Terrorism and a cold winter refugee crisis

A brutal cold spell could kill refugees. Paris COP21 delegates need to discuss this climate issue. – Paul Driessen and Joe D’Aleo

Not only did President Obama assert the morning of the latest Paris massacre that “ISIS is contained.” Along with Democrat presidential candidate Bernie Sanders and other global warming alarmists, he continues to insist that climate change is the gravest threat facing mankind, nature and our planet. This article underscores how false those assertions are.

Cold weather kills twenty times more people than hot weather. And Middle Eastern refugees streaming into Europe could face bone-rattling, lethal cold weather, if another Siberian Express roars in from the Arctic. THAT is what Paris climate conferees should address – not how to abolish hydrocarbon use, further hogtie economies, keep 1.3 billion people forever impoverished, and redistribute the world’s wealth.

Terrorism and a cold winter refugee crisis

A brutal cold spell could kill refugees. Paris COP21 delegates need to discuss this climate issue.
By Paul Driessen and Joe D’Aleo

Even after the latest Paris massacres – and previous radical Islamist atrocities in the USA, France, Britain, Canada, Spain, India, Iraq, Syria, Nigeria and elsewhere – politicians absurdly say hypothetical manmade global warming is the greatest threat facing humanity. In reality, fossil fuel contributions to climate change pose few dangers to people or planet, and winters kill 20 times more people than hot weather.

After being assured snowy winters would soon be something only read about in history books, Europe was shaken by five brutally cold winters this past decade. Thousands died, because they were homeless, lived in drafty homes with poor heating systems, or could not afford adequate fuel.

It could happen again, with even worse consequences. “Millions of desperate people are on the march,” Walter Russell Mead recently wrote in the Wall Street Journal. “Sunni refugees driven out by the barbarity of the Assad regime in Syria, Christians and Yazidis fleeing the pornographic violence of Islamic State, millions more of all faiths and no faith fleeing poverty and oppression without end.”

Where are they heading? Mostly not into neighboring Arab countries, most of which have yanked their welcome mats. Instead, if they’re not staying in Turkey, they’re going north to Europe – into the path the extremely cold “Siberian Express” has increasingly taken. Germany alone could face the challenge of feeding and sheltering 800,000 to 1,000,000 freezing refugees this winter.

If a blast of frigid Siberian air should hit, temperatures in parts of eastern and northern Europe and the western Former Soviet Union could become 70 degrees F (39C) colder than cold spells in much of the Middle East. During the coldest Siberian outbreaks, it gets as lethally cold as -40F (-40C).

Northern and eastern Europeans are largely acclimated to such cold. However, for refugees from regions where winters average 20 to 30 degrees warmer, makeshift houses or tents will make their sojourn a bone-chilling experience. Europe’s exorbitant energy costs, resulting from its obeisance to climate chaos credos, could make this an even worse humanitarian crisis.

However, to listen to the UN, many world leaders, environmental NGOs, scientists from the climate alarm industry, and their sycophant media – especially on the eve of their Paris 2015 global warming summit – threats from cold weather are not supposed to happen. Just 15 years ago, the German paper Spiegel proclaimed, “Good-bye winter: In Germany bitter cold winters are now a thing of the past.” That same year, a British Climate Research Unit scientist said “children aren’t going to know what snow is.”

The media dutifully repeated similar claims each year, until unbelievably cold, snowy winters began hitting in 2008/09. In December 2010, England had its second-coldest December since 1659, amid the Little Ice Age. For five years, 2008-2013, snow paralyzed travel in England and northern and western Europe. Not surprisingly, the same media then blamed manmade global warming for the harsh winters.

In reality, natural Atlantic Ocean cycles lasting around 60 years control winter temperatures in Europe and Eastern North America. When the North Atlantic warms, “blocking high pressure systems” largely prevent warm Atlantic air from reaching Europe.

There is also a strong correlation between the sun’s geomagnetic activity and these blocking-induced cold winters in Europe. The five brutally cold winters ending in 2012/13 had the lowest level of solar geomagnetic activity in the entire record, dating back some 90 years.

When the North Atlantic is warm and the sun’s geomagnetic patterns are weak, these blocking patterns keep warmer Atlantic air out of Europe. Frigid air from off deep snows in Siberia can then more easily invade from the east, bringing sub-zero cold and heavy snows. That’s what happened from 2008 to 2013.

The ocean and solar factors eased in 2013, and the last two years have seen more Atlantic air and milder winters. However both solar and ocean patterns are starting to return to the situation where cold invasions are more likely. That could usher in nasty surprises for the Middle Eastern refugees.

