Wind Drought in Britain Leaves Turbines at a Standstill

Wind Drought in Britain Leaves Turbines at a Standstill

Highlights need for back up generation when wind isn’t blowing

5 June 2018 – Britain has gone seven days with almost no wind generation and forecasts show no increase in wind output in coming days.

Meanwhile, Australian authorities warn that wind droughts, which can last for months, are an inevitable consequence of climate change.

“The Australian CSIRO BOM recently explained a three month wind drought in South Australia, with more to come in the future, was an inevitable consequence of climate change.

Unfortunately for anyone looking to the CSIRO Australian government agencies for climate guidance, this was a revision to a 2011 CSIRO prediction that climate change would create stronger winds.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-05/wind-disappears-in-britain-leaving-turbines-at-a-standstill

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/06/prolonged-wind-drought-crushes-british-turbine-output/

Thanks to Sonya Porter and Laurel for these links

“Stop giggling,” says Sonya!

“Sending this with MUCH laughter,” says Laurel. “Wind drought???? “We usually would call it blissfully calm weather and enjoy it without earaches. Can’t help but find it hilarious and once again sigh at the ugliness of the turbines the blot on the landscape bird-shredding blight …. and the wasted billions spent that could have gone to reliable clean coal power.”


16 thoughts on “Wind Drought in Britain Leaves Turbines at a Standstill”

  1. This isn’t such a rare occurrence as you may have thought.
    Western Europe and in particular Scandinavia and the Baltic regions, during low period of EUV output by Sol, experiences a significant number Sudden Atmospheric Warming events (SAW) caused by large Coronial Holes in the Sun’s atmosphere particularly during low energy output from the Sun.
    This has the effect of creating a large very dense blocking high over Scandinavia and over time extends westward to Iceland and Green land, reversing the Normal Mid/North Atlantic South Westerly air flow to North Easterly over Europe, changing to an easterly from the UK to Greenland.
    Given that the Azores High ridges towards the UK during late Spring and early Summer the UK ends up in a cloudy humid high pressure col area with little air flow.
    The weather events log for the last 1500 years is littered with similar weather events at this time of year and during the periods around solar cycles ending and the next starting. These events happen more so during the two cycles of a Grand Solar Minimum and can be seen in the weather history for the seven recorded GSMs to date.
    CO2 is not the control knob of the climate, but high energy spectrum radiation at Blue end of the Suns energy emission is.

  2. I just looked at hawaii again
    another large quake..and it made me consider that even geothermal which they use and was actually running pretty well i gather..has some serious downsides as well at times when the underground decides to come up for a look see;-/
    and they have to be near the “exciting” places to work.
    coal and gas win hands down don’t they, at worst they get wind damaged rocked about a bit in quakes at worst and can be repaired fairly quickly, and unlike nuke power they dont ruin massive areas for decades or longer. I see theres bushfires near chenobyl so the trees that took up the rad will be releasing that in the fires;-( the gift(dubious worth) that REALLY keeps on giving….

  3. Aerogenerators need back-up power even when the wind is blowing in order to balance their variable inputs to the power grid.

  4. https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/outages-see-power-prices-hit-the-roof/news-story/38a4236fd9d31e609dc378cf6510509b

    Generators at five of the six NSW coal-fired power stations were hit by outages heading into the long weekend, stripping about a third of the state’s capacity and spiking spot prices to a forecast high of $14,000 in the early evening.

    Generation units at Vales Point, Tallawarra, Liddell, Bayswater and Mount Piper went offline this week due to planned and unplanned maintenance issues, with only Eraring, the state’s biggest and most modern, operating at full capacity.

    The outages threatened a third day of shutdowns at the Tomago aluminium smelter, the state’s largest single energy user, to avoid multi-million-dollar losses on the high energy prices.

    Tomago chief executive Matt Howell said Australia was at a crisis point with its energy system because it was losing baseload generation needed for heavy industry.

    “This is a direct result of renewable energy hollowing out the baseload generation in this country,” Mr Howell said.

    Since the closure of the Northern and Hazelwood coal plants only new wind and solar capacity had been built, but it was not suitable for heavy industry.

    Tomago had to shut down one of its three aluminium potlines for 45 minutes on Tuesday evening and two others for an hour each on Thursday to avoid exposures to peak energy prices. The shutdowns reduced demand by 300MW.

    Mr Howell said that at $14,000 per MWh — the maximum allowed in the National Electricity Market — it would cost $200,000 to make a tonne of aluminium and the plant would lose $5 million an hour.

    “If we want to be a nation that makes things, rather than one that imports all of its needs, we must have internationally affordable and reliable energy — a system that can reliably deliver, independently of the weather,” Mr Howell said.

    The Australian Energy Market Operator said NSW lost 3800MW of generation capacity this week, nearly a third of its 12,000MW installed coal generation capacity.

    It coincided with overcast and low-wind weather that limited renewables generation and forced NSW to draw more heavily on power from Queensland and Victoria.

    Spot prices calculated on five-minute intervals jumped to almost $300 in NSW, more than double the prices in other states, heading into the evening demand peak period.

    It came in a week in which two of the three biggest retailers and generators, AGL Energy and ­Origin Energy, announced modest falls in retail electricity prices.

