How the Sun might change the climate



Global cooling on the way

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How the Sun might change the climate

By Salvatore Del Prete

Areas of importance largely neglected are the solar wind speed , the global electrical circuit, and galactic cosmic rays . Actually they are all tied to one another.

When the solar wind decreases , the intensities of galactic cosmic rays (GCR) allowed into the atmosphere will increase, thus intensifying the global electrical circuit.

It has been shown through actual data on a short term basis (days) through the monitoring of Forbush decreases and SEP events – which stands for solar particle events – both of which originate from the sun , that the electrical circuit decreases following a Forbush decrease ( a lessening of galactic cosmic rays ) while it increases following an SEP event.

This has big implications for solar/climate relationships on a longer term basis because these day-today events have shown that when a FORBUSH DECREASE take place the global electrical circuit decreases. This results in a decrease in global cloud cover and a weakening of cyclonic systems, while the opposite follows an SEP event.

This can be applied to what happens to global cloud coverage and cyclonic systems over a long-term basis when the sun enters a prolonged solar minimum period of activity which lowers the solar wind. This allows more GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS to enter the earth’s atmosphere thereby increasing the strength of the global electrical circuit. This has been shown on a short term basis (through actual data ) to increase cloud coverage and strengthen cyclonic systems.

CRITERIA NEEDED

350km/sec or lower is needed for the solar wind speed in order to get Galactic Cosmic Ray counts high enough ( at least 6500 units ) which strengthens the global electrical circuit on a long term basis. This in turn promotes greater global cloud coverage and strengthens cyclonic systems. Higher albedo for sure, and perhaps more precipitation.

In the meantime EUV (100 units or less) /UV light is on the decrease which will effect the atmospheric circulation (more meridional ) and sea surface temperatures respectively.

All this will lead to global cooling

Getting back to the solar wind and it’s effects upon the climate: These two values are needed in my opinion which are again a solar wind speed sustained over months of less then 350km/sec and a resultant AP index over months of 5 or lower.

Solar irradiance will not be a major player in the changing of the climate. It may drop by .15% which would only contribute a .1c to maybe .2c to global cooling.

AS OF NOW GCR COUNTS HAVE BEEN ABOVE 6500 UNITS FOR A FEW MONTHS AND LOOK TO BE INCREASING. READING TODAY 6650 UNITS, AND THE SOLAR WIND HAS FINALLY STARTED TO COME DOWN RIGHT NOW AT 300KM/SEC ALONG WITH THE AP INDEX.

Will this persist and become more common place as we move forward? I say yes, and this should effect the climate by cooling it.


19 thoughts on “How the Sun might change the climate

  1. “This can be applied to what happens to global cloud coverage and cyclonic systems over a long-term basis when the sun enters a prolonged solar minimum period of activity which lowers the solar wind.”

    Question … cyclical earth facing coronal hole solar wind upticks … which seem to be happening … is that considered higher or lower “solar activity”?

  2. Atmospheric mixing … does that signify global cooling … OR … a trend to a more homogeneous and warmer atmosphere … over time … i.e. , where the mixing results from more energy in at the poles … adding to the earth’s magnetic field / polarized energy field / torus donut field that circulates that energy out mostly at the equator … between the tropic lines … then eventually looping back in at the poles …

    Energy coming in at each pole … in particular from cyclical earth facing coronal hole solar wind/radiation upticks … that energy pushing each jet stream towards the equator … more energy radiating out between the tropic lines warming the planet and seas there … warm moisture laden air meeting colder air pushed towards it … a turmoil, to one degree or another … of atmospheric mixing resulting?

    If such a process continues over time … driven by cyclical energy inputs (from the sun) … then a trend will result of a more homogeneous and warming atmosphere?

    Nix the cyclical energy in … and see such a process reverse? At least where other solar input from sunspots, etc., has declined?

    Ah well .. time will tell what happens, it seems … over time. 🙂

    • No surprise Richard Muller attempts to debunk insolation as the cause of changes in climate – he is the “BEST” after all.