Even this year’s early winter October cold brought news stories about Syrian children becoming sick amid exposure to colder weather than they were used to. In Austria, adults and children alike were already complaining about the weather and wishing they could go home.

In fact, cold weather kills 20 times more people than hot weather, according to a Lancet medical journal study that analyzed 74 million deaths in 384 locations across 13 countries. It should be required reading for the 40,000-plus bureaucrats, politicians, activists and promoters who will soon descend on Paris, to enjoy five-star hotels and restaurants while blathering endlessly about dire threats of global warming.

They should ponder the fact that the Lancet study reflects normal societies in peaceful countries. Even there, many more people die each year during the four winter months than in the eight non-winter months. Indeed, there even the United States experiences some 100,000 Excess Winter Deaths per year.

In the United Kingdom, the winter death rate is about twice as high as in the USA: excess winter deaths range up to 50,000 per year – due to the UK’s poorer home insulation and heating systems, and much higher energy costs caused by its climate and renewable energy policies.

The refugees’ excess winter death toll could well be even greater, due to the high cost of European energy and the migrants’ extreme poverty, poor nutrition, inadequate clothing and blankets, preexisting diseases, and makeshift housing: tents, trailers and other dwellings that have little or no insulation or central heat.

Systematic misinformation about the dangers of fossil fuels and hot versus cold weather has helped make this crisis much worse than needs be. Climate alarmists will thus bear the blame for thousands of avoidable deaths among refugees this winter, especially if the Siberian Express invades once again.

The Paris climate conferees need to focus on humanity’s real and immediate dangers: this rapidly growing refugee crisis, abysmal EU economies and job losses – and the billions worldwide who still lack the adequate, reliable, affordable energy required to end their crushing poverty, malnutrition, disease and early death, by ensuring clean water, proper sanitation, modern hospitals, lights, refrigerators and plentiful food. The climate conferees must address the following much more pressing questions.

How is climate change more important than safeguarding refugees who are already suffering from cold weather? Should conferees be focused on hypothetical future manmade climate chaos, while EU nations squabble over who will take how many refugees and potential terrorists, amid a possible winter crisis? What contingency plans do they have for another bout of frigid weather possibly invading the continent?

When a million refugees are freezing in squalid conditions with inadequate shelter, food, heat, clothing and medical care, and 1.3 billion people still do not have electricity – why would the world commit to spending billions on alleged future global warming catastrophes? As Bjorn Lomborg puts it, why would the world also want to give up nearly $1 trillion in GDP every year for the rest of this century, to avert a total hypothetical (computer modeled) temperature rise of just 0.306 degrees C (0.558 F) by 2100?

Where will the money come from to combat growing war and terrorism, aid the millions displaced by these horrors, rebuild devastated cities, put millions of people back to work, and bring electricity and better lives to billions of others – if we continue this obsession over global warming? Do humans really play a big enough roll in climate change to justify these incomprehensible price tags? Where is the actual evidence? Not computer models or press releases – the actual evidence?

It would be an unconscionable crime against humanity, if the nations gathering in Paris implement policies to protect our planet’s energy-deprived masses from hypothetical manmade climate disasters decades from now, by perpetuating poverty and disease that kill millions more people tomorrow.

These are the real reasons climate change is a critical moral issue. We need to we recognize that, and stop playing games with people’s lives. We must acknowledge that horrific computer model scenarios do not reflect planetary reality – and must not guide energy policy.

Joe D’Aleo is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and American Meteorological Society Fellow and co-founder of The Weather Channel. Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow. Climate experts Allan MacRae and Madhav Khandekar contributed to this article.

20 thoughts on “Terrorism and a cold winter refugee crisis”

  1. Cry me a river-the poor refugees could die of cold.How many MUSLIM countries stepped up to the plate in that area right next to Syria that had plenty of room.Saudi Arabia has a ton of room and a huge number of tent cities-but not a peep. Not a peep from any Muslim country about “refugee” resettlement. Oh no-they all head to Europe and the US with our great trojan horse in the white house trying to make Americans feel guilty for not opening our arms to embedded terrorists which any THINKING human would know from previous experience and observation.Vote for Bernie as this is a result of CLIMATE CHANGE otherwise known as GLOBALONEY-I rest my case!

  2. I would wager very few “refugees” die from excess cold. The various governments will sacrifice their own before letting that happen. Gotta keep up appearances ya know.

