Based on the Navy’s Regional Arctic System Model (RASM)
According to this article first published on 27 Nov 2013, the Navy’s the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) “is arguably the most advanced – and accurate – Arctic climate model in existence.”
And this “most advance – and accurate” climate model shows that by the summer of 2016, the Arctic Ocean could be ice-free.
I’m thinking that the Naval Postgraduate School’s building of Engineering and Applied Sciences has been overtaken by political correctness.
From 2013, NPS researchers predict summer Arctic ice might disappear by 2016, 84 years ahead of schedule.
Caroline in West Virginia
“In 2007, the US Navy, which “uses complex modelling techniques that make its projections more accurate than others”, predicted that “Given the estimated trend and the volume estimate for October–November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3, one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer,” says Caroline. “Boy, I think that they’re going to be eating those words!”
Let’s remember this in 2016, and see how well the Navy’s climate models worked.