We should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

We should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

Our current, warm, interglacial has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, from mankind’s earliest farming to the most recent technologies.

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We should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

By Ed Hoskins

According to ice core records, the last millennium 1000AD – 2000AD has been the coldest millennium of our current Holocene interglacial. This point is more fully illustrated with ice core records on a millennial basis back to the Eemian period here:

Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial, although cooler than the Eemian interglacial 120,000 years ago, has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, spanning from mankind’s earliest farming to the most recent technologies.

Viewing the current Holocene interglacial on a millennial basis is rational. Sadly it seems that, driven by the need to continually support the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming hypothesis / religion Climate Alarmists irrationally examine the temperature record at much too fine a scale, weather event by weather event, month by month, or year by year.

From the broader perspective, each of the notable high points in the current 11,000 year Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than every previous high point.

Greenland ice core records show that for its first 7-8000 years, the early Holocene, had virtually flat temperatures, including its early high point known as the “climate optimum”. But the more recent Holocene, since a “tipping point” at around 1000BC, 3000 years ago, has seen temperature fall at about 20 times faster than its earlier rate.

The Holocene interglacial is already 10 – 11,000 years old and just judging from the length of previous interglacial periods, the Holocene epoch should be drawing to its close: in this century, the next century or this millennium.

Nonetheless, Climate alarmists promoting their views have converted the slight and truly beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point “Great Man-made Global Warming Catastrophe”.

The recent warming since the end of the Little Ice Age has been wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts arising from the minor cooling of the Little Ice Age.

As global temperatures, after their short spurt at the end of the last century, are showing stagnation or cooling for the last twenty years, the world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling, rather than being hysterical about limited, beneficial or probably now non-existent further warming.
Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for man-kind and for the biosphere.

But the coming end of the present Holocene interglacial will eventually again result in a mile high ice sheet over much of the Northern hemisphere.
That reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe.

With the present reducing Solar activity, significantly reduced temperatures, at least to the level of another Little Ice Age are predicted quite soon this century.

Whether the present impending cooling will really lead on to a new glacial ice age or not is still in question.

Holocene Context for Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming


21 thoughts on “We should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

  1. Temps rise and fall.. And it doesn’t take much for temps to fall into the danger zone whereby the impact on e.g., agriculture – shall be serious enough to cause widespread food shortages.. The majority of Today’s huge numbers of people are settled in Urban and Suburban Zones: and are virtually fully dependent upon farming, ranching and fishing.. It wouldn’t take mountainous glaciers heading southward (in the northern hemisphere) to have a deadly impact upon us.. Rather, It would only take but a few years of extreme crop failures aka widespread Famine in which even just the Hunger aspect alone leads to Violence..

    • As a farmer in southern Ontario, Canada, always a bit nervous at this time of year as to when the first killing frost will occur. Hope for good weather to “finish” corn and bean crops.

      Imagine a killing frost across Indiana, Illinois, Iowa in early August. Unlikely, but not impossible. If it were to occur, humanity could face starvation a few months hence.

  2. It will be interesting to see how muslims adapt to decreasing agricultural production in europe. Most of them don’t work and draw substantial welfare, so what will the natives do when faced with feeding parasites or themselves?

  3. “Climate Alarmists irrationally examine the temperature record at much too fine a scale, weather event by weather event, month by month, or year by year.”

    Good point.
    It’s the reverse with “renewable” energy production, they look at month by month production so that strong winds in winter appear to balance strong summer solar. In reality they should be looking at second by second.

  4. The last 7 years in the southeast we have had more snow than we use to get,so if this is any indication we may start seeing more snow in the southeast as years go by

    • “The last 7 years…”. Interesting. According to my backyard weather records (Pofadder, Northern Cape, South Africa), this August was the coldest August since 2012. The same for the progressive average temperature from January to August. A cold start for September. At 9h00 today it is only 6C.

  5. It is noteworthy that most of Salvation history, from the time of King David through to the time of Christ and on through to the sudden explosion of science and technology in the last 300 years, has all occurred during the declining phase of the Holocene era. I believe that the new Grand Solar Minimum, with its attendant weather and earthquake disasters, will lead us in this century to the Second Coming of Christ. Alternatively, a new Ice Age in the northern lands will lead to a golden age of plenty in a new pluvial period for Africa, which will coincide with the Millennium prophesied in Rev 20.