  3. Syria can have cold weather as can its northern neighbours. I’m sure those driven from their homes, in refugee camps, won’t be thinking of a CO2 induced warming crisis. What a despicable waste of money the Paris conference is….considering the humanitarian needs of the suffering people in the world.

  4. The UK has been sacrificing its own ethnic working classes since the end 2nd World War, as they are too difficult to educate, cost too much to provide work for, and expect too much money when they do work.
    Asian immigrants will work for much less, besides you can get 10 Asians in a house deigned for 4 white working class people. No brainer, open the borders to anybody.
    The ethnic white English will do as they are told to and vote Labor as they have always done, frankly you could put a donkey up as MP with a Labor badge on its tail and they will vote for it, and it would still get elected with a thumping majority.
    You only have to look at the donkeys running the UK Parliamentary Labor party now. –
    The economy doesn’t matter, a five year socialist plan will solve everything and debt is just an illusion.
    If we get nuked, I won’t authorize a response of any kind, as it’s too expensive.
    Suicide bombers need to be hugged by unarmed police, shooting them on sight is a no no!
    And as for the climate, all those nasty hydrocarbon capitalists need to pay through their noses at least until the pips squeak, for all the wealth they have produced and we have squandered.

  5. Well guys, CNN has just released the news that the world has just had its warmest ever October—just in time for the Paris climate conference—–amazing coincidence that!

  6. They want to help the invaders??? Despicable. I hope the cold does stop them.

    AFrica for Africans, Asia for Asians, White countries for Everyone is White Genocide.

    This shows more than anything that the ‘climate issue’ has little to do with climate and everything to do with destroying the WEst and manipulating its peoples and economies.

    Pure evil.

  7. They don’t care about refugees or any other people for that matter. All they want to achieve is a global carbon tax to finance their One World Governance aspirations.
    When this has been achieved we will see the biggest man made reduction in world population in our history.

    We are governed by traitors.

    They laugh at your suggestions, they will prosecute you for taking a keptical stance and continue to execute their insane agenda.

  8. I hazard the greeks n other areas theyre landing in are praying for a savage winter, and soon. see ZeroHedge.com for an item yesterday re greek farmers in full streetprotest mode,
    new savage taxes thanks to EU banksters and theyre already battling to grow n sell what they produce.
    add the huge costs to house n feed the incoming unwanted immigrants…powderkeg wih a sputtering fuse.
    thos IN europe..if they dont die outright the huge risk of overcrowded habitat is pretty much gteed to get some nasty outcomes disease wise.

  9. I started to read this, but when I see the usual assailing of the Assad regime, I knew very little useful information was going to be in it…These people aren’t fleeing Syria because of the current regime, they are fleeing because of an ongoing war in which they are caught in the middle, and it isn’t a civil war, it is a war of conquest, for Assad isn’t fighting rebels, he is fighting mercenaries. When you flood the area with “paid rebels,” you are not fighting a civil war, you are intentionally trying to overthrow an existing government. To say more or less than that is a total lack of truth and honesty.

    As for refugees, there is no reason that they need be accommodated beyond allowing them a place to live outside of the warzone and to give them basic support during the duration of theie stay. There is no reason to attempt to assimilate them into a different culture, and if Europe so desires to do that, then let Europe cease to exist as one of the sources of civilization.

    Should the “refugees” demand more than that, then return them to where they came from because they are NOT people seeking shelter from a storm. When someone gets in my face and says “you owe me,” I know I am looking at someone just looking for a handout, with no intentions of giving back, nor working for it.

    I saw many pictures of “refugees” walking with new clothes and better foot wear than I can afford. I wondered how they could have walked a 100 miles and not at least look road dusty, and perhaps a little like they missed a few meals along the way. They should all be rounded up and returned to those few Middle Eastern nations that are paying for them to make the trek to Europe, and most thinking people know what nations to which I refer.

    • I agree with you that it is not Assad to be blamed for the disruption of Syrians. Any legitimate government has the right to resist rebels/terrorists. The USA, for global political reasons, started the Syrian rebellion and continues to train and arm Syrian rebels/terrorists, then audaciously imposed sanctions against Russia for supporting Russian-speaking East Ukrainians.

  10. The comment about our children will not know what snow is has disappeared from the UK Independent newspaper article archive. Funny that…

    I have asked them for a new link.

  11. Why Global Warming is what caused ISIS, according to Bernie Sanders. These people are not in danger of freezing. That is so much 1980s thinking. These people are suffering from heat, losing their homes, having to migrate to escape rising sea levels. Just ask any liberal socialist Bernie supporter. They will tell you where you went wrong on this article.

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