UK flooding tied to sunspot cycle

Flooding most extreme in more than 600 years


After quantifying the magnitude and frequency of extreme floods in the UK, scientists found that flooding has been the most extreme in more than 600 years.

Flooding in northwest England was reconstructed from the coarse grained units preserved in lake sediments at Bassenthwaite Lake. The record includes the floods of December 2015 (Storm Desmond) and November 2009.

The UK scientists found five flood rich periods (CE 1460-1500, 1580-1680, 1780-1820, 1850-1925, 1970-present) and then (of course) found a way to tie the floods to global warming.

However, reader J. H. Walker comes to a different conclusion.

First, Walker quotes the study: “The sediment palaeoflood series reveals five flood rich periods (CE 1460-1500, 1580-1680, 1780-1820, 1850-1925, 1970-present).”

Then he ties those numbers to the sunspot cycle:
CE 1460 – 1500 – Sporer Minimum
1580 -1680 – end Sporer and Maunder minimum,
1780 -1820 – Dalton ,
1850 -1925 – Glessberg,
1970 – present SC20 and SC24-SC25

Why the interest? “Because rain matters before snow. These weather events are in fact driven by Meridional Jet Stream coupled with the Polar front which is parked over most of the High land of The UK in a North Westerly direction, due to a blocking high over Western Europe.

“Although this is Western Europe it equally applies to the North Western Coast of Canada and Alaska with their South Westerly prevailing winds.”

http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-12868.pdf

Thanks to J.H. Walker for this link, and the insight


9 thoughts on “UK flooding tied to sunspot cycle

  1. It may be worth noting, John Casey in his presentations and his book Dark Winter stated the next thing we would see is heavy moisture before the snows come.

    It would appear Mr. Casey is leading the way with his Relational Theory showing us the correct understanding of the type of weather we should expect.

    I personally appreciate his inclusion of many supporting scientists from different areas of science some of which have before Mr. Casey had the same or similar conclusions. Mr. Casey is always giving these folks recognition for their findings and even includes they were ahead of his findings. I appreciate his humility and integrity.

  2. I note right at the bottom comes along the good old ‘model’ to tell us it will get worse. As no model has come close to being correct the conclusion is invalid.

    At the moment I can’t recall who, but there was a paper that showed UK rainfall levels were cyclic and that over the recent decade or two it has been at a lower level. That reduced flooding so off we went building on flood plains. Now it is moving back to a wetter period there is more flooding but this is not due to much heavier rain but to water course change. And this is often the reason for more damaging floods in recent times if you look properly and aren’t a warmist nutjob.

  3. compounding recent events is the morons who wont allow silt to be dredged and other fools who built IN floodplains and allowed estates along new channels that arent wide OR deep enough to drain properly
    the greengroups have a fair bit to answer for in this also

  4. This makes absolute sense. None of the warming alarmists have tried to describe by what mechanism Milankovitch cycles overcome high CO2 levels, i.e. how new ice ages form. And not that we’re necessarily headed towards another new ice age, but all the brouhaha over global warming and climate change should also include discussion of the mechanism for how all that ice could have formed and how glaciers will rebuild themselves in places like the Alps and even a place like Cairngorm in Scotland.

    More water vapor = more rain
    Less solar strength and sunspots + more water vapor in winter = big snow

    Personally, I’d like to see a nail driven through the heart of all this climate alarmism. They act as though life in 1850 was optimal because the atmospheric pCO2 was 280 ppm. And why is that preferential? Ask someone from the warmist propaganda machine that, and they simply stare blankly back at you.

  5. UK flooding also tied to EU Water Directive 2000.
    This has the effect of stopping dredging which has taken plaec for 100’s of years.
    Rivers are no longer allowed to be dredged without permission as it is more important for them to go back to their ‘natural course’!
    Of course rivers all over the EU zone are now silting up.
    If a permit for dredging is allowed, the silt is now classified as toxic waste and can no longer be put on the river bank.
    http://ec.europa.eu/environment/water/water-framework/index_en.html
    https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/12/26/what-the-authorities-wont-tell-you-about-the-floods/

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