      How do they really know orbital eccentricity except for a mathematical model which may or may not be right ? There could have been any number of factors in history which disturbed Earth’s orbit – impacts for example or large objects passing by exerting gravitational pulls on either Earth or the Moon causing a wobble and/or a permanent change.

      No one really knows.

      At present the Earth’s orbit produces a range in insolation from ~1330 to ~1420 for the NH summer to the winter. Using the Stefan-Boltzmann equation this calculates to a potential 6°C difference based on this alone.

      Currently the NH has milder summers and winters than it will when Earth’s orbit changes to when the NH is at perihelion during summer and at Aphelion during winter.

      This will paradoxically potentially lead to hotter summers and colder winters in the same year.

      It is the distribution of land mass that causes the NH summers to be warmer – the SH is mostly water and water never heats to the temperatures the Sun can induce in land surfaces – it evaporates instead of increasing in temperature to the same extent.

      The inclination of the axis is also significant – polar regions have months to cool without any solar input. When it increases the poles will have longer periods without Sunlight and this would make one expect a cooler Earth overall.

      Except nothing is simple.

      But I think it is a fair bet to state that if you want to see some global warming visiting the NH in say ~12,500 years or so when the Earth is closest to the Sun during NH summer will fulfill that desire.

      • Yet at that point in time, the Earth should have completed its first major temperature decent in the next major Glaciation advance. With another some 40,000 years later, still on a shallower temperature decent ,and the third and last, another 40,000 years later at the lowest temperature point of the next Glaciation advance, just prior to the abrupt rise into the next Interglacial.
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ice_Age_Temperature.png
        I wonder just how much CO2 was generated by humans to cause Global warming on that scale, on four previous occasions over the last 600,000 years.

  3. Hi Salvatore,

    I first read your comments regarding the sun 5 or so years ago, back then your English was not so good lol.

    I think you are right and cooling will follow, already we have snow skiing in both hemispheres and record cold in southern Australia. Please continue to ignore the nay sayers like David appell et al and keep us updated on your predictions.

  4. “When the solar wind decreases , the intensities of galactic cosmic rays (GCR) allowed into the atmosphere will increase, thus intensifying the global electrical circuit.”

    So … when the solar wind decreases … upticks to the global electrical circuit from galactic cosmic rays (GCR) … in other words … upticks to the polarized energy field of the earth … or what some reference as its magnetic field?

    Couple that with upticks to the global electrical circuit … from solar wind upticks from earth facing coronal holes … lots of upticks then?

    Spin the earth faster, as a result … correct its tilt, too … mechanically … from the addition of more angular momentum?

    Hmm .. what a ride … 😉

  5. “Couple that with upticks to the global electrical circuit … from solar wind upticks from earth facing coronal holes … lots of upticks then? ”

    i.e., when those happen … 🙂

  6. “Solar irradiance will not be a major player in the changing of the climate. It may drop by .15% which would only contribute a .1c to maybe .2c to global cooling.”

    The thing that is forgotten is cooling causes cooling and warming causes warming. A little increase in temperature causes more greenhouse water vapor which causes more heat which cause more water vapor. A little decrease in temperature causes less greenhouse water vapor which causes cooling which causes less water vapor.

    I think of it like having a little guy in the attic. When the temperature goes up he adds more insulation; when the temperature goes down he removes insulation.

    • I would have said you can’t make this up, but then again you can, this is a modified version of George Orwell’s 1984
      Or, increase the insulation massively for the winter and open the windows for the brief Summer days for cooling. That is if the European GSM monsoon during July, August and September allow it.
      Grand Solar Minimums are not only Cold in the centres of the continents but very cold wet and windy on the periphery of the land masses.

  7. It doesn’t matter if the climate is warming or cooling or staying the same, either way we will need more energy in the future, oil and gas are finite resources, therefore we have to evolve to infinite and relatively infinite resources, solar, wind, nuclear.

    We’ve been asking the wrong question, “Is the climate warming or cooling?”

    The right question is, “How do we power the future, whether the climate warms, or cools, or stays the same?”

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