Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind

“Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years.”
– Ed Hoskins


Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind

Ed Hoskins

According to ice core records, the last millennium 1000AD – 2000AD has been the coldest millennium of our current Holocene interglacial. This point is more fully illustrated with ice core records on a millennial basis back to the Eemian warm period 120,000 years ago, here:

Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial, although cooler than the Eemian, has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, spanning from mankind’s earliest farming to recent technology.

(Editor’s note: Please be aware that the Eemian Period was warmer than today. It lasted from about 128,000 years ago to 115,000 years ago, long, long before the industrial revolution began.)

Viewing the current Holocene interglacial on a century by century and on a millennial basis is realistic. But it seems that, driven by the need to continually support the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming thesis / religion Climate scientists and Climate alarmists examine the temperature record at too fine a scale, weather event by weather event, month by month, or year by year.

However, from the broader perspective, each of the notable high points in the current 11,000 year Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than the previous high point.

The ice core record from Greenland for its first 7-8000 years, the early Holocene, shows, virtually flat temperatures, an average drop of only ~0.007 °C per millennium, including its high point known as the “climate optimum”. But the more recent Holocene, since a “tipping point” at around 1000BC, 3000 years ago, has seen temperature fall at about 20 times that earlier rate at about 0.14 °C per millennium.

The Holocene interglacial is already 10 – 11,000 years old and judging from the length of previous interglacial periods, the Holocene epoch should be drawing to its close: in this century, the next century or this millennium.

Nonetheless, the slight and beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point has been transmuted by Climate alarmists into the “Great Man-made Global Warming Alarm”.

The recent warming since the end of the Little Ice Age has been wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts arising from the relatively minor cooling of the Little Ice Age, which include:

• decolonisation of Greenland
• Black death
• French revolution promoted by crop failures and famine
• the failures of the Inca and Angkor Wat civilisations
• etc., etc.

As global temperatures, after a short spurt at the end of the last century, have already been showing stagnation or cooling over the last nineteen years or more, the world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling, rather than being hysterical about limited, beneficial or probably now non-existent further warming.
Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind and for the biosphere. For example, during the Roman warm period the climate was warmer and wetter so that the Northern Sahara was the breadbasket of the Roman empire.

But the coming end of the present Holocene interglacial will eventually again result in a mile-high ice sheet over much of the Northern hemisphere.

As the Holocene epoch is already about 11,000 years old, the reversion to a true ice age is becoming overdue. That reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe.

With the present reducing Solar activity, significantly reduced temperatures, at least to the level of another Little Ice Age are predicted quite soon, later in this century.
Whether the present impending cooling will really lead on to a new glacial ice age or not is still in question.


5 thoughts on “Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind”

  1. Of course there is no guarantee that this interglacial will end just because of averages.

    After all climate “science” is based on averages.

    After all there were times when there was no ice or snow on Earth at all – probably due to the arrangement of the continental land masses.

    I am a firm believer in the paradigm that anything can, and probably will happen.

    However one would be churlish to ignore the evidence of the series of ice age periods of glaciation and claim, as alarmists do, that 650 milligrams of CO2 in every kilogram of air will prevent a return.

  2. even funnier? theres a new item out blaming mankind from the 1900s for the warming but then that cool bit in the 50s to 70s musta been cooling from pollution, which if theyd thought about it…was WORSE from 1700s to 1800s due to coal/ peat /woodburning for all heating, cooking and any industry, all over the planet, whatever race and nation they burned wood dung peat coal whatever would burn

  3. It would be most gratifying to see President Trump touting Ice Age Now, WUWT, No Trick Zone, and perhaps even Climate Depot to the U.S. and world at large. Climate/weather disasters in Europe get zero coverage in MSM.

  4. Yes, the next real move on climate is towards another ice age.

    So if this Sun cycle we are in now continues as it has, colder climes are to be expected in the decades to come. Remembering that the Sun has a short cycle of about 11 years, so that gives the Earth more than enough time to even give a “mild” cold shock to our climate. But pushing this thesis further…

    If as records suggest the next Ice Age is very near, if not already in process, then what would happen? Do we have enough time to react? Well take a look at this chart for even small ice ages, the Earth freezes pretty quick, it took less than 200 years for the Earth to get so cold during winter that the Thames River froze, not just once, but for 24 winters it was cold enough for it to freeze! And this was a mild freezing. What is going to come will be much worse.

    So if there is an Ice Age coming, how many more millions of people are going to migrate south, when things become unbearably cold up north? Northern Europe will empty and head south. Ten’s, no hundreds of millions of people around the world will flood the southern countries. Well in the Northern Hemisphere that is, in the Southern Hemisphere, like South America, they will be heading north. What the Americans going to do then when they are invaded by 10s of million of people from South America, and Canada!

    I bet a good amount of money, that every political party will be wanting to build a wall by then, in the USA. Trump in the future will be remembered as a messiah! Good grief!

  5. Are the rights to the new millennial frost fair on the Thames still available? I see an opportunity here.

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