 1860.

  6. Just a simple Google search answered a few of those questions. But yes, there were a good many cultures in the Western Hemisphere that had various forms of record keeping before the Europeans arrived. Aztecs did not necessarily have the most advanced record keeping and they were not the only people who lived in the Valley of Mexico.

    Just a few references:
    http://ancientamericancivilizations.weebly.com/record-keeping-and-writing.html

    https://ambergriscaye.com/museum/digit13.html

    http://www.crystalinks.com/azteculture.html

  7. I’m pretty sure that editing didn’t catch the Southern hemisphere remark which was probably meant to be ‘the southern portions of the northern hemisphere’. Calm down folks.

  8. The people of the world do indeed love to hide behind the statement that I don’t need to worry because it will never happen in my lifetime. It is like a universal mental disease and excuse to think nothing and do nothing. Hard to have sympathy for such critters these days.

    • “He doesn’t says” the cities are on the Hem. South, “he says the Mini Ice ages occur different in the 2 hemispheres, on Southern Hem. it depends on latitude and coastline or continental position. – In my opinion at altitudes above 1000m will come stronger.

      About Min Ice Ages:
      -What are the consequences they bring?

      ‘The magnitude of the cooling will be very different according to latitude, it will not be the same in the Northern Hemisphere as in the South, it will be different depending on the latitudes and will be different inside the continents than in the coastline.
      Source:
      http://www.informador.com.mx/mexico/2010/184847/6/comienza-una-mini-era-del-hielo.htm

  9. Robert, do you know anything about La Niña forecast to 2018?
    The latest forecast shows a return to La Nina’s conditions (and a near-global cooling).
    https://sandcarioca.wordpress.com/2017/09/18/chegando-a-nina-em-2018-e-aumenta-o-gelo-no-artico/
    “This man from the site (sandcarioca) is an Italian who lives in Brazil (Rio), the site seems simple and poor, but this guy is very intelligent, there are a lot of important informations on this site and many are equivalent to iceagenow website.
    He once mentioned being a colleague of Italian scientists.”
    Thank you, Robert.

  10. The following paper may be of interest
    Best regards

    Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera
    and yet, Earth is cooling

    Reconstruction and prediction of the total solar irradiance: From the Medieval Warm Period to the 21st century

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/264671457_Reconstruction_and_prediction_of_the_total_solar_irradiance_From_the_Medieval_Warm_Period_to_the_21st_century

    A Study of Historical Droughts in Southeastern Mexico
    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/271217052_A_Study_of_Historical_Droughts_in_Southeastern_Mexico

    Solar deficit during the 21st century: The global food crisis and World Energy Crisis
    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/281032042_Solar_deficit_during_the_21st_century_The_global_food_crisis_and_World_Energy_Crisis

  11. ‘Due to low solar activity and changes in the solar barycentre, the planetary temperature can decrease between 0.2 and a degree Celsius and intensify from 2020 to 2040’
    Herrera says: “In six years we will be very cold”
    Source of 2014: (in Spanish)
    -http://www.dicyt.com/viewNews.php?newsId=30157

  12. Lost me at Planet… We don’t live on a ball, how scientific can you be when you take this on belief?
    Always wondered how they determined what happened hundreds of thousands of yrs ago, my guess is like most “science” they make it up to fit a narrative.
    Darwinism, gravity, dinos,space exploration and most of history…all BS.
    A total ice age is impossible IMO with the sun just an estimated 3000 miles above us and 32 miles in circumference, unless the sun goes dark, in which case all life dies out period.
    Ditch the Globe it’s BS.

  13. As SC24 comes to an end, and the cooling intensifies, the Warmists are hoping beyond hope that this cycle will be the same as SC20 and the next will burst into a strong solar cycles like SC21.
    I don’t think so. SC25 is more likely to be a fraction of the output of SC24 and more like SC5 or SC6 in output. The Warmist establishment (those with their collective heads deepest in the Government AGW slush fund trough) do not accept the reality of a Modern Grand Solar Minimum.
    The real cold is yet to come.

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