We are now enduring the coldest millennium in 10000 years

Nonetheless, Climate alarmists promoting their views have converted the slight and truly beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point “Great Man-made Global Warming Catastrophe”.
– Ed Hoskins

We are now enduring the coldest millennium in 10,000 years

Ed Hoskins

According to ice core records, the last millennium 1000AD – 2000AD has been the coldest millennium of our current Holocene interglacial. This point is more fully illustrated with ice core records on a millennial basis back to the Eemian period here:

Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial, although cooler than the Eemian interglacial 120,000 years ago, has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, spanning from mankind’s earliest farming to the most recent technologies.

Viewing the current Holocene interglacial on a millennial basis is rational. Sadly it seems that, driven by the need to continually support the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming hypothesis / religion Climate Alarmists irrationally examine the temperature record at much too fine a scale, weather event by weather event, month by month, or year by year.

From the broader perspective, each of the notable high points in the current 11,000 year Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than every previous high point.

Greenland ice core records show that for its first 7-8000 years, the early Holocene, had variable but virtually flat temperatures, including its early high point known as the “climate optimum”. But the more recent Holocene, since a “tipping point” at around 1000BC, 3000 years ago, has seen temperature fall at about 20 times faster than its earlier rate.

The Holocene interglacial is already 10 – 11,000 years old and just judging from the length of previous interglacial periods, the Holocene epoch should be drawing to its close: in this century, the next century or this millennium.

Nonetheless, Climate alarmists promoting their views have converted the slight and truly beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point “Great Man-made Global Warming Catastrophe”.

The recent warming since the end of the Little Ice Age has been wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts arising from the minor cooling of the Little Ice Age.

As global temperatures, after their short spurt at the end of the last century, are showing stagnation or cooling for the last twenty years, the world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling, rather than being hysterical about limited, beneficial or probably now non-existent further warming.

Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind and for the biosphere.

But the coming end of the present Holocene interglacial will eventually again result in a mile high ice sheet over much of the Northern hemisphere.

That reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe.

With the present reducing Solar activity, significantly reduced temperatures, at least to the level of another Little Ice Age are predicted quite soon this century.

Whether the present impending cooling will really lead on to a new glacial ice age or not is still in question.

As an interested layman, I would say that the betting is more heavily weighted towards a catastrophically cooling world rather than one that will be overheating because of the comparatively minor CO2 emissions from mankind.

Holocene Context for Catastrophic Man-made Global Warming

13 thoughts on “We are now enduring the coldest millennium in 10000 years”

  1. Why are people arguing in terms of catastrophy or equivalent terms? When the ‘AgainstUpHeating by CO2’ would do that without claiming a CO2-tax, almost no one would argue against it. It would be an opinion. No more no less. But the taxation is about a lot of tax-money and it seems that preventing the upheating to any cost, is the politics of UK\EU\USA of nowadays. That must be scaring. Also, government is used as an entrepeneur, which she isn’t. That will lead to a ‘green-communism’

  2. for a huge amount of the summer crops and vegies we all enjoy, a soil temp above 20c and up to 25c at least for curcubits melons etc is a must for the seed to germinate.
    mild days are ok, but slow things down too, but cool nights are seriously bad news if your’e trying to have a garden let alone a commercial crop.
    my corn as an example
    30 plants took over 10+ days to germinate and growth was slooooow so far from all that effort water and time i might? get 3 cobs total. planted well over 5 weeks late due to cool weather and nights as low as 4c in oct nov and dec. they were my THIRD planting as the others simply failed to sprout and they were in punnets and warmer than soil, but still not warm enough. if that was a farms food crop? then that farmer is in serious trouble(as am I, for stored food for winter)

  3. I sorry, but this is incorrect on many levels, the lowest point was the Spoorer period of minimums 1450 to 1550. I make that 560 years. At present we are at the same levels as SC5 and SC6 and I make that period to be 228 years and not 1000.
    Here is a comparision:
    when compared with the Silso data
    The .43 reduction factor is right in the ballpark when considering the SILSO value of .6 corresponds with about a 12% allowance for the Waldmeier error introduced around 1945. The Waldmeier correction factor needs to be around 20-22% along with other factors affecting the modern count. The new method of scaling the existing SISLO V2 sunspot record will allow the LSC to continue and to be utilised for comparison of SC24/25 to SC5/6.

    The problems we have is that Grand Solar Minimum cycles still produce lots of spots, but a significant number are fragment spots and very short lived, particulary since the start of the space age and for which we can read nunber plates on cars from 800 miles away.

  4. It is likely that the present trend towards another grand solar minimum will indeed bring on another “little ice age which itself morph into a full glacial period. I believe this to be the case because there is a school of thought that the Sun is going into a hibernation mode. For me, the hibernation theory gives the best and only explanation as to how snow can survive in summer in the mid-latitudes; the Sun today is far too hot to allow snow to subsist in summer except in the mountains of the Arctic and on the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. I have seen suggestions that a sudden hibernation mode would reduce the temperature of the Sun’s surface from 5 500 C to around 4 000 C, a massive drop of nearly 25% in heat output. In addition the Earth is undergoing a Magnetic Reversal today which was not happening during the last “little ice age”. The resultant massive increase in cosmic rays, together with the memory of the still interglacial warm oceans, could give the new Ice Age a powerful start with massive continental wide snow blitzes which would be harder to generate when the oceans descend to ice age levels.