    AEMO said the conditions did not lead to any “involuntary load shedding” — industry speak for blackouts.

    “While a number of generating units in NSW were out of service due to planned maintenance, this had no impact on reserve conditions,” AEMO said in a statement.

    “A further two unplanned forced outages, however, did ­result in 1320MW dropping out of the market and resulted in tighter reserve levels.”

    One of the four 420MW generators at AGL’s Liddell plant will be out for up to six weeks, while a second unit has been “derated” to around two-thirds of its capacity so that it can operate safely.

    Two of the 660MW units at the adjacent Bayswater plant have suffered boiler tube leaks that took them out of action at the same time as a third unit was out for scheduled maintenance

    The founder of Global-Roam consultancy Paul McArdle said only 6000MW of NSW coal ­capacity was available yesterday, which was an improvement on Thursday, but about 2000MW less than at the same time last week.

  5. HEY YOU STUPID HEADED CLODS!! Try using OCEAN CURRENTS to drive turbines! Oh. Sorry. I forgot that they shot that ignorant idea down years ago . Seems it would cause the planet to slow. …but; do flat planets spin?

  6. where I live looking out to sea there are hundreds (yes!) of wind turbines in all directions … that’s lots of money invested in something that’s not producing a return. And of course in the mean time there needs to be alternative ways of producing the electricity being used …

  7. Last October the “consensus” was that global average wind speed was decreasing since the ’60’s

    https://horizon-magazine.eu/article/what-happens-world-dying-winds_en.html

    Wasn’t “climate change” predicted to make weather more extreme ?

    Seems to me that wind speed is an integral part of extreme weather and “climate change” has been putting the brakes on that as well.

    Nearly six decades of “climate change” and almost EVERY alarmist prediction has failed.

    All that is needed now is a mini ice age or the next glaciation to drive home the final nail in the coffin of the most expensive hoax ever perpetrated.

    Mind you I never predict anything because, as we all should know, anything can, and probably will, happen.

    Still, good to see another myth busted.

  8. Relying on wind turbines as a partial replacement for base load stations in a country with heavy industry is ridiculous. Wind is too variable in strength and duration to be able to plan a nation’s energy needs .
    To utilise wind properly you would need wind power generation double the Nations connected load , half powering the Nation when the wind is blowing and the other half charging the reserve whatever that would be , batteries (hugely expensive ) or uphill hydro where the excess power is used to pump water to a higher altitude lake and used to drive turbines conventionally when required .
    Whatever is chosen, electricity would become very expensive and the countryside very ugly .
    Australia has huge coal reserves and these should continue to be used as baseload .
    An interesting fact , In 2013 the share of fossil fuels in the world’s energy mix — approx 82 percent — is the same as it was 25 years ago (1988).
    Another interesting fact , despite hundreds of billions of dollars per year spent on wind , world-wide wind power with all the tens of thousands of turbines in place all around the world installed over the last 10-15 years generate only 1% of the worlds electricity, which is approximately the same as photo voltaic power production .
    Someone is being conned !!

  9. Probably because there’s a winter weather advisory in June for the Big Island of Hawaii. Meteorologists say they haven’t seen it before. It snows occasionally on some mountain summits. In summer? (Okay, not quite technically summer for some).

  10. You can lead a horse to water but you can’t make it drink.
    The electorate in Australia, Canada, and the UK for that matter needs to continue to suffer under the Green Socialist policies based on Academic fraud over CO2 to gain more and more Government sponsored free money (our taxes).
    Let the Green propaganda flow with even more outrageous claims regarding the damage caused by miniscule Human CO2 emissions.
    Let the jobs that go with high energy manufacturing go to countries such as China or India.
    Let the electorate do without energy.
    Let those least able to pay for energy use the largest portions of their disposable income to heat or cool.
    Let them eat, or heat, but not both.
    Only then will the electorate vote in political parties and leaders who will drain the green fraud swamp, and take legal action against those at the heart of this green fraud.
    The People need to remember that largess from Government taxes on none essentials, needs to be earnt from reasonable taxes on the profits from a working economy first.
    Free money has never existed, someone has to pay the piper.

  11. The cost of manufacturing, shipping, constructing of these turbines does not get recovered for several years even if they are operating fully (and the wind is blowing) Minimum of $3 -4 million for each one installed.

    And they never mention the enormous cost of maintenance and repair. Very high labor and material costs. Very dangerous work.

    Manufacturers’ warranties run between 2 to 5 years. So the warranty expires well before it pays for itself. And they are only projected to last 20 years, at most.

    Very high investment. Very little return–other than government subsidies. And no reliable benefit to the populace that relies on electricity to survive.

  12. I worry about the modern stock control systems and ‘just in time’ deliveries. I am on holiday in Scotland and by God it is blisteringly hot. Staying in Glasgow for the Trump and Kim summit meeting because we can see live feeds on TV. After that? Only once have we done this before. We swap night for day to go hiking. The whole place is sweaty, and gaspingly hot. I am concerned that the shops will run out of bottled water and other drinks I often speak highly of.
    In Saudi Arabia they too swap day for night and businesses stay open. Best time to do business. Everyone is relaxed and open to new ideas.
    Wish me well but I suspect the snow patches have all melted

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