A reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe

A reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe

And since it has been getting progressively colder for the past 8,000 years…


A reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe

Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, spanning from mankind’s earliest farming to recent technology.

By Ed Hoskins

Each of the notable high points in the current Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than the previous high point.

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According to ice core records, the last millennium 1000AD – 2000AD has been the coldest millennium of our current Holocene interglacial.

The ice core record from Greenland for its first 7-8000 years, the early Holocene, shows, virtually flat temperatures, an average drop of only ~0.007 °C per millennium, including its high point known as the “climate optimum”.*

But the more recent Holocene, since a “tipping point” at around 1000BC, 3000 years ago, has seen temperature fall at about 20 times that earlier rate at about 0.14 °C per millennium .

The Holocene interglacial is already 10 – 11,000 years old and judging from the length of previous interglacial periods, the Holocene epoch should be drawing to its close: in this century, the next century or this millennium.

Nonetheless, the slight beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point has been transmuted by Climate alarmists into the “Great Man-made Global Warming Scare”.

The recent warming since the end of the Little Ice Age has been wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts arising from the relatively minor cooling of the Little Ice Age, which include:

• Decolonisation of Greenland

• Black death

• French revolution promoted by crop failures and famine

• Failures of the Inca and Angkor Wat civilisations

• etc., etc.

As global temperatures, after a short spurt at the end of the last century, have already been showing stagnation or cooling over the last nineteen years or more, the world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling, rather than being hysterical about limited, beneficial or probably now non-existent further warming.

Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind and for the biosphere. For example during the Roman warm period the climate was warmer and wetter so that the Northern Sahara was the breadbasket of the Roman empire.

But the coming end of the present Holocene interglacial will eventually again result in a mile high ice sheet over much of the Northern hemisphere.

As the Holocene epoch is already about 11,000 years old, the reversion to a true ice age is becoming overdue.

That reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe.

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* Note from Ed Hoskins:
Other published Greenland Ice Core records as well as GISP2, (NGRIP1, GRIP) corroborate this finding. They also exhibit the same pattern of a prolonged relatively stable early Holocene period followed by a subsequent much more rapid decline in the more recent past.

10 thoughts on “A reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe”

  1. IF as some claim, CO2 change comes after Temp change by about 800 years, then any current rise in CO2 could be attributed to the Medieval Warming Period.

    • Yes indeed, a relevant and widely ignored point. And the claim is pretty sound. The isotope evidence from both Antarctica and Greenland reflects the same lagged pattern with CO2 following temperature, not leading it. The worrisome point though is that cold seas soak up CO2 leaving less in the atmosphere for plants and by extension for animals that eat those plants and animals that eat those herbivores. The thing that is truly worth worrying about is that primary production (plants using sunlight to convert water and CO2 into carbohydrates [food and fuel]) pretty much stops below about 180 ppm atmospheric CO2. We are presently only at 400 ppm. Satellite imagery has indicated the degree of recovery, particularly in marginal lands around deserts. Any cooling will reverse that as soon as the oceans begin to significantly lose heat.

  2. Do you think it is part of a process leading to a big drop off into the deep freeze at anytime? Perhaps these mini ice ages are a preliminary phase of a major glaciation just like the Younger Dryas was the last phase of the last major glaciation preceding the Holocene. Is this possible?

  3. Steven, as you will find from Robert’s books, we are, right now, at the meeting point of FOUR climactic/geologic cycles that have been following periodicity:

    Every 178 years we have the Solar Retrograde Cycle. Every 360 years we have the Little Ice Age cycle. Quadruple that 360 years and we have the 1440 year cycle. was discovered in the Greenland ice sheet, and it causes even harsher conditions than the 360 year cycle.. it brings with it dramatic and rapid changes in climate..drought in some areas, wet in others.. and worldwide glacier expansion… this is happening right now.

    NOW multiply THAT cycle by 8 and you get 11,520.. this is right on the 11,500 year Ice Age cycle!

    And there’s more!

    We are also right on the cusp of the 100,000 year Ice Age cycle.. and we’re worried about man-made global warming – LOL!

  4. So, if the next long Ice Age Cycle is coming soon, what will we need?

    More energy from non-depletable sources like solar, wind, etc.

    Since oil and gas are finite energy sources, if a scientific / industrial / technological civilization is going to survive through the next 100,000 year ice age, it will have to rely on solar, wind, and any other “renewable” / infinite – energy sources we can develop.

    So whether the problem is “global warming,” or “climate change,” or “the next ice age,” the energy source solution is the same.

  5. NOVA had a new show last night out of their volcano series. They found the “bomb” that set off the circa 1200 AD big freeze world wide in Indonesia. This event was just 2 years before the “black death” event in Europe…their science community believes that to have a world wide effect that will be transported through the atmosphere, it has to be in the equatorial belt and have a column nearing 22 miles high. The oldest of records written on palm leaves describe the event of “the mountain disappeared…massive death…and very high water.
    So be of good cheer…Yellowstone is not in the equatorial belt

  6. If we really could control the climate, wouldn’t we want to take steps to prevent the onset of a new, full blown ice age? Unfortunately, anything man could do would likely not be enough to overcome natural forces.

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