  5. Notice the two Interglacial peaks, the sharp spike of the Eemian when compared to the Holocene ours is a short stubby affair a full -2.25 degrees cooler than the previous interglacial.
    But more importantly most of the spikes in temperature are no more that 200 to 300 years in duration and the spikes are 4 to 6C of warming, falling back, to spike and then ramp up slowly over the length of the Glacial period, that has to be solar effects rather than gaseous.
    Buts what worrying is the almost -7C drop in temperature over a 400 year period at the end of the Eemian Interglacial, the period of time of the LIA from the start of the dip into the Spoorer GSM to the end of the Dalton GSM.

  6. The thing that is always most striking to me, looking at the graphs of Pleistocene temperature proxy data, is how abrupt and extreme the transitions are into and out of interglacials. If the Holocene interglacial is nearing its end, as the data suggest, the trend of gradual cooling will not continue long term. One of these days, the bottom is going to drop out, and that will be all she wrote for about the next 85,000 years…

  7. At this point in the discussion I would like to ask if Robert and his various contributors have considered the work of Rolf Witzsche who maintains a massive site on a number of issues including the coming ice age. The URL for the site is https://www.rolf-witzsche.com/

    I can understand that some might be hesitant to discuss his work and claims because he bases his analysis on the electric universe, electric sun model which claims that electric forces in the form of Birkeland currents dominate interplanetary, interstellar and even intergalactic behavior. The argument is that cosmology is essentially plasma physics in space.

    However, the discussion of the corruption in science with respect to AGW should at least make the reader of this comment open to the possibility of massive corruption in other parts of physics where many physicists have been complaining about the official positions of scientific bodies for decades. One might consider looking at the beginner’s guide to the electric universe at https://www.thunderbolts.info/wp/eu-guides/beginners-guide/ as an alternative opinion to official science on the subject of solar energy sources.

    I bring up Mr. Witzsche because he has offered a prediction that the ice age will begin in the 2050’s. Essentially the 200 year cycle that has been discussed for a cooler world in the 21st century while present is just one cycle among many. Thus the 200 year cycle bottom is not relevant and temperatures will just continue lower.

    A taste of the prediction methodology can be seen in a chart showing current and anticipated decline in solar wind velocity reflecting diminishing solar energy output in the first half of the 21st century. The chart can be found at http://www.iceagetheatre.ca/transcripts1/ttda005.htm In terms of electric sun theory it argues for an effective decline in solar blackbody temperature from currently around 5000 Kelvin to 3000 Kelvin which will be sufficient to plunge the Earth into the next ice age. This will happen sometime between 2045 and 2050 according to the chart.

    Of course this decline in its early stages does not in any way argue against the relatively minor declines that are currently anticipated in the next few years directed towards a mid century bottom followed by recovery at the end of the 21st century. It will likely be hard to tell the difference for awhile yet.

    I admit I find the electric model increasingly creditable as an argument for the sources of power driving the sun. The theory essentially makes the sun into a light bulb attached to a power grid. Power grids are subject to all sorts of output fluctuations over time which makes the sun far more variable in output potentially than, I think, most would credit. Therefore discussion of this model and its relevance to a coming ice age seems worthwhile.

  8. Meanwhile NASA and the NOAA have compiled a chart saying this is the 4th warmest year on Earth.


    What they fail to dwell on is that their charts show a pitiful 0.8 C rise in global temperatures, dating back to the great depression era. I’m sure they took all factors into account such as orbital eccentricity, tilt, volcanic activity, wildfires, etc. Their historical records only go back 138 years, so not much long term data to base their equations on. Just, since the beginning of the industrial age.

  9. NOAA just stated that:-
    “December 2018’s combined global land and ocean average surface temperature departure from average was the second warmest December in the 139-year record, according to the NOAA analysis.”

    Wonder if they realize that:-
    The earth’s surface is 70% water. Oregon State University discovered more than one million underwater volcanoes. In July 2012, geologists noted the eruption of a previously little-known underwater volcanic area called Havre Seamount off the coast of New Zealand. This was the largest volcano eruption in recorded history – And we didn’t even know it. This is why the 70% water surface temperature may be raising while the 30% land surface is cooling as we go into an Ice Age.

  10. Fortunately the world has reliable sources of energy called base load for the coming 90 years cool period, before it warms back to similar temperatures as we last saw during the period 1945 to 1960 and 1980 to 2008/
    It is provided by the following:

    With recyclable energy sources excluding tidal at only 3% of the total.

    2018 Wind Power: “Dropping the fossil fuels of yesteryear”… Only in Unicorn fantasy-land.
    David Middleton / 8 hours ago February 6, 2019

    Guest slam dunk by David Middleton

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