    I

  6. That last little up bar on the far right is the late 20th century warming.
    My God. Even that is much cooler than the not so distant past.
    How can anybody calling themselves a scientist look at this and not have doubts?

    • The Graph is based on central Greenland Ice cores and its tempreture range is minus -28C to Minus -40C. Once the Glaciation stage starts in 1500 years or so it will get much colder, but recieve much less Rain fall is the ice sheet around Greenland cuts off the flow of Low pressure systems.
      Remember the world is already in an Ice Age and has been for 2.5 million years. The effects of this GSM will last untill 2056 it will then warm back up to SC20 levels still cool but managable, and stay in a Gleissberg period for 5 or 6 solar cycles.

  7. Thanks, Robert. I bookmarked that in order to educate the next gullible ignoramus who tries to convince me that we are all going to fry and die. That good and clear timeline, with the major events named and properly ordered, will help me to explain.

  8. The cooling will obviously have to be blamed on the usual suspect — CO2 — by the CarboNazis…. It will be interesting to watch the mental gymnastics of the spin artists as “mainstream” science suddenly discovers that (Horrors!) CO2 is causing cooling, not warming. But they already have a pretty good start, by changing the magic words used to conjure up fear & despair from “global warming” to “climate change.”

    • Easy.

      https://www.dropbox.com/s/djafuzq26buhqpe/trenberth9.jpg?dl=0

      This “cartoon” shows that 169 + 30 = 199 W/m2 infra-red radiation emitted to space comes from the atmosphere while 40 W/m2 infra-red radiation emitted to space comes from the surface.

      As infra-red radiation is the only mechanism where by Earth loses energy to space – cools down – it will be an easy switch to claim more CO2 will cause more energy loss to space and thus cooling.

      After all we all know 99% of the atmospheric gases are NOT “greenhouse gases” so extra CO2 must cause Earth to cool more as solar levels decrease – simples.

      Mind you I don’t buy any AGW pseudoscience but logic says if 99% of the atmosphere can’t radiate infra-red then the 83% of the total emitted to space – 199/239 – MUST be coming from water vapour and CO2 – the other gases concentrations are too small to matter much.

      As water vapour is at most a few percent of a moist atmosphere and CO2 is 0.04% they are really powerful gases.

      Mind you I don’t buy any AGW pseudoscience but logic says IF Trenberth et al are right AND 83% of the emissions to space come from “greenhouse gases” with virtually nothing from the rest it seems logical more CO2 must cause more cooling !

      Mind you I don’t buy any AGW pseudoscience.

  9. Thanks for some real facts. Ive seen this coming for a while now. If people would just dig deeper in their research…man is PART of nature-not the WHOLE of nature ; therefore WE dont control anything…we are just instruments of nature..

  10. Mr Hoskins makes one important mistake in his post above. He states, “The Holocene interglacial is already 10 – 11,000 years old…”. That is incorrect, because he fails to add in the Younger Dryas Impact Event, which is a good 1,200 years long. Climate had already begun moving into a new interglacial, when the planet was hit with this Impactor event. That set things back, but must be counted into the mix. In other words, we are now entering the next glaciation, and its slow descent into it. The rapidity in which we enter it will depend on further Impactor events, just as in the past.

  11. Two points. First, if we are indeed facing cooling, the increased CO2 we have put into the atmopshere could very well be the difference between no major sixth extinction and one on the Permian scale. Most people including climate scientists are not aware of just how close the planet was to such an event during the depths of the last glacial epoch. Co2 may have dropped below 200 ppm, right at the border between minimal primary production and none. The Permian looks to have been very similar and geological evidence documents an immense drop in sea level at the very end of the Permian. Such a drop indicates a glacial epoch. Nothing else could remove that much water from the oceans.

    The second point is about Holocene warming vs. Holocene cooling. I’ve analized temperature proxy data from both Antarctica and Greenland. There IS a cooling trend from the beginning of the Holocene to the present, but,… it is not statiscially significant and cannot be distinguished from no trend statistically. At the same time, the fact that the minor movement IS downward does indicate the climate is more likely cooling than warming over the Holocene. It will be awaile before the trend becomes significant unless something really dramatic happens. And again, but … even minor movements are not trivial for us as a species. The losses in crops this year and last year show just how vulnerable we may be to any longer term shift.

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