The world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

“Warming is wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts of cooling.” – Ed Hoskins

Each of the notable high points in the Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than the previous high point.


The world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling

By Ed Hoskins

According to ice core records, the last millennium, 1000AD to 2000AD, has been the coldest millennium of our current Holocene interglacial.

It seems that, driven by the need to continually support the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming thesis / religion, Climate scientists and Climate alarmists examine the temperature record at too fine a scale, weather event by weather event, month by month, year by year.

Our current, warm, congenial Holocene interglacial has been the enabler of mankind’s civilisation for the last 10,000 years, spanning from mankind’s earliest farming to recent technology.

Viewing the Holocene interglacial is much more fruitful on a century by century and on a millennial perspective.

Each of the notable high points in the Holocene temperature record, (Holocene Climate Optimum – Minoan – Roman – Medieval – Modern), have been progressively colder than the previous high point.

The ice core record from Greenland for its first 7-8000 years, the early Holocene, shows, virtually flat temperatures, an average drop of only ~0.007 °C per millennium, including its high point known as the “climate optimum”.

Temperatures going down, down, down

But the more recent Holocene, since a “tipping point” at around 1000BC (3000 years ago) has seen temperature fall at about 20 times that earlier rate at about 0.14 °C per millennium .

Temperatures headed down, down, down – Graph courtesy of Ed Hoskins

The Holocene interglacial is already 10,000 to 11,000 years old, and judging from the length of previous interglacial periods, the Holocene epoch should be drawing to its close in this century, the next century or this millennium.

Nonetheless, the slight beneficial warming at the end of the 20th century to a Modern high point has been transmuted by Climate alarmists into the “Great Man-made Global Warming Scare”.

Recent warming wholly beneficial

The recent warming since the end of the Little Ice Age has been wholly beneficial when compared to the devastating impacts arising from the relatively minor cooling of the Little Ice Age, which include:

• decolonisation of Greenland
• Black death
• French revolution promoted by crop failures and famine
• the failures of the Inca and Angkor Wat civilisations
• etc., etc.

As global temperatures, after a short spurt at the end of the last century, have already been showing stagnation or cooling over the last nineteen years or more, the world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling, rather than being hysterical about limited, beneficial or probably now non-existent further warming.

Warmer times are times of success and prosperity

Warmer times are times of success and prosperity for mankind and for the biosphere. For example during the Roman warm period the climate was warmer and wetter so that the Northern Sahara was the breadbasket of the Roman empire.

But the coming end of the present Holocene interglacial will eventually again result in a mile high ice sheet over much of the Northern hemisphere.

As the Holocene epoch is already about 11,000 years old, the reversion to a true ice age is becoming overdue.

Reversion to an ice age will be a catastrophe

That reversion to Ice Age conditions will be the real climate catastrophe.

With the present reducing Solar activity, significantly reduced temperatures, at least to the level of another Little Ice Age are predicted quite soon, later in this century.

Whether the present impending cooling will really lead on to a new glacial ice age or not is still in question.

This point is more fully illustrated here:

14 thoughts on “The world should now fear the real and detrimental effects of cooling”

  1. Solar up to 2005 despite it becoming lower since mid last century was still high and it should have caused warming which is what happened. Only since 2005 has solar activity been in an inactive mode which will promote global cooling.

    I expect global cooling to begin (I think it has ) this year not 5 years from now.

    Solar criteria is now moving to the values I had said would be significant enough to cause global cooling, following 10+ years of sub solar activity(2005-present) in general. Duration is now needed for my low average value solar parameters. I am of the opinion that if solar conditions are extreme enough it could move the terrestrial items which govern the climate to threshold values to one degree or another. This is perhaps part of the reason why abrupt climate change has occurred in the past.


    global cloud cover global

    snow cover/sea ice cover

    volcanic activity major

    sea surface temperatures

    atmospheric circulation








    SOLAR IRRADAINCE OFF .15% not reached yet.

    All given solar effects enhanced by a weakening geo magnetic field.

    My solar /climatic play is very low sustained solar activity will result in an increase in the earths albedo ,while at the same time lowering sea surface temperatures the result is global cooling.

  2. I haven’t researched this, but I recall reading that one of the causes of the French Revolution was that the French refused to eat potatoes, which could grown and produce in cool damp weather, whereas wheat, and cereal grains did not fare as well.

    Apparently they eventually changed their minds , because French Fries, or “French Fried Potatoes,” the all American fast food, really did originate in France, and were introduced here by Thomas Jefferson.

    • Potatoes are frost tender crops, originally brought back to Europe by Sir Walter Raleigh, he also brought back Tobacco, grown in the warm, wet, American southern coastal colonies of the then English Crown.
      In England Potatoes were considered a source of pig, indentured servant, and slave food, rather than food for the Aristocracy.
      With Europe and the later USA in the grip of the LIA until after Maunder had finished, the adoption of major source of starch (potatoes) which could the grown on more wetter fields was slow to spread.
      So the metropolitan French has little choice in changing to alternative food stuffs, you ate what you could walk to, or had shipped via barge or cart, Dry grain is a much easier food stuff to transport, and has a much higher food density values than potatoes which are very heavy due to its high water content.
      This is what humans will face during the early part of the next major ICE Age Glaciation advance, coming to the Northern Hemisphere in possibly a 1500 year time scale. Without energy we return to being subsistence farmers and hunter gatherers and without the ability to migrate we die in place.
      It took until 1840 before potato dependency for the masses became a problem.

  3. I’m sure the world should! It’s the next ice age and magnetic reversal we should be concerned about.

  4. Perhaps the alarmists really have our best interests at heart and are really trying to save as much oil, gas and coal for the impending next ice age ? Al Gore is just stocking up cash so he can feed thousands at his home for climate refugees ?

    I doubt the catastrophe will be great if mankind recognizes the problem. Temperate broad acre farming will be difficult but surely we have the ability to produce food in greenhouses full of greenhouse gases with heating if required ?

    Beans for protein anyone ? Blazing saddles ?

  5. The problem is that climate alarmists have cherry picked the data to support their theories and have then faked that data to raise their alarms.
    I am more interested in the vested interests behind the global warming scare. I strongly suspect Russian influences are using useful idiots in the green movements to promote the demonization of coal so as to increase the price of gas in Western Europe, which, of course, increases profits of the major Russian gas producers. Mind you there are plenty of other winners from this global warming scare.

  6. ive never experienced so many nights frost in a row, over the last month+. rainfalls been low too. yr to date rainfall just 300mm so far, while its not drought its sure not going to keep any crops growing from subsoil moisture for very long either;-(
    biggest good news is the mouseplague seems to have halted.
    thats worth celebrating!
    area is SW Vic Aus.

  7. There may be some limited species of plants or animals or microbes that have a very limited range of temperatures they can live at… but, off hand I can’t name them. Some insects at least have a smaller range than humans do.

    But what the Greenies seem to forget is that, as a species, we are very adaptable to changes in climate…. and most of those adaptations are cultural, aka, “man-made” (oh horrors!). Clothing, building shelters, use of fire, fuel, adapting to a wide range of foods we can eat, etc. we have managed to live in very cold to very hot places, very dry to very wet places.

    Even if it were true that there is “global warming”… why should warming of less than a degree even be considered worth spending time worrying about, let alone cause for panic? Plenty of other fish to fry

    • The best estimates I can find suggest the Jurassic period was up to 10°C hotter than today – “The Jurassic period is known for a climate characterized by rain-forest-like conditions. Peat bogs that later formed into massive coal deposits existed throughout many parts of the Earth, forming under dense forests. Most of the land is believed to have been productive for plant and animal growth and diversity. Sea levels rose and created warm, shallow-coast environments conducive to coral reef development. The Triassic warmth continued into the Jurassic, but the increased humidity levels due to flooded landmasses, as well as increased carbon dioxide levels from the lush vegetation and lack of polar ice, created a “greenhouse” climate. Even the polar regions had a temperate climate.”

      Despite fierce huge meat eating monsters roaming the globe life flourished as never before or since.

      If ever a “runaway” greenhouse effect were even remotely possible it should have occurred then – but it didn’t and the diversity of plant and animal life was unprecedented.

      The arrangement of the continents probably had more to do with the climate than some nonsensical greenhouse effect.

      If there were no continental land masses close to the poles the whole world would undoubtedly be warmer due to this alone.

  8. The last 1000 years of temperature and CO2 levels show no correlation.
    The last 10,000 years of temperature and CO2 levels show no correlation.
    The last 1 million years of temperature and CO2 levels show no correlation.

    Why does anyone think that this time it must be different.

    Historical record alone say the CO2 levels and global temperature are NOT correlated